Liverpool v Fulham prediction: Preview, predicted lineups & odds

Fulham arrive at Anfield on the back of three straight Premier League defeats, a run that has left them without a point four games into the season. Liverpool, by contrast, have not lost, but three draws from their opening four fixtures have taken some of the shine off what was supposed to be a fast start under a new regime at the club. This is the kind of fixture that is supposed to settle nerves, not create them.

Liverpool sit seventh in the Premier League table on six points from four games, level with Brentford and two points off the top pair. Their form line reads two draws either side of a win, and the underlying numbers back up the sense of a side yet to hit top gear: an average of 2.0 goals scored per game across their last three matches, but 1.33 conceded, with only one clean sheet in that spell.

The draws have not been disasters. A 2-2 result at home to Nottingham Forest and another 2-2 away at Newcastle either side of a 2-0 win at Ipswich show a team that can score goals but has not yet nailed down its defensive foundations. Fulham represent an opportunity to put that right against a side that has conceded seven times in three matches.

Fulham have lost all three of their league games so far this season, scoring four and conceding seven. Two of those defeats have come at home, including a 2-3 loss to Chelsea and a 2-3 defeat to Crystal Palace, either side of a 1-0 reverse away at Sunderland. Their average of 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game across that run points to problems at both ends of the pitch, and a trip to Anfield is a brutal way to try to arrest the slide.

Liverpool's recent form reads W-D-D across their last three, a sequence that leaves them unbeaten but short of the ruthlessness expected at Anfield. Fulham's form line could not read more differently: L-L-L, with defeats to Chelsea, Sunderland and Crystal Palace and only four goals scored across the three games. On paper this is a stark form mismatch, though Liverpool's own draws show they are not yet defensively watertight, and Fulham have at least found the net in every one of those losses.

Liverpool sit seventh on 6 points from 4 games, with a goal difference of +2 after scoring 6 and conceding 4. That leaves them 6 points off the top of the table already, with Arsenal and Manchester City both on 12 points after four wins from four. A win here matters far more for momentum than table position at this early stage, but three points would move Liverpool level with sides above them and ease any early-season anxiety about a stuttering start.

Fulham's numbers are grimmer. Three defeats from three in the data supplied leave them without a point, and every game so far has brought a loss. Given the trajectory, this fixture is as much about damage limitation for the visitors as it is about points.

Liverpool have the clear historical edge in this fixture, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings to Fulham's 1, with 4 draws in between. The average meeting has produced 3.6 goals, both teams have scored in 8 of the last 10 and over 2.5 goals has landed in 7 of them. The last meeting, in April 2026, finished 2-0 to Liverpool at Anfield.

That pattern of goals at both ends fits awkwardly with a Fulham side that has now gone three games without taking a point, and Liverpool's own defensive wobbles this season. The BTTS rate of 80% across the head-to-head sample lines up with Liverpool's failure to keep a clean sheet in two of their last three, but Fulham's threadbare away form this season points toward goals coming from one direction more than the other. Backing the over on goals looks the more reliable read of these numbers than expecting a repeat of the last meeting's blank sheet for the visitors.

Liverpool have averaged 61.7% possession and 16.67 shots per game in their last three, against Fulham's 16.67 shots too but from a similar possession share of 61.7% in their own sample, a sign both sides look to dominate the ball rather than sit off it. The telling gap is in conversion and defence: Liverpool's expected goals against sits at 1.54 per game to Fulham's expected goals against of 2.08, while Fulham have failed to score in one of their last three matches against Liverpool's zero. That defensive fragility, allied to Fulham shipping an average of 2.33 goals a game, is the clearest route to a home win with goals.

Kick-off is at 15:00 BST on Saturday, but this fixture falls inside the UK's Saturday 3pm blackout and is not shown live on TV or streaming services in this country. UK viewers should turn to Match of the Day for highlights on Saturday evening, or follow our live blog for updates as the game unfolds.

The clearest value on the card sits in the goals markets rather than the result itself. Fulham have shipped seven goals in three games and Liverpool have scored in every one of theirs this season, a combination that points squarely towards over 2.5 goals and a home win with goals to spare.