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Our tip record

Every tip we publish is graded after the match, at the odds we printed before kick-off. Nothing is re-priced afterwards. The profit figures assume a flat £10 on each pick, as an illustration of how the tips have performed, not advice to stake that or any amount.

Download every graded pick (CSV)

The record so far

Headline tips

Beat the close (CLV)
−4.4%
Settled
329
Hit rate
63%
Profit (£10)
+£87.10
ROI
+2.7%
327 priced picksDashed line: break-even

Bet builders

Settled
285
Hit rate
18%
Profit (£10)
+£37.61
ROI
+1.4%
274 priced picksDashed line: break-even

Additional picks

Beat the close (CLV)
−5.9%
Settled
1520
Hit rate
48%
Profit (£10)
−£949.80
ROI
−6.3%
1508 priced picksDashed line: break-even

By competition

Headline tips by competition
CompetitionSettledHit rateProfitROI
World Cup8364%+£15.20+1.8%
Premier League7446%−£128.80−17.9%
Champions League5175%+£87.60+17.2%
Serie A2770%+£19.20+7.1%
La Liga1788%+£65.00+38.2%
Bundesliga1656%−£26.50−16.6%
Europa League1464%+£14.50+10.4%
Ligue 11385%+£47.10+36.2%
Championship1338%−£34.50−26.5%
EFL Cup1060%+£5.80+5.8%
Int. Friendlies475%−£3.20−8%
Conference League367%+£1.20+4%
League Two250%+£2.50+12.5%
League One1100%+£16.30+163%
FA Cup1100%+£5.70+57%

By tipster

Headline tips by tipster
TipsterSettledHit rateProfitROI
Jon Fisher22064%+£88.90+4.1%
Mike Ifftner7057%−£16.10−2.3%
Lauren Lister3967%+£14.30+3.7%

Latest graded headline tips

Show 15 more

How this is counted

Our tipping model, since 6 November 2026
From 6 November 2026 our picks come from our own tipping model, which compares its probabilities with bet365’s prices. Picks before then were chosen by our writers and are graded exactly as they were published: nothing earlier is re-counted.
Beat the close (CLV)
How the price we tipped at compares with the market’s last price before kick-off, after taking out the bookmaker’s margin (Pinnacle’s, where it prices the bet). Positive means we tipped before the market moved our way. Over time it says more about skill than a run of results.
Stake
Flat £10 on every pick. A win returns £10 × (odds − 1); a loss costs the £10.
Odds
Decimal prices printed in the article before kick-off. Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change. Never updated afterwards, so line movement we could not have known cannot flatter the record.
What counts
A pick counts once its match is decided and graded a hit or a miss. Voided or unresolvable picks are left out.
Changes and removals
We grade the pick as first published. If a preview is rewritten before kick-off, say after late team news, the first version is the one in this record, at its original price; the later version is not graded instead. A graded pick also stays in the record if its article is later taken down.
Bet builders
Before 6 November 2026, one bet at the three legs’ prices multiplied together. Since then, the hit rate only: a bookmaker prices a builder itself, so multiplying the legs overstates what it pays. It loses if any leg does.
No recorded price
Counted in the hit rate, left out of profit and ROI: there is no price to work from.
Small samples
Small samples swing wildly and one run says little about the next, so rankings go by picks settled, not by profit.

More on how we predict and our corrections policy. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

This page lists every graded pick BetFootball has published, headline tips, bet builders and the additional picks that sit alongside them. Nothing is deleted once it goes wrong. A miss stays a miss, filed alongside the hits, because a record only means something if it includes the picks that didn't come in.

The tables break the same data down by competition and by writer, so you can see how a particular league or a particular author's tips have graded out rather than taking the whole site's figures on trust. Anyone who wants the raw numbers rather than the tables can pull a CSV of every pick BetFootball has ever published from the tip record download.

Grading follows one method throughout. Every pick is settled at a flat £10 stake, at the odds printed when the preview went live rather than anything the market moved to afterwards. Voided bets are stripped out rather than counted as wins. A bet builder is treated as a single bet at the combined price of its three legs, not three separate stakes. The full detail behind those rules is set out on the how we predict page.

If a published tip or a graded result looks wrong, that's handled openly rather than quietly edited. Check the corrections page first, and if the issue isn't already logged there, that's where it gets raised and fixed.