Inter v Fiorentina: Preview, predicted line-ups & team news

Six players on the treatment table and still the bookmakers make Inter heavy favourites. That tells you plenty about how the two sides are shaping up in Serie A.

Inter arrive on the back of six wins and a draw from their opening seven league games, and they sit second in the table.

Fiorentina arrive in rather different circumstances, with one win from seven and a place in the bottom three to show for it.

Inter's start has been built on goals at home. They have won all four league games at San Siro, scoring 15 and conceding six, and last time out they won 3-1 at Bologna to stretch their winning run to four.

The only dropped points so far came in a 2-2 draw at Roma on 19 September, and even that was a game they had to chase.

Their recent numbers are strong across the board. Over their seven league games they average 3.0 goals, 21.7 shots and 62.7 per cent possession, and they have failed to score in none of them.

There is one small wrinkle. They have conceded in five of seven, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed, even against a struggling side.

Fiorentina are 18th with four points from seven games, level with Genoa and Udinese, and they head to Milan having lost 3-1 at home to Como and 2-1 at Genoa in their last two.

Their season has been defined by the back line. They have let in 17 goals, an average of 2.4 a game, and have yet to keep a clean sheet. They have also been beaten 4-0 at Roma and 3-0 by Frosinone at home.

There have been moments of promise. They won 4-2 at Venezia on 11 September and drew 1-1 with Napoli, but the visitors have mostly been in a spot of bother since the opening day.

Away from home they have actually scored more than at home, at 1.7 a game compared with 0.8, so there is a route to a goal for them. A point would feel like a result.

Inter's last seven in all competitions read six wins, one draw and no defeats, and they have scored in every game. Fiorentina's read one win, one draw and five defeats, with two blanks and 17 goals conceded. On the surface this is as lopsided as it gets. The underlying numbers back that up rather than undermine it: Inter's expected goals average is 2.87 for and 1.17 against, while Fiorentina's is 1.65 for and 1.39 against. Fiorentina have been creating chances at a respectable rate, so the problem is more finishing and defending than a lack of ideas. Even so, you have to feel it would take an unusual afternoon for the visitors to turn that around in Milan.

Inter are second with 19 points from seven games, three behind leaders Lazio, who have played a game more. They are a point above third-placed Roma (18 from eight) and two ahead of fourth-placed Como (17), so a win would put them level with Lazio at the top on points from fewer games, while a slip would drag the chasing pack right back into the picture.

Fiorentina are 18th with four points from seven games and a goal difference of minus nine, the worst of the three clubs level on four. Monza in 15th have seven, so the gap to safety is three points. A win would lift them out of the bottom three, at least for a day, while a heavy defeat would deepen the sense that the season is already slipping away.

Inter have won six of the last ten meetings, Fiorentina two, and two have been drawn. The average is 2.9 goals per game, with both teams scoring in half of them (5 of 10) and more than 2.5 goals in 60 per cent (6 of 10). The most recent meeting was a 1-1 draw in Florence on 22 March 2026, and before that Inter won 3-0 at home on 29 October 2025.

The pattern in those numbers is fairly clear: Inter usually win in Milan, and the games are usually open enough to produce goals. Fiorentina did take a point in the last one, which shows they can be awkward, but their current defensive record makes a repeat less likely. For the markets, it points towards over 2.5 goals rather than a tight under, and a home win with Fiorentina grabbing one, rather than a clean sheet, looks the most natural correct-score lean.

The biggest gap is at the back and in the final third. Inter average 3.0 goals a game over their last seven, Fiorentina 1.14. At the other end Inter concede 1.29 a game, Fiorentina 2.43. That is a swing of well over a goal each way before a ball is kicked.

The second gap is territory. Inter average 62.7 per cent possession and 7.3 shots on target, while Fiorentina average 46.7 per cent and 5.4. Fiorentina will probably spend long spells without the ball, so how they cope in the first 15 minutes matters, though Inter have conceded early (3 of their 9 goals came in that period). If the visitors are to get anything, it will come from a quick start and a bit of luck.

Kick-off is at 11:30 GMT on Sunday 25 October 2026 (clocks go back in the UK this weekend, so that is 11:30 UK time). A UK broadcaster has not been confirmed for this game yet, and this page will be updated closer to kick-off once the rights are settled.

The home win is short, so the value sits in the goals markets. Inter have scored three or more in four of their seven league games, and Fiorentina have conceded two or more in five of seven. The visitors' own scoring record keeps both teams to score alive too, which is where the bet builder gets its edge. Here is how it all stacks up.