Inter v Como: Preview, predicted line-ups and Serie A prediction

Inter host this one with a derby defeat still fresh. They lost 3-1 at AC Milan on 31 October, ending a run of four straight wins in all competitions, and now host a Como side that has won four of its last five league games.

The table says it is close. Inter are second on 25 points, Como fourth on 23, and both have played ten. Lazio lead on 28, so a home win keeps Inter in touch at the top, while an away win would put Como level with them.

Inter have lost only once in ten matches. They have not lost at home in the league all season.

Inter's 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last ten tell the story of a side that scores freely. They have 26 goals in 10 league games, an average of 2.6, and have failed to score in none of them. At home that rises to 3.4 a game.

The concern is the back end of games. Inter have conceded 5 of their 13 goals in the opening 15 minutes, and 3 more between the 76th minute and full time. The derby was the first time this season they lost a league game.

They also dominate the ball, averaging 62.7% possession and 21.2 shots a game across their last ten, with 7 on target.

Como are in the Champions League places on 23 points, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their ten league games. They have scored 18 and conceded only 8, which is the second-best defensive record among the top five.

The visitors are a better travelling side than home side in attack. Como have scored 13 goals in six away games (2.2 per game), against 5 in four at home. They won 1-0 at home to Venezia on 1 November and 3-1 at Torino on 27 October.

Their one league defeat came at Frosinone on 20 September, 2-0. They have also drawn blanks twice this season.

Inter's last ten read 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 26 goals for and 13 against. Como's read 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 18 for and 8 against. Surface form is close, but the underlying numbers favour the hosts. Inter average 2.42 expected goals for and 0.83 against, while Como sit well below that on the attacking side and concede 1.10. Inter's one loss is also the freshest result of the two. That matters for confidence, but one defeat at the derby does not undo ten matches of evidence.

Inter are second on 25 points from ten games, three behind Lazio and one ahead of third-placed Roma on 24. Como are fourth on 23, two points behind Inter and two clear of AC Milan in fifth on 21.

A win lifts Inter to within three points of the leaders and puts five points between them and Como. A defeat would let Como draw level on points and hand momentum to a side that has not lost in the league since September. For Como, avoiding defeat at San Siro keeps them firmly in the top four.

Inter and Como have met six times in the last ten-meeting window, with Inter winning five, one draw and no Como wins. Those games average 3.33 goals. Over 2.5 goals landed in half of them (3 of 6) and both teams scored in two (33%). The last meeting was a 3-2 Inter win in the Coppa Italia semi-final at San Siro on 21 April 2026. Nine days earlier Inter won 4-3 at Como in Serie A.

The pattern points to Inter winning, but the last two games have been closer than the earlier results. Inter won 4-0 at San Siro in December 2025, yet had to score four at Como to win in April. Como are scoring more freely against them. That keeps the goals line in play, though the 33% BTTS rate in the full sample suggests Inter's recent record at home, where they concede 1.4 a game, is the better guide.

The biggest gap is at the base of the attack. Inter have averaged 2.6 goals and 21.2 shots a game over their last ten, against 1.8 and 18.9 for Como. That is a gap of 0.8 goals, and it widens at San Siro where their scoring rate is higher still.

Corners tell a related story. Inter concede only 2.8 a game, Como 4.1. If Inter keep territory as they usually do, Como will spend long spells defending. Como's counter is their route back: 13 goals in six away games shows they will score. Their defence has conceded 4 of its 8 goals between the 16th and 30th minutes, which is where Inter need to land the first blow.

Inter lined up in a 3-5-1-1 at the derby and we expect the same shape here, with a back three and wing-backs. Como have used a 4-2-3-1 in nine of their ten league games and should stay with it.

Inter: Martínez; Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni; Spence, Barella, Çalhanoğlu, Sučić, Augusto; Diouf; Thuram

Como: Butez; Couto, Naveros, Kempf, Kaiki; Milla, Ricci; da Cunha, Paz, Baturina; Douvikas

Inter v Como kicks off at 17:00 GMT on Sunday 8 November at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. It is live on DAZN.

The strongest angle is Inter at San Siro. They have won all five home league games and score freely at home, and goals have been a feature of their results, with over 2.5 landing in 8 of their last 10. Como's attack travels well, which makes both teams to score the pairing that holds up best against Inter's home scoring. The anytime scorer leg carries the bet builder.