Genoa v Juventus: Preview, predicted line-ups & team news

Genoa go into Wednesday night with one win in their last two and a nagging problem at the other end. They have scored six goals in eight Serie A games, an average of 0.75 per match, and only Udinese, Fiorentina, Parma and Venezia sit below them on points or goal difference in the bottom half of the table.

Juventus are the worst possible opponent for a side in that state. The visitors beat Lecce 2-0 on Sunday and are unbeaten against Genoa in the league in each of the last five meetings. They arrive at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris short of bodies, but still with enough to make the hosts work for every inch.

Genoa sit 16th on seven points from eight games, with a goal difference of minus seven. They beat Venezia 1-0 at home on Sunday, a result that ended a run of three defeats in four, including a 0-2 loss at Roma on 17 October. Before that, they had beaten Fiorentina 2-1 on 10 October.

The pattern is clear. Genoa have conceded 13 goals, 1.63 a game, and their expected goals against figure of 1.32 says that is no fluke. They have won two of five at home, but have lost all three away games and scored once on the road. Only one clean sheet all season tells its own story.

Juventus are seventh on 14 points from eight games, level with sixth-placed Frosinone and four behind fifth-placed Milan. Their form reads four wins, two draws and two defeats from eight, but the 0-3 home loss to Lazio on 18 October was a jolt. They responded at Lecce on Sunday.

The numbers behind the results are healthy. Juve have an expected goals against figure of just 0.54 and have scored six of their 11 goals in the last 15 minutes, which suggests a side that grinds opponents down. A win would move them within touching distance of the Champions League places.

Genoa have won two, drawn one and lost five of their last eight in Serie A, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Juventus have won four, drawn two and lost two, scoring 11 and conceding 8. The gap is clear, but Juve's form has a wobble in it. They lost 3-2 at Sassuolo in September and 3-0 to Lazio at home last Sunday week, so they are not untouchable. Genoa's two wins, though, came against Venezia, who are 20th, and a Fiorentina side now 18th. Neither is a reliable guide to how they will cope with a side averaging 7.5 corners and 5.38 shots on target per game.

Juventus are seventh on 14 points from eight games, level with Frosinone in sixth, with fifth-placed Milan on 18 from eight. Genoa are 16th on seven points from eight, three clear of 18th-placed Fiorentina and Parma, who both have four points, while Udinese in 17th also have four.

For Genoa, a defeat leaves the cushion at three points with nine games played elsewhere, and a result would be a real boost. For Juve, three points would take them to 17, within a point of Milan, and keep a European push alive after the Lazio hiccup. Neither side has a game in hand on the other.

Juventus have won seven of the last 10 meetings, Genoa one, with two draws. The games average 2.3 goals, and both teams have scored in 40% of them (four of 10). The same proportion, four of 10, have gone over 2.5 goals. The last meeting was a 2-0 Juve win at the Allianz Stadium on 6 April 2026. When the sides met at the Ferraris on 31 August 2025, Juve won 1-0.

The pattern is hard to ignore. Genoa have not scored in any of the last five, and four of those were Juve wins. That points to a low-scoring game, with Under 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score: No both looking sound. A 1-0 or 2-0 away win is the shape most of these games have taken, and nothing in the current form suggests Genoa are about to break it.

The biggest gap is in chance creation. Juventus average 15.88 shots a game, 5.38 of them on target, against 10.63 and 3 for Genoa. Their expected goals figure of 1.44 compares with Genoa's 0.85, and at the other end it is 0.54 against 1.32.

Possession backs it up: 58.5% for Juve to 44.4% for Genoa. Genoa will sit deep, and Juve's 7.5 corners a game against Genoa's concession of 5.38 suggests set pieces will be a major route. If Genoa's low block holds for an hour, the home crowd will get nervous. Juve's late-goal habit is the bigger worry for them.

Genoa v Juventus kicks off at 19:45 GMT on Wednesday 28 October at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris. A UK broadcaster has not been confirmed for this fixture yet, and this page will be updated closer to kick-off.

The value sits in the goals market rather than the result. Genoa have scored one goal in three away games and have drawn a blank against Juve in five straight meetings, so Both Teams to Score: No at 8/13 and Under 2.5 Goals at 8/15 are the angles the data supports most strongly. The Juventus win at 3/4 is our headline pick, and the bet builder below puts it together with a goalscorer.