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England v Croatia prediction, lineups & tips: World Cup 2026 Group L opener

England and Croatia renew one of international football's most loaded rivalries at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Thomas Tuchel's side open their FIFA World Cup 2026 campaign on Wednesday night knowing the outcome sets the tone for Group L.

Published
Wed 17 Jun, 00:05

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Eight years after Mario Mandzukic broke English hearts in extra time in Moscow, England and Croatia are drawn together again at a FIFA World Cup, this time in the rather more air-conditioned surroundings of AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. For Thomas Tuchel's side, Group L of the 2026 World Cup begins here, and the draw has handed them arguably their stiffest test first. Croatia finished third in Qatar in 2022 and reached the final four years before that. They do not travel to tournaments to make up the numbers.

BET FOOTBALL
EnglandEngland
4–2
Full time
CroatiaCroatia
Wed 17 Jun, 21:00

England went through European qualifying with eight wins from eight and a goal difference of 22-0, a record that underlines both the depth and the defensive organisation of this squad. Tuchel has spoken repeatedly about removing the anxiety that plagued Gareth Southgate's sides. "We play with the hunger and the joy to win, not with the fear to lose," the head coach told Sky Sports ahead of the tournament. The preparation has been far from smooth, England's kit was stolen during transit from Florida to their Kansas City base and a tornado warning disrupted their final camp days, but Tuchel insists the squad is settled and ready.

Croatia, meanwhile, come to Texas with a squad that is ageing but still stubborn. Zlatko Dalic's side will rely heavily on Luka Modric, who is 40 years old and, remarkably, still dictating tempo week-in, week-out at AC Milan. Around him, Dallas FC striker Petar Musa, 12 goals in 13 MLS games in 2026, may be preferred to Andrej Kramaric up front. Tottenham target Luka Vuskovic is expected to feature in a back three alongside Josko Gvardiol, still the most expensive defender ever purchased. Croatia are past their peak generation, but they have defied that label at every tournament for a decade.

England's European qualifying form was faultless: eight wins from eight, 22 goals scored, none conceded. Tuchel confirmed that Bukayo Saka, Declan Rice, Noni Madueke and Eberechi Eze were given extra recovery time after Arsenal's Champions League final involvement, but all four are expected to be fully available here. Croatia's main fitness worry is Modric himself, listed as a minor doubt with a cheek injury ahead of Wednesday, though reports suggest he will be fit to start. England have lost six of their last eight World Cup games against European opponents, exiting at the semi-final stage to Croatia in 2018 and to France in 2022, a statistic Tuchel will be acutely aware of.

Last 6 · most recent left
EnglandEngland
No recent formW0 D0 L0
CroatiaCroatia
No recent formW0 D0 L0

After the draw was made, Tuchel was measured but clear about the challenge Croatia represent. "Difficult group, difficult opener. Difficult group with Croatia and Ghana, two regulars in World Cups and two proud and strong nations," the Germany-born head coach said. "For me, I'm only experienced group football in Champions League formats and the way to approach it was to always give it the biggest respect and to put all the focus into winning the group. It always seems difficult like our group now but we are confident and we will be well prepared when we arrive." Croatia manager Zlatko Dalic had not made significant pre-match comments available in English at time of writing.

Line-ups

EnglandEngland4-2-3-1
  • 1GJordan Pickford
  • 24DReece James
  • 2DEzri Konsa
  • 5DJohn Stones
  • 3DNico O'Reilly
  • 8MElliot Anderson
  • 4MDeclan Rice
  • 20MNoni Madueke
  • 10MJude Bellingham
  • 18MAnthony Gordon
  • 9FHarry Kane
Manager · Thomas Tuchel
CroatiaCroatia3-4-2-1
  • 1GDominik Livaković
  • 6DJosip Šutalo
  • 22DLuka Vušković
  • 4DJoško Gvardiol
  • 2MJosip Stanišić
  • 10MLuka Modrić
  • 17MPetar Sučić
  • 14MIvan Perišić
  • 15FMario Pašalić
  • 16FMartin Baturina
  • 26FPetar Musa
Manager · Zlatko Dalic

Where to watch England v Croatia: TV and online stream

England v Croatia kicks off at 21:00 BST on Wednesday, 17 June 2026. The match is live on ITV1 in the UK, with coverage beginning at 20:00 BST. Viewers in Scotland can watch on STV. Both ITV1 and STV are free-to-air. The match is available to stream on ITVX and the STV Player, both free to use with a simple sign-up. In the United States, coverage is on Fox Sports; in Australia on SBS.

Stats for England v Croatia

  • England have gone unbeaten in their last three meetings with Croatia (W2, D1), including a 1-0 win at Euro 2020 and a 2-1 Nations League victory in November 2018.
  • The two sides have met 11 times in total: England lead the all-time record with six wins to Croatia's three, with two draws.
  • Croatia's most famous result in this fixture remains the 2018 World Cup semi-final, a 2-1 win after extra time in Moscow, their only meeting at a World Cup prior to 2026.
  • England went through their European World Cup 2026 qualifying group with eight wins from eight, scoring 22 goals and conceding none.
Headline prediction · our pick
✓ HitConfidence · medium

match result: england to win

England are the stronger, better-organised side and Tuchel has built genuine momentum and confidence in the squad after a flawless qualifying campaign. Croatia have the tournament nous to make this uncomfortable, and Modric, if he starts, will always be a threat. But England have won two of the last three meetings, Croatia's squad is older and the game is played in a closed roof stadium that removes any weather variable. England to win, with Kane getting on the scoresheet.

Best Price4/7bet365 · score 2-0
✓ Prediction landed
TIP 01✗ Miss

Correct Score: 2-0

England kept a clean sheet across all eight of their European qualifying games and Croatia have struggled to score against well-organised defences in recent tournaments. A 2-0 reflects both England's attacking quality, Kane and Bellingham are capable of finding the net, and the likelihood that Tuchel's back four keeps Dalic's ageing attack at bay. At around 11/2, this is a reasonable-value pick if you believe England win to nil, which the qualifying record strongly suggests is possible.

TIP 02✗ Miss

Over 2.5 Goals: Under

Croatia have proved throughout recent tournaments that they can absorb pressure and keep games tight, they went to a World Cup final in 2018 and finished third in 2022 with a defence built on resilience. England's three most recent meetings with Croatia have produced a combined four goals across 270 minutes of football. With Tuchel likely to prioritise structure and not over-commit in an opener, the pattern points firmly to under 2.5 goals. The 10/11 available here carries genuine value.

TIP 03✗ Miss

Both Teams to Score: No

England conceded zero goals in eight qualifying games, and while the World Cup is a step up in quality, Croatia's attack has thinned since the golden generation. Musa is in fine MLS form but unproven at this level, while Kramaric is 34 and not the player he was. The last three meetings between these sides produced a clean sheet for one team in all three fixtures. BTTS No at around 4/5 is the sensible play if you are backing England to keep the sheet clean.

TIP 04✓ Hit

Anytime Goalscorer: Harry Kane

Kane is England's captain and primary outlet, and he arrives at this tournament with the momentum of a top-level club season behind him. He scored in both of England's most recent competitive victories and has a reliable record for England in tournament football, netting six goals at the 2018 World Cup. Against a Croatia defensive unit that no longer has the solidity of 2018, Kane will get opportunities inside the box. Around 11/10 is fair given his conversion rate and starting role.

TIP 05✓ Hit

Double Chance: Home or Draw

For more cautious bettors, the double chance covering an England win or draw reflects the realistic range of outcomes here. Croatia have not beaten England since the 2018 World Cup semi-final and have gone winless in three subsequent meetings. Even if England fail to hit top gear, a draw is the most likely alternative outcome, and eliminates Croatia's unlikely but not impossible win. At around 1/5, this is a low-yield safety net for a multi or as a base for a bet builder leg.

Build the England v Croatia bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Home Win
✓ Hit
Match Result
4/7

England are unbeaten in three against Croatia and qualified without conceding a goal. A home win anchors the builder and makes sense as the starting point. It combines cleanly with both an under-goals leg and a goalscorer leg without creating direct correlation issues.

No
✗ Miss
Both Teams to Score
4/5

BTTS No complements the England win leg without being directly correlated, England can win 1-0 or 2-0 and this leg lands. It does not require England to score a specific number of goals, which avoids the structural trap of pairing a win with an over-goals pick in a game that is likely to be tight and relatively low-scoring.

Harry Kane
✓ Hit
Anytime Goalscorer
11/10

Kane scoring and England keeping a clean sheet is a highly plausible combination, it happened repeatedly in qualifying. This leg sits apart from the match result and BTTS picks in market terms, completing a three-leg builder (Result + BTTS + Goalscorer) that avoids correlated voids. Kane scoring is consistent with a 1-0 or 2-0 England win, which is exactly the scoreline this builder is built around.

Combined Price
74/15
Stake£10.00
Returns£59.35
Profit+£49.35
World Cup · season 2026 · Group LLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
1EnglandEngland3+47
2CroatiaCroatia306
3GhanaGhana304
4PanamaPanama3-40