Venezia v Inter: Preview, predicted line-ups & Serie A betting tips
Bottom-placed Venezia host unbeaten league leaders Inter at the Penzo on Wednesday. Form, head-to-head, team news, line-ups and betting tips.
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Venezia have lost seven of their eight Serie A games this season and sit bottom of the table with 3 points. Their one win, 1-0 at home to Napoli on 17 October, was followed eight days later by a 1-0 defeat at Genoa. The visit of Inter is about as demanding a fixture as the schedule could have produced. Inter arrive as league leaders on 22 points, unbeaten after eight matches and coming off a 2-1 home win over Fiorentina on Sunday. The game is also a first of its kind: the two clubs have never met in Serie A on a day other than a Saturday or Sunday.
Venezia's problem is at both ends. The season numbers show 6 goals scored and 17 conceded in eight games, a goal difference of -11, and 4 failed-to-score matches. They have scored 2.5 goals or more in none of their eight league games, and the 3-1 and 4-2 type scorelines they have conceded (a 4-2 home loss to Fiorentina, a 3-2 defeat at Frosinone) show the defence is being stretched as well.
The home record offers little comfort. At the Penzo Venezia have won 1 and lost 3 of 4, scoring 3 and conceding 8, an average of 2.0 against per home game. The recent-form data shows them averaging 14.63 shots per game with 4.38 on target, so the chances are arriving, but the 1.58 xG for against 0.75 actual goals per game suggests finishing is costing them as much as the defending.
Inter's season is running in the opposite direction. They have won 7 and drawn 1 of 8, scoring 23 and conceding 10, and the league table has them level on 22 points with Lazio, ahead on goal difference (+13 against +11). At home they have won all 5 games with 17 goals, an average of 3.4, though the away record is more modest: 2 wins and a draw from 3, with 6 scored and 3 conceded.
The motivation is plain. A win would take Inter to 25 points, their best total after nine games of a Serie A season in the three-points-for-a-win era. However, the visitors have injury problems in attack, and the Wednesday slot gives little time to recover from Sunday's match.
Form guide ahead of Venezia v Inter
Over their last eight league games Venezia have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 7 defeats, while Inter have 7 wins, 1 draw and no defeats. The recent-form data shows the sides at opposite ends of the scale in scoring too: Inter average 2.88 goals per game against Venezia's 0.75. The one caveat for the surface form is the nature of Inter's wins. Their last five league results include a draw at Roma (2-2) and a 2-1 home win over a Fiorentina side now 18th, so the margin has not always been wide. Even so, Venezia's run of conceding 2.13 goals per game leaves little room for a surprise.
Stats for Venezia v Inter
- Head-to-head: Inter have won all 5 of the last 5 meetings, including a 5-1 Coppa Italia win at San Siro on 3 December 2025
- Venezia: 1 win, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 8 Serie A games, with 6 goals scored and 17 conceded
- Inter: 7 wins and 1 draw from 8, with 23 goals scored (2.9 per game) and failed to score in none of them
- Inter's home record is 5 wins from 5 with 17 goals scored; Venezia have lost 3 of 4 at the Penzo
- Last league meeting at the Penzo: Venezia 0-1 Inter on 12 January 2025
Venezia v Inter in the Serie A table
Inter lead Serie A with 22 points from 8 games, level with second-placed Lazio, and four points clear of third-placed Roma (18). Venezia are 20th with 3 points from 8, one point behind Udinese, Fiorentina and Parma, who all have 4 and sit directly above them. Udinese are 17th and just outside the bottom three on goal difference.
A win would put Inter 3 points clear of Lazio for at least a night and extend the lead on the chasing pack. For Venezia the stakes are smaller in the short term but real: a point or better would lift them level with the three clubs above and keep the gap to safety at 1 point rather than 2 or more. Defeat would leave them winless in 6 of their last 8 home and away games combined and drifting from the bottom group.
Venezia
InterHead-to-head record: Venezia v Inter
Inter have won all 5 of the last 5 meetings in the supplied data, with no draws and no Venezia victory. Those games have averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 (40%) and 2 of 5 going over 2.5 goals (40%). The most recent meeting was a 5-1 Inter win in the Coppa Italia at San Siro on 3 December 2025, and the last league game in Venice finished Venezia 0-1 Inter on 12 January 2025.
The pattern suggests Inter win, but by narrow margins in the league: three of the five meetings finished with a one-goal gap, and Venezia scored in only two of them. That could argue against a big over line here. However, the current squads look different from those 2025 sides, and Inter's season average of 2.9 goals per game and Venezia's 2.1 conceded per game point towards a higher-scoring game than the historical 2.6 average. The correct score and goals markets look more relevant than the BTTS record alone.
Where this fixture is won and lost
The widest gap is in chance quality. Inter's last eight games produced an average of 2.90 xG for and 1.05 against, against 1.58 for and 2.08 against for Venezia. That is a net xG difference of roughly +1.85 per game for Inter against -0.50 for the hosts.
Shots on target tell a similar story. Inter average 7.75 on target per game from 23.13 shots, while Venezia manage 4.38 from 14.63. Possession is the third gap, at 62.8% to 54.3%, and it suggests Inter will control territory against a home side that tends to have the ball without reward. The one area where the hosts compete is corners: Inter win an average of 5.75 per game and concede 3.13, while Venezia win 4.50 and concede 4.75, which makes a lopsided corner count less certain than the shot data implies.
Predicted line-ups for Venezia v Inter
Both sides have used a 3-5-2 in nearly every league game this season (7 of 8 for each), so that shape is the likeliest again.
Venezia: Stanković; Bella-Kotchap, Gomes, Ligue; Sagrado, Busio, Bohinen, Duncan, Haps; Yeboah, Casas
Inter: Provedel; Akanji, Bisseck, Bastoni; Carlos Augusto, Barella, Çalhanoğlu, Zieliński, Dimarco; Thuram, Esposito
Key differentials · last 10 league games
| Metric | Venezia | Inter | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals scored | 0.75 | 2.88 | Inter |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.13 | 1.25 | Inter |
| Avg shots on target | 4.38 | 7.75 | Inter |
| Avg possession % | 54.3 | 62.8 | Inter |
| Avg corners for | 4.5 | 5.75 | Inter |
| xG for / against | 1.58 / 2.08 | 2.9 / 1.05 | Inter |
| Clean sheets (last 8) | 1 | 2 | Inter |
| Failed to score | 4 | 0 | Inter |
| BTTS rate | 3/8 | 6/8 | Level |
| Over 2.5 rate | 3/8 | 7/8 | Level |
Where to watch Venezia v Inter: TV and online streams
Kick-off at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo is at 17:30 GMT on Wednesday 28 October 2026 (18:30 CET). The match will be broadcast live exclusively on DAZN and on Sky channels in Italy. In the UK it is shown on DAZN where selected, and viewers can stream it on the DAZN app. No UK free-to-air or TNT Sports broadcast has been confirmed for this fixture.
Venezia v Inter betting tips
The data points most clearly to an Inter win, but at 1/3 the value sits in the goals markets and in the scoreline rather than the result alone. Inter average 2.9 goals per game and Venezia concede 2.1, which makes over 2.5 goals a firm angle, and Venezia's 1.58 xG per game means BTTS is more live than their 0.75 goals per game suggests. The builder below leans on those two figures.