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20:00Wed, 28 Oct 2026
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Liverpool v Chelsea: EFL Cup preview, predicted line-ups & team news

Liverpool host Chelsea at Anfield in the EFL Cup round of 16. Both managers are expected to rotate, and Chelsea are without the suspended Cole Palmer.

Published
Tue 27 Oct, 23:49

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Round of 16 stakes at Anfield

Liverpool and Chelsea meet at Anfield on Wednesday 28 October with a place in the EFL Cup quarter-finals at stake. The tie is a single match, so there is no second leg to recover in. Liverpool's head coach Andoni Iraola has said there will definitely be changes to his starting XI. That makes the depth of each squad as relevant as the first-choice sides. The bookmaker price reflects a tight contest: bet365 make Liverpool 5/4 for the 90 minutes, the draw 11/4 and Chelsea 9/5. The two clubs have met 10 times in the supplied head-to-head record, with five draws, three Liverpool wins and two Chelsea wins, so a level score after 90 minutes is a live possibility.

BET FOOTBALL
LiverpoolLiverpool
VS
ChelseaChelsea
Wed 28 Oct, 20:00•Anfield

How both sides reached the last 16

Liverpool have played once in the competition this season, beating Tottenham 3-1 at home on 15 September. The season data shows they averaged 12 shots per game in that tie, with 5 on target and 55% possession. They did concede 9 corners, however, against 5 won, which suggests Tottenham had spells of territorial pressure.

an average of 4.0 per game, from 21 shots per game and an average expected-goals figure of 3.19. They have also conceded 3, so their defensive record is less convincing than the attack. Daniel Welbeck is their joint-highest cup scorer on the supplied list, with 3 goals from 2 appearances. Chelsea arrive after a 2-0 Premier League defeat to Tottenham.

Rotation expected on both sides

Liverpool's rotation is partly forced by the calendar. Iraola made six changes for the Champions League win over Villarreal, then four for the Premier League win over Brighton on Sunday. He has said a squad playing every three days needs to rotate, and that some changes are forced by availability. Chelsea face a similar balance. The cup is their first chance of domestic silverware this season, which argues for a strong side. However, so Alonso is likely to pick from a wider group than he might wish. Chelsea's 4-2-3-1 and 3-4-2-1 shapes have both appeared in the competition this season.

Predicted line-ups

Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Mamardashvili; Gomez, Araújo, Jacquet, Tsimikas; Endo, Nyoni; Barcola, Wirtz, Gakpo; Isak. Wirtz is the main fitness question, and Mac Allister or Gravenberch could replace one of the midfield pair if Iraola limits the changes.

Chelsea (3-4-2-1): Penders; Acheampong, Colwill, Fofana; Gusto, Lavia, Caicedo, Palestra; Rogers, Estêvão; Welbeck. The back three is the likeliest area for rotation, with Lacroix the alternative to Fofana.

Where to watch Liverpool v Chelsea

Kick-off is at 8pm on Wednesday 28 October (UK time, which is GMT after the clocks went back). The club says the match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports and ITV in the UK. That means Sky Sports coverage and a free-to-air showing on ITV1 and ITVX. If the scores are level after 90 minutes, the tie goes straight to a penalty shootout, with no extra time. This is a single-leg tie.

Cup numbers to know

  • Liverpool's 3-1 home win over Tottenham in round three is their biggest margin of the competition so far, with 3 goals from 5 shots on target.
  • Chelsea's 6-3 win over Leeds is their biggest cup win this season. They have scored 57% of their goals in the 46-60 minute window.
  • The sides last met in a cup tie in the 2024 League Cup final, when Liverpool won 1-0 at Wembley.
  • Their last meeting was a 1-1 Premier League draw at Anfield on 9 May 2026. Across 10 meetings the average is 2.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 60%.
TIP 01

Correct Score: 2-1

A 2-1 home win is priced at 8/1 and fits the profile of both sides. Liverpool scored three at home against Tottenham, while Chelsea have scored in both ties this season. The risk is that a rotated Liverpool defence concedes more than once.

Best Price
8/1
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 02

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Over 2.5 is priced at 2/5. Chelsea's two ties have produced 5.5 goals per game on average, and Liverpool's one tie produced four. Their last ten meetings averaged only 2.0 goals, however, and 40% went over 2.5, so the line is not safe.

Best Price
2/5
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 03

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Chelsea have scored in both cup ties and conceded three, while Liverpool conceded once against Tottenham. Both teams scored in six of the last ten meetings, a 60% rate. The short price of 4/11 reflects that, and a clean sheet from a rotated back line is the main risk.

Best Price
5/14
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 04

Anytime Goalscorer: D. Welbeck

Welbeck has 3 goals from 6 shots in 163 minutes of cup football this season, with 4 on target.

Best Price
2/1
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 05

To Qualify: Home

Liverpool are 13/20 to progress when the draw is removed. A shootout is possible as the sides drew five of ten meetings, but home advantage and a deeper squad tilt the numbers towards Liverpool. Chelsea's league defeat to Tottenham suggests their form has dipped.

Best Price
13/20
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.

Build the Liverpool v Chelsea bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 LegsCombined Price Below
Home Win
Match Result
5/4

Liverpool at home anchor the builder, supported by a 3-1 cup win at Anfield this season. The other two legs depend on a fairly open game rather than a heavily one-sided result.

Over
Over 2.5 Goals
2/5

Chelsea's 21 shots per game and Liverpool's 12 suggest enough chances for three goals. Corners also point to an open game, with Chelsea averaging 6 for and Liverpool conceding 9 in their one tie. This leg complements the home win without requiring a big margin.

D. Welbeck
Anytime Goalscorer
2/1

Welbeck scoring is compatible with a narrow Liverpool win, since Chelsea are expected to net at least once. It adds a longer price to two short ones, and his 3 goals in the competition supply the evidence.

Combined Price
169/20
Stake£10.00
Returns£94.50
Profit+£84.50
Build at bet365
Builder goes to bet365 · 18+ · GambleAware
Odds correct at time of publish.