Strasbourg v PSG: Preview, predicted line-ups and team news
PSG visit the Meinau unbeaten in four away league games, while Strasbourg arrive on the back of defeats at Nice and Paris FC.
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Paris Saint Germain arrive in Alsace sixth in Ligue 1 and still looking for a run that matches their billing. They are unbeaten on the road, with two wins and two draws from four, but they dropped points at Lille and Rennes, and lost at home to Monaco on 4 September.
Strasbourg are in a different kind of trouble. They lost 2-1 at Nice last Sunday and went down by the same score at Paris FC on 19 September. To cap it all, their only league defeat before that was a 4-0 hammering at Marseille.
Saturday's game at the Stade de la Meinau pits PSG's pressure against a home side that has scored freely but conceded far too often.
PSG have 11 points from six games, with three wins, two draws and one defeat. They have scored 11 and conceded eight. Their form line reads DDLWWW, and they have won each of their last three, most recently 3-1 at home to Le Mans on 10 October.
The numbers behind those results are strong. They average 67.2% possession and 21.3 shots per game over their last six, and have kept one clean sheet. Their away record is better than their home one: 1.8 goals per game scored on the road, and 1.3 conceded.
Strasbourg have won two of their six league games, drawn one and lost three. They have scored 11 and conceded 12, and have not kept a clean sheet. The hosts are particularly vulnerable late on, with five of their 12 goals against coming between the 76th minute and full time.
They have been far better at home than away, though the sample is small. They have played twice at the Meinau, beating Lens 2-1 and drawing 1-1 with Monaco. Away from home they have won once, a 6-2 win at Troyes, and lost three.
Stats for Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain
- PSG are unbeaten in four Ligue 1 away games this season (W2 D2), scoring 7 and conceding 5.
- Strasbourg have kept no clean sheets in six league games and have conceded 12 goals, an average of 2.0 per game.
- Both teams have scored in five of Strasbourg's last six and five of PSG's last six, and five of each side's six games have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Strasbourg have taken four points from two home games this season (W1 D1), conceding two goals.
- Ferran Torres has four league goals for PSG this season from 11 shots, five of them on target.
Form guide ahead of Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain
PSG's last six league games read three wins, two draws and one defeat. Strasbourg's read two wins, one draw and three defeats. The gap is clear, but the surface form hides a wider one in the underlying data. Strasbourg have an expected goals for figure of 1.14 and an expected goals against figure of 1.84 over that run, which suggests their 6-2 win at Troyes flatters them. PSG's figures are 2.61 for and 1.19 against. Strasbourg have lost two on the bounce, and PSG have won three in a row, so momentum sits firmly with the visitors.
Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 table
PSG are sixth on 11 points from six games, level with Paris FC and Lyon and two points behind Lille and Rennes. The leaders Monaco have 14. The supplied table puts PSG in the play-off places for now, three points off the top. A win moves them into the top three positions on points for the first time this season, if results elsewhere allow.
Strasbourg's league position is not in the table snapshot we hold, but their six games have brought three defeats and a goal difference of minus one. A third home game without a win would make the Meinau look less like a fortress and more like a worry. A home win would be their best result of the campaign.
Strasbourg
Paris Saint GermainHead-to-head record: Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain
We do not have a verified head-to-head summary for this fixture, so there are no meeting counts or last-score figures to quote. What we do have is this season's form for both sides, and it points to goals. Both teams have scored in five of their last six, and five of each team's six games have produced over 2.5 goals.
That makes goals the sensible lean. Strasbourg score freely, with 11 in six, and concede at a rate of two per game. PSG average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. A 2-1 or 3-1 to the visitors fits both sets of numbers.
Where this fixture is won and lost
The biggest gap is control. PSG average 67.2% possession to Strasbourg's 47.8%, and 7.3 shots on target to 4.5. Strasbourg have conceded 5.3 corners per game and won only two, while PSG win 5.7 and give up 1.7. Expect the visitors to spend long spells in the Strasbourg half.
The second gap is chance quality. Strasbourg's expected goals against of 1.84 is well above PSG's 1.19. If PSG make the most of that territory, the hosts' counter-attacking threat, which brought four goals between the 31st and 45th minutes, will be their only route back.
Predicted line-ups for Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain
Both sides have mostly started in a 4-3-3 this season: Strasbourg in four of six games and PSG in five of six. These XIs are predictions, not confirmed teams.
Strasbourg: Jörgensen; Diop, Diongu, Diandaga, Høgsberg; Oyedele, Diémé, Doukouré; Mitchell, Ortega, Amo-Ameyaw
Paris Saint Germain: Safonov; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Nuno Mendes; Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz, Kvaratskhelia
Key differentials · last 10 league games
| Metric | Strasbourg | Paris Saint Germain | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals scored | 1.83 | 1.83 | Level |
| Avg goals conceded | 2 | 1.33 | Paris |
| Avg shots on target | 4.5 | 7.33 | Paris |
| Avg possession % | 47.8 | 67.2 | Paris |
| Avg corners for | 2 | 5.67 | Paris |
| xG for / against | 1.14 / 1.84 | 2.61 / 1.19 | Paris |
| Clean sheets (last 6) | 0 | 1 | Paris |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | Paris |
| BTTS rate | 5/6 | 5/6 | Level |
| Over 2.5 rate | 5/6 | 5/6 | Level |
Where to watch Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain: TV and online streams
Strasbourg v PSG kicks off at 16:15 BST on Saturday 17 October at the Stade de la Meinau. In the UK the game is shown on Ligue 1+ where selected. A specific channel for this fixture has not been confirmed, and we will update this page closer to kick-off.
Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain betting tips
The strongest angle is goals at both ends. Five of Strasbourg's last six league games and five of PSG's have gone over 2.5 goals and had both teams scoring. Strasbourg concede two a game, and PSG's shot volume of 21.3 a game makes a visitors' win the base for everything else, with Ferran Torres the most obvious scorer. The bet builder below leans on that.