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Matchday 4
35th · Home
20:00Wed, 4 Nov 2026
24th · Away
Referee Michael OliverWatch (UK) TNT Sports

FC Porto v Napoli prediction: winless hosts face a Napoli side with a depleted defence

Porto have lost all three Champions League games and have not scored at home. Napoli arrive with 3 points and a long injury list.

Published
Tue 3 Nov, 22:56

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Porto and Napoli both need points in the Champions League

FC Porto are pointless after three Champions League games and need a result against Napoli on Wednesday night.

The hosts have lost to Manchester City, Real Betis and PSV Eindhoven. They have not scored in either of their two home games.

Napoli sit 22nd in the league phase on 3 points, with one win from three. The top 24 go into the play-offs, so this is a game both sides badly need.

BET FOOTBALL
FC PortoFC Porto
VS
NapoliNapoli
Wed 4 Nov, 20:00

How Porto and Napoli got here

Porto opened with a 2-0 home defeat to Manchester City on 8 September. They lost 3-2 away to Real Betis on 14 October, then 1-0 at home to PSV on 20 October. That makes two goals scored and six conceded, with an average of 39.7% possession across the three games.

Napoli lost 1-0 at home to Arsenal on 9 September and 3-1 away to Villarreal on 13 October. They then beat Bodo/Glimt 4-3 at home on 20 October. They have scored five and conceded seven, and have not kept a clean sheet.

Rotation and pressure

Rotation is unlikely to be a factor. Porto have no points to protect and nothing to save their legs for, so expect the strongest side available.

Napoli have more of a selection problem than a choice. With so many defenders and midfielders out, the visitors will field close to whoever is fit.

Last 6 · most recent left
FC PortoFC Porto
L0-1 (FC Porto - PSV Eindhoven)20/10/2026L3-2 (Real Betis - FC Porto)14/10/2026L0-2 (FC Porto - Manchester City)08/09/2026W0 D0 L3
NapoliNapoli
W4-3 (Napoli - Bodo/Glimt)20/10/2026L3-1 (Villarreal - Napoli)13/10/2026L0-1 (Napoli - Arsenal)09/09/2026W1 D0 L2
Champions League · season 2026 · League PhaseLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
23Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt4-54
24NapoliNapoli3-23
25Sabah FASabah FA3-33
26LensLens3-43
27AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3-53
28RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3-53
29VillarrealVillarreal4-63
30FeyenoordFeyenoord4-73
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha3-31
33VikingViking3-41
34LilleLille4-61
35FC PortoFC Porto3-40
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava4-160

Predicted line-ups for FC Porto v Napoli

FC Porto (4-3-3): Diogo Costa; Martim Fernandes, Bednarek, Kiwior, Moura; Hwang In-Beom, Fofana, Gabri Veiga; Borja Sainz, Samu, Gabriel Veron

Napoli (3-4-2-1): Meret; Beukema, Rafa Marin, Rrahmani; Politano, Gilmour, Zambo Anguissa, Vergara; McTominay, Giovane; Lucca

De Bruyne, Di Lorenzo and Olivera are the late calls for Napoli. Pietuszewski and Smalling are the same for Porto.

Where to watch FC Porto v Napoli: TV and online streams

Kick-off is at 20:00 GMT (UK time) on Wednesday 4 November. The match is shown on TNT Sports where selected. TNT Sports holds the UK rights to the competition this season.

This is a league-phase game, so there is no extra time or penalty shoot-out. A draw after 90 minutes means one point each.

Stats for FC Porto v Napoli

  • Porto have lost all three league-phase games, scoring 2 and conceding 6, and have failed to score in both home games.
  • Napoli have conceded in every game this season, 7 goals in 3 matches (2.3 per game).
  • Napoli's 4-3 win over Bodo/Glimt on 20 October is their only win. They have lost both of their away and home games against Arsenal and Villarreal.
  • Porto have averaged 1.05 xG for and 1.67 xG against across their three games.
TIP 01

Correct Score: 2-1

Porto have conceded 2.0 goals per game and Napoli 2.33, and both have conceded in all three matches. A one-goal margin with goals at both ends fits those numbers. The risk is Porto's blank record at home, which could turn this into a 1-1.

Best Price
15/2
Place bet
Odds checked 04:58 · Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.
TIP 02

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Napoli have conceded 7 in three and scored 5, so their games average 4 goals. Porto's defence has let in 6. Napoli's makeshift back line makes the over our pick, though Porto's low shot volume (9 per game) is the caveat.

Best Price
8/11
Place bet
Odds checked 04:58 · Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.
TIP 03

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Napoli have scored in all three away and home games bar one, and Porto have conceded in every match. Napoli average 4.33 shots on target. Porto's two home blanks are the reason this is not a certainty.

Best Price
8/13
Place bet
Odds checked 04:58 · Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.
TIP 04

Anytime Goalscorer: L. Lucca

Lucca is the likeliest Napoli attacking threat up front with Neres and Alisson Santos both out. Napoli average 1.67 goals per game and he should be close to the chances. He is not on the injury list.

Best Price
13/5
Place bet
Odds checked 04:58 · Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.
TIP 05

Double Chance: Home or Draw

Porto at home against a side missing nine players is the safer angle. Napoli have lost both their away trips and home against Arsenal, so they can be beaten. The risk is Porto's three straight defeats.

Best Price
1/4
Place bet
Odds checked 04:58 · Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.

Build the FC Porto v Napoli bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 LegsOdds checked 04:58
Home Win
Match Result
19/20

Porto are the side that most need the points and face a depleted Napoli back line. This anchors the builder. It sits comfortably with goals at both ends.

Yes
Both Teams to Score
8/13

Both defences have conceded in every game. It complements the home win by allowing a 2-1 type scoreline, rather than needing a clean sheet.

L. Lucca
Anytime Goalscorer
13/5

This leg backs Napoli to score, which supports the BTTS leg directly. It does not clash with a Porto win.

Build this on bet365 for the combined price.

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Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.