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FC Porto v Manchester City: Champions League prediction, lineups and tips

Porto open their Champions League league phase campaign against Manchester City at the Estadio do Dragao, with F. Farioli's unbeaten side facing their toughest test yet.

Published
Mon 7 Sept, 20:19
Updated
Tue 8 Sept, 15:41

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What is at stake in this Champions League opener

Porto open their Champions League league phase campaign against opposition considerably tougher than anything they have faced domestically this season. F. Farioli's side have won all seven matches they have played across two competitions this term, scoring 12 goals and conceding just once, and they arrive at Tuesday's game full of confidence. Manchester City, by contrast, have made a solid if unspectacular start under Enzo Maresca and travel to the Dragao knowing a slow start to the group phase would pile pressure on straight away.

BET FOOTBALL
FC PortoFC Porto
0–2
Full time
Manchester CityManchester City
Tue 8 Sept, 20:00

Path to this round for Porto and Manchester City

Porto return to the Champions League proper for the first time since the 2023-24 campaign, having reclaimed the Primeira Liga title last season under Farioli. Their five-match league winning run has come against Alverca, Rio Ave, Arouca, Viseu and Moreirense, results that have built momentum but offered nothing like the test City represent.

Manchester City have won all three of their Premier League matches so far this season and head to Portugal on the back of a narrow 1-0 win in their last outing, a game in which club-record signing Enzo Fernandez was thrust into the starting XI earlier than planned following an injury to Nico O'Reilly. Maresca's side have looked considerably more assured at home than away in Europe in recent seasons, and that discrepancy will be under scrutiny again here.

Rotation risk for Porto v Manchester City

Farioli has treated his Champions League return as a chance to test squad depth, hinting that some regulars who have carried the load domestically could be freshened up given the physical demands of a first European test in over two years. Maresca, for his part, has a fully-loaded midfield and attack to choose from and is unlikely to experiment much given how competitive this league phase format is from matchday one.

Last 6 · most recent left
FC PortoFC Porto
No recent formW0 D0 L0
Manchester CityManchester City
No recent formW0 D0 L0
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Champions League
Last 2 meetings · most recent first
  1. 1 Dec 20FC Porto0–0Manchester CityDraw
  2. 21 Oct 20Manchester City3–1FC PortoManchester City
Home wins
0
Draws
1
Away wins
1
Goals · H / A
3 / 1

Farioli on facing Manchester City

Farioli was in reflective mood when asked about Porto's history in this competition ahead of the visit of City. He said: "The history of FC Porto in the Champions League is enormous, in terms of games played, participations and the two trophies that are there. Now we are going to face one of the main candidates to win the title. We have huge respect for the opponent, for their individual quality, their organisation, for the legacy they built with Pep Guardiola and the new era with Maresca."

He added that his side would give everything to send their own fans home happy, noting that the Dragao has a habit of producing something special on European nights.

Line-ups

FC PortoFC Porto4-3-3
  • 99GDiogo Costa
  • 20DAlberto Baio
  • 18DN. Pérez
  • 4DJ. Kiwior
  • 52DMartim Fernandes
  • 13MP. Rosario
  • 22MA. Varela
  • 10MGabri Veiga
  • 7FWilliam
  • 19FAndré Silva
  • 11FPepê Aquino
Manager · F. Farioli
Manchester CityManchester City4-2-3-1
  • 1GG. Donnarumma
  • 27DMatheus Nunes
  • 3DRúben Dias
  • 6DM. Guéhi
  • 24DJ. Gvardiol
  • 32MA. Bouaddi
  • 17ME. Fernández
  • 42MA. Semenyo
  • 10MR. Cherki
  • 47MP. Foden
  • 9FE. Haaland
Manager · E. Maresca

Where to watch FC Porto v Manchester City: TV and online streams

Kick-off at the Estadio do Dragao is at 20:00 BST on Tuesday. The game will be shown live in the UK on Amazon Prime Video, which holds exclusive rights to a top-pick Tuesday Champions League fixture each week this season. This is a single match in the league phase rather than a two-legged tie, so there is no extra time or penalties, the result stands after 90 minutes.

Stats for FC Porto v Manchester City

  • Porto have won all seven matches they have played in all competitions this season, scoring 12 goals and conceding just once
  • Porto have never beaten Manchester City in a competitive fixture, losing three of four previous meetings and drawing the other
  • The last meeting between the two sides finished Porto 0-0 Manchester City, in the Champions League group stage on 1 December 2020
  • Manchester City have won all three of their Premier League matches so far this season
Headline prediction · our pick
✓ HitConfidence · medium

match result: manchester city to win

Porto's unbeaten start to the season is built on domestic form well below the level City are used to competing at, and their record against this opponent, no wins in four competitive meetings, tells its own story. City have looked shakier away from home in Europe than their results elsewhere suggest they should, but the quality in Maresca's squad, with Haaland and Foden both expected to start, should be enough to unlock a Porto side who have not tested themselves against opposition of this calibre in over two years.

Best Price17/20bet365 · score 1-2
✓ Prediction landed
TIP 01✗ Miss

Correct Score: 1-2

Porto have scored freely this season, 12 goals in seven games, so a blank looks unlikely even against City's defence. A narrow City win in a game with goals at both ends fits the pattern of their last four meetings, none of which have been one-sided.

TIP 02✗ Miss

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Porto have averaged well over a goal and a half a game across their unbeaten run this season, and City rarely play out low-scoring away fixtures when their front line is at full strength. Both sides have attacking intent, which points toward goals at both ends rather than a cagey affair.

TIP 03✗ Miss

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Porto's attacking form, 12 goals in seven matches this season, suggests they will create chances even against City's back line. City have shown defensive vulnerability away from home in Europe recently, which should give the hosts an opening to get on the scoresheet.

TIP 04✓ Hit

Anytime Goalscorer: Erling Haaland

Haaland is expected to lead the line for City and has been among the most reliable finishers in the competition in recent seasons. With City needing goals to make a winning start to the league phase, he is the obvious focal point of their attack.

TIP 05✓ Hit

Double Chance: Away or Draw

City have not lost to Porto in four competitive meetings, and their squad depth gives them an edge even away from home. This is a safer route to backing City's superior quality without needing to call the exact margin.

Build the FC Porto v Manchester City bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Away Win
✓ Hit
Match Result
17/20

City's record against Porto, unbeaten in four competitive meetings, is the foundation of this builder. Their squad depth should tell over 90 minutes even with the away leg in European competition historically being their weaker suit.

Yes
✗ Miss
Both Teams to Score
9/10

Porto's attacking form, 12 goals in seven games this season, makes a Porto blank unlikely, complementing the City win selection with a goal for the hosts too. This pairs well with a City win that is not built on a clean sheet.

Erling Haaland
✓ Hit
Anytime Goalscorer
1/2

If City are to win as predicted, Haaland scoring is the most direct route given his central role in Maresca's attack. This leg ties the result and the goalscorer together without duplicating the correct score pick.

Combined Price
47/11
Stake£10.00
Returns£52.73
Profit+£42.73