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Matchday 3
4th · Home
20:00Tue, 20 Oct 2026
15th · Away
Venue MHPArenaReferee Serdar GozubuyukWatch (UK) TNT Sports

VfB Stuttgart v Atletico Madrid: Champions League preview, predicted line-ups & tips

Stuttgart have won both of their Champions League games so far and Atletico Madrid are one win from one. Here's our preview, team news and prediction for matchday three at the MHPArena.

Published
Mon 19 Oct, 12:09
Updated
Mon 19 Oct, 22:18

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It's only matchday three of the Champions League league stage, but Tuesday night at the MHPArena already has the feel of a useful early marker.

VfB Stuttgart sit fourth in the table on six points from two games, a spot that currently carries a place in the last-16 play-offs.

Atletico Madrid arrive with a win and a defeat to their name, which makes this a chance to steady things before the schedule gets any busier.

There's no two-legged tie here, so every point is banked straight away - and for a side hoping to dodge the play-off round altogether, none of them are spare.

BET FOOTBALL
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
VS
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Tue 20 Oct, 20:00•MHPArena

How did Stuttgart get here? Comfortably, so far.

They opened with a 3-1 home win over Viking on 9 September and followed it with a 3-0 win away at Slovan Bratislava on 14 October.

That's six goals scored and one conceded across two games, and the numbers underneath back it up, with an average of 63% possession and 5.5 shots on target per game.

How did Atletico get here? Unevenly.

They lost 2-1 away at Liverpool on 9 September, then bounced back with a 2-0 home win over Manchester United on 13 October.

That's three scored and two conceded, and their recent-form figures show an average of 1.19 expected goals for against 1.3 against, so it's been a tighter ride than the results suggest.

Rotation isn't much of a worry with only two games played in the competition, and both sides will fancy their chances of taking something from this one.

Stuttgart have had a week between their last two European outings and will want to keep the winning rhythm going, so a strong XI looks the sensible call.

Atletico played on the Tuesday of last week, so the turnaround is a normal one and there's no obvious reason for wholesale changes.

The bigger selection question for the hosts is at the back, where a handful of absentees (below) leave the defence looking a little thin.

Last 6 · most recent left
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
W0-3 (Slovan Bratislava - VfB Stuttgart)14/10/2026W3-1 (VfB Stuttgart - Viking)09/09/2026W2 D0 L0
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
W2-0 (Atletico Madrid - Manchester United)13/10/2026L2-1 (Liverpool - Atletico Madrid)09/09/2026W1 D0 L1
Champions League · season 2026 · UEFA Champions LeagueLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
3Aston VillaAston Villa2+76
4VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart2+56
5LiverpoolLiverpool2+46
6Sporting CPSporting CP2+46
7ArsenalArsenal2+46
8Real MadridReal Madrid2+26
9Real BetisReal Betis2+26
10Bayern MünchenBayern München2+54
11Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk2+24
12ComoComo2+23
13Manchester UnitedManchester United2+23
14VillarrealVillarreal2+13
15Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid2+13
16Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV203
Champions League

Stuttgart (predicted): Bredlow; Vagnoman, Chabot, Hendriks, Zagadou; Karazor, Stiller; Führich, El Khannouss, Undav; Demirović.

They've used both a 4-2-3-1 and a 3-2-4-1 this season, so the shape is open, but Demirović is the obvious focal point after four goals in the competition already.

Atletico Madrid (predicted): Oblak; Marcos Llorente, Le Normand, Hancko, Grimaldo; Koke, Cardoso, Barrios; Lookman, Álvarez, Sørloth.

They've lined up in a 4-4-2 and a 3-5-2 so far, so a back three wouldn't be a shock.

Kick-off is at 20:00 BST on Tuesday 20 October 2026, and the game is shown on TNT Sports where selected.

This is a league-stage match, so there are no first or second legs to worry about.

If the scores are level after 90 minutes, the game finishes as a draw, because there's no extra time or penalty shootout in the league phase.

Stuttgart v Atletico Madrid: the numbers

  • Stuttgart have scored six and conceded one in two Champions League games this season, an average of three goals per game.
  • Atletico's recent form shows 10 shots per game against Stuttgart's 16.5, though both averages come from only two matches.
  • Stuttgart have kept one clean sheet already, a 3-0 away win at Slovan Bratislava, and have not failed to score.
  • Atletico have conceded two goals in their two games and let both in on the road at Liverpool.
TIP 01

Correct Score: 2-1

Stuttgart have scored in both games and average three goals, while Atletico have scored in both of theirs too. A 2-1 home win fits that picture neatly. The risk is that Atletico tighten things up and it ends 1-0 or 1-1.

Best Price
8/1
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 02

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Stuttgart have gone over 2.5 goals in both of their games, though Atletico's two have gone under. That leaves the line finely balanced. Stuttgart's attacking numbers, 2.2 expected goals per game, tip it slightly towards the over.

Best Price
9/10
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 03

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Atletico have scored in both games, and Stuttgart have scored in both too. The hosts' thin back line gives the visitors a way in. The risk is a Stuttgart clean sheet, which they've already managed once.

Best Price
4/5
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 04

Anytime Goalscorer: E. Demirović

Demirović has four goals in two appearances in the competition from five shots, four of them on target. That's a ruthless return, even if he's only started once. He may not play the full 90, which is the main concern.

Best Price
8/5
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 05

Double Chance: Home or Draw

Editor's choice. Stuttgart are unbeaten and their possession gives them the platform to avoid defeat at home. On corners, Stuttgart average 5.5 for while Atletico concede around six per game, so a high count for the hosts looks plausible too. The danger is Atletico's quality on the break.

Best Price
2/5
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.

Build the VfB Stuttgart v Atletico Madrid bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 LegsCombined Price Below
Home or Draw
Double Chance
2/5

It's the safe base for the bet builder, covering the hosts' home advantage and their strong start. It lets the other two legs do the heavy lifting.

Yes
Both Teams to Score
4/5

It pairs well with the double chance because it covers a narrow home win or a score draw. Atletico have scored in both of their games, so they should find a goal.

E. Demirović
Anytime Goalscorer
8/5

Demirović is the main source of Stuttgart's goals, so he's a natural fit alongside a home-or-draw leg. If the hosts do score, he's the most likely to be involved.

Combined Price
111/20
Stake£10.00
Returns£65.52
Profit+£55.52
Build at bet365
Builder goes to bet365 · 18+ · GambleAware
Odds correct at time of publish.