Skip to content
Bet Football
World CupWorld CupFull time
4th · Home
Full time1–3
2nd · Away
F. Surman 15'
M. Ziko 58'M. Salah 67'Trezeguet 82'
T. Payne 15'
Assists
M. Hany 58'M. Ziko 67'M. Salah 82'
Venue BC PlaceReferee Omar Mohamed Al Ali, United Arab EmiratesWatch (UK) BBC / ITV

New Zealand v Egypt prediction, lineups & World Cup 2026 tips

Both sides drew their Group G openers and need a win at BC Place to take a firm grip on qualification. Egypt carry the greater firepower but New Zealand showed against Iran they are not here simply to make up the numbers.

Published
Sun 21 Jun, 05:17

18+. Please gamble responsibly. Some links here are affiliate links: we may earn a commission if you open an account, at no cost to you and with no effect on our tips. How we are funded · BeGambleAware.org

BET FOOTBALL
New ZealandNew Zealand
1–3
Full time
EgyptEgypt
Mon 22 Jun, 02:00•BC Place

Egypt coach Hossam Hassan called Monday's Group G fixture against New Zealand a "pivotal point" of the tournament at his pre-match press conference in Vancouver on Saturday, a sign of just how much weight both camps are placing on 90 minutes at BC Place.

All four sides in Group G picked up a point on Matchday 1, leaving the table perfectly level. New Zealand drew 2-2 with Iran in Los Angeles, while Egypt held Belgium to a 1-1 stalemate in Seattle. The maths is straightforward: a win here puts the victor in a strong position to reach the knockout stage of a FIFA World Cup 2026 for the first time in their respective histories. A second draw leaves both sides needing a result on the final matchday with no guarantees.

New Zealand are back at a World Cup for the first time since 2010, ending a 16-year absence, and their opener against Iran was as encouraging a debut as any All Whites fan could have hoped for. Elijah Just, the Motherwell winger, scored twice, in the 6th and early in the second half, to give New Zealand the lead on both occasions, before Iran levelled each time. Darren Bazeley called it "our best performance ever." Just's brace took his international tally to 11 goals, and Bazeley has been open about his ambitions ahead of this one. "It's a game that we're not scared of," he told Stuff. "We want to make history. We're disappointed we didn't make history [against Iran] but it was good for us to get a point."

The concern for the All Whites is defensiveness: they have gone 12 games without a clean sheet, and their backline was twice exposed against Iran. Egypt's counter-attacking runners, Omar Marmoush and Mohamed Salah operating through the centre, present a markedly different proposition to anything New Zealand has faced at this tournament.

Last 6 · most recent left
New ZealandNew Zealand
DW0 D1 L0
EgyptEgypt
DW0 D1 L0
Last 1 meetings · most recent first
  1. 22 Mar 24Egypt1–0New ZealandEgypt
Home wins
0
Draws
0
Away wins
1
Goals · H / A
1 / 0

Egypt arrived at this tournament as Africa's most in-form qualifying side: eight wins, two draws, zero defeats, 20 goals scored, and just two conceded across ten CAF matches. Hassan's team made an instant impression against Belgium, taking the lead through an Emam Ashour strike set up by Salah, before Romelu Lukaku's introduction forced an own goal from Mohamed Hany in the 66th minute. It was the first goal Egypt had conceded in the entire qualifying cycle.

This is Egypt's first World Cup since 1990, a 36-year wait, and with Salah, 34, captaining the side at what is widely regarded as his final tournament, the Pharaohs are not short of motivation. Hassan, Egypt's all-time leading scorer with 69 international goals, told reporters ahead of the New Zealand game: "We studied the opponent well. The New Zealand team is characterised by a style similar to European football in terms of physical strength and tactical discipline. Focus will be the decisive factor in the match."

Egypt's pre-tournament form backs up the confidence. They held Spain to a 0-0 draw in March, beat Saudi Arabia 4-0, and lost only narrowly to Brazil 2-1 in Ohio in June. New Zealand's friendlies told a tougher story, losses to Haiti, England and Finland, though those results were put into sharper context by what they produced against Iran. Bazeley's squad is clearly a side that rises to competitive football.

Line-ups

New ZealandNew Zealand4-2-3-1
  • 1GMax Crocombe
  • 2DTim Payne
  • 16DFinn Surman
  • 5DMichael Boxall
  • 13DLiberato Cacace
  • 6MJoe Bell
  • 8MMarko Stamenić
  • 20MCallum McCowatt
  • 10MSarpreet Singh
  • 11MElijah Just
  • 9FChris Wood
EgyptEgypt4-2-3-1
  • 23GMostafa Shobeir
  • 3DMohamed Hany
  • 2DYasser Ibrahim
  • 14DHamdy Fathy
  • 13DAhmed Fatouh
  • 19MMarwan Attia
  • 17MMohanad Lasheen
  • 11MMostafa Ziko
  • 10MMohamed Salah
  • 8MEmam Ashour
  • 22FOmar Marmoush
Manager · Hossam Hassan

Where to watch New Zealand v Egypt: TV and online streams

New Zealand v Egypt kicks off at 02:00 BST on Monday, 22 June 2026 at BC Place, Vancouver. The match is live and free-to-air on ITV1 in the UK, with streaming available via ITVX.

Stats for New Zealand v Egypt

  • The only previous meeting between these sides ended 1-0 to Egypt, a friendly at the New Administrative Capital Stadium in Cairo on 22 March 2024, settled by a Mostafa Mohamed penalty.
  • Egypt qualified for the 2026 World Cup with a record of eight wins, two draws, zero defeats across ten CAF matches, scoring 20 goals and conceding just two.
  • New Zealand have not won any of their seven World Cup matches across three tournaments (2010 and 2026), drawing four and losing three.
  • Egypt's xG in their Matchday 1 draw with Belgium was 1.08; New Zealand produced an xG of 1.24 against Iran, averaging 14 shots and 8 shots on target.
Headline prediction · our pick
✓ HitConfidence · medium

match result: egypt to win

New Zealand showed genuine attacking quality against Iran and Bazeley's side will press from the first whistle. But Egypt's defensive structure, which shipped one goal across the entire qualifying cycle and only conceded from a Lukaku-forced own goal against Belgium, is a different challenge to anything the All Whites have faced. Salah and Marmoush through the centre will create chances New Zealand's backline, which has not kept a clean sheet in 12 games, will struggle to absorb. Egypt to win this one, but not without being made to work for it.

Best Price3/5bet365 · score 1-2
✓ Prediction landed
TIP 01✗ Miss

Correct Score: 1-2

Egypt's qualifying defensive record suggests they will keep things relatively tight, but New Zealand's pressing game, which produced an xG of 1.24 against Iran, means the All Whites are capable of getting on the scoresheet. A 1-2 scoreline fits the pattern of a disciplined Egypt side winning without fully opening up, and reflects the fact that New Zealand twice led against Iran before defensive lapses cost them.

TIP 02✗ Miss

Over 2.5 Goals: Under

Egypt conceded just two goals in ten qualifying matches and their opener against Belgium, a 1-1 draw, came in at under 2.5 goals. Their compact 4-2-3-1 is designed to limit space and force errors rather than engage in open exchanges. New Zealand will have moments on the break, but the market at 8/11 for under 2.5 goals is solid value given both sides' defensive tendencies at this tournament.

TIP 03✓ Hit

Both Teams to Score: Yes

New Zealand scored in both halves against Iran and have failed to score in only zero of their last one World Cup fixture. Egypt conceded in their opener against Belgium. New Zealand's pressing style and set-piece threat, with Wood, Just and Sarpreet Singh all capable of delivering, means an Egypt clean sheet is far from guaranteed. Both teams to score at 5/4 carries reasonable appeal given the attacking quality on display in both sides' openers.

TIP 04✗ Miss

Anytime Goalscorer: Omar Marmoush

Marmoush took five shots in Egypt's 1-1 draw with Belgium and was their most active attacking threat even on a day when Salah was relatively quiet. Playing through the centre in Egypt's 4-2-3-1, the Manchester City forward will operate in precisely the space where New Zealand have been exposed, behind a high defensive line. He has the pace and the direct running to punish any defensive hesitation and at roughly 2/1, he represents the strongest goalscorer case in this fixture.

TIP 05✓ Hit

Double Chance: Away or Draw

Egypt are the better squad on every objective measure: a FIFA ranking of 29th, a dominant qualifying campaign, and a front line featuring Salah and Marmoush. New Zealand's World Cup record stands at zero wins from seven matches. While the All Whites will compete and are capable of scoring, the probability of them winning this game outright is low. At 1/5, the draw-or-Egypt option serves as the conservative anchor in any accumulator involving this fixture.

Build the New Zealand v Egypt bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Away Win
✓ Hit
Match Result
3/5

Egypt's win is the foundation of the builder. Their qualifying record, squad depth and tactical structure all point to them taking three points here. Combining it with the goals and scorer legs avoids the correlated trap of pairing Egypt win with Egypt first goalscorer, and the under and Marmoush legs are independent of each other.

Under
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 Goals
2/3

This leg complements the Egypt win selection rather than working against it. An Egypt win does not require a high-scoring match, their 1-0 friendly win against New Zealand in 2024 and their compact shape against Belgium both point to a disciplined, low-volume game. Pairing the result with under 2.5 goals keeps the builder grounded in the most likely scenario: a tight Egypt victory.

Omar Marmoush
✗ Miss
Anytime Goalscorer
2/1

Marmoush is the natural third leg. He is Egypt's most likely scorer on current form, independent of whether the match is open or tight, he creates his own chances through individual quality and movement. Adding him as an anytime scorer to an Egypt win and under 2.5 goals builder gives the combination a sensible combined price, with each leg genuinely distinct and non-correlated.

Combined Price
7/1
Stake£10.00
Returns£80.16
Profit+£70.16
World Cup · season 2026 · Group GLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
1BelgiumBelgium3+45
2EgyptEgypt3+25
3IranIran303
4New ZealandNew Zealand3-61