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Colombia v Congo DR prediction, lineups & tips: World Cup 2026 Group K

Colombia can seal their place in the round of 32 with a win at Estadio Akron. Congo DR head to Guadalajara on the back of a famous point against Portugal, and they will not be easy to break down.

Published
Tue 23 Jun, 05:12

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Colombia arrive at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara on Wednesday with a simple brief: win, and their place in the FIFA World Cup 2026 round of 32 is secured. Néstor Lorenzo's side sit top of Group K after beating Uzbekistan 3-1 in their opener, and three more points here would send them through with a game to spare against Portugal still to come. The stakes could hardly be higher, and nor could the potential obstacle. Congo DR are back on the world stage for the first time in 52 years, and they already have one landmark result to their name.

BET FOOTBALL
ColombiaColombia
1–0
Full time
Congo DRCongo DR
Wed 24 Jun, 03:00•Estadio Akron

Colombia's record in the World Cup group stage is strong. They have won six of their last seven matches at this stage, with their only defeat a 2-1 loss to Japan in 2018. Across that run they have scored 17 goals and conceded just five, numbers that point to a side well equipped to manage tournament football.

The 3-1 win over Uzbekistan was not without its nervy moments. Lorenzo conceded as much in his post-match assessment. "I think it had to do with the emotional burden of the first game and also with the responsibility of being favourites," he said. The Uzbeks equalised on the hour before Luis Díaz's 65th-minute strike put Colombia back in front, with Jaminton Campaz sealing it in the ninth minute of second-half stoppage time. Colombia had 61% possession and fired 15 shots. There is quality throughout this squad, James Rodríguez pulling the strings, Díaz carrying the ball at pace from the left, but the defensive concentration lapses that allowed Uzbekistan back into it will need addressing against a more dangerous counter-attacking threat.

Congo DR's opening act at a World Cup for the first time since 1974 was one of the moments of the tournament. Sébastien Desabre set up his side in a 5-3-2, ceded 75% of possession to Portugal, and watched his players frustrate Roberto Martínez's men throughout before Yoane Wissa headed an equaliser just before half-time. The Leopards actually had more shots than Portugal on the night. Desabre told reporters after the draw: "It is a positive way to begin the tournament, but we have to continue improving." A win here would put Congo DR top of the group.

Colombia go into this fixture with a clean bill of health. No suspensions have been confirmed. The one selection question surrounds whether Lorenzo names an unchanged side or freshens things up, with Richard Ríos having been left out against Uzbekistan in favour of Jefferson Lerma. Goalkeeper Camilo Vargas was shaky in the opener and David Ospina may push for a return, though no official change has been confirmed.

For Congo DR, Desabre confirmed all players available ahead of the Portugal game and there are no confirmed absentees for this fixture either. Chancel Mbemba picked up a yellow card against Portugal and will need to be cautious. Wissa, 29, who headed in the Leopards' historic first-ever World Cup goal in Kinshasa, goes into the match fully fit and in the form of his life.

Last 6 · most recent left
ColombiaColombia
WW1 D0 L0
Congo DRCongo DR
DW0 D1 L0
World Cup · season 2026 · Group KLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
1ColombiaColombia3+37
2PortugalPortugal3+55
3Congo DRCongo DR3+14
4UzbekistanUzbekistan3-90
Last 1 meetings · most recent first
  1. 24 Jun 26Colombia1–0Congo DRColombia
Home wins
1
Draws
0
Away wins
0
Goals · H / A
1 / 0

Line-ups

ColombiaColombia4-2-3-1
  • 12GCamilo Vargas
  • 2DDaniel Muñoz
  • 23DDavinson Sánchez
  • 3DJhon Lucumí
  • 17DJohan Mojica
  • 16MJefferson Lerma
  • 14MGustavo Puerta
  • 11MJhon Arias
  • 10FJames Rodríguez
  • 7FLuis Díaz
  • 25FLuis Javier Suárez
Manager · Nestor Lorenzo
Congo DRCongo DR5-3-2
  • 1GLionel Mpasi Nzau
  • 2DAaron Wan-Bissaka
  • 22DChancel Mbemba
  • 4DAxel Tuanzebe
  • 3DSteve Kapuadi
  • 26DArthur Masuaku
  • 6MNgal'ayel Mukau
  • 8MSamuel Moutoussamy
  • 25MEdo Kayembe
  • 17FCédric Bakambu
  • 20FYoane Wissa
Manager · Sebastien Desabre

Where to watch Colombia v Congo DR: TV and online streams

Colombia v Congo DR kicks off at 03:00 BST on Wednesday, 24 June 2026 at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara, Mexico. The match is live on ITV1 in the UK, with a stream available via ITVX. Fox Sports carries the broadcast in the United States.

Stats for Colombia v Congo DR

  • Colombia have won six of their last seven FIFA World Cup group-stage matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding just five across that run.
  • Colombia beat Uzbekistan 3-1 in their Group K opener, recording 61% possession, 15 shots and an xG of 1.61.
  • Congo DR drew 1-1 with Portugal in their World Cup return, despite having just 25% of the ball, they had more shots (8) than any other team against Portugal in this tournament and an xG of 0.87.
  • Colombia and Congo DR have never met in a competitive fixture, this is the first encounter between the two nations at a World Cup.
  • Colombia have won all three of their World Cup matches against African opposition since 1990, each by a one-goal margin: 1-0 v Tunisia, 2-1 v Ivory Coast, 1-0 v Senegal.
Headline prediction · our pick
✓ HitConfidence · medium

match result: colombia to win

Colombia's depth of quality across the pitch, Díaz and Rodríguez in particular, should be enough to break down a Congo DR side that will defend deep and hit on the counter. The Leopards are dangerous, Wissa is in form, and both teams scored in their openers. Expect Colombia to edge it, but not without a scare.

Best Price1/2bet365 · score 2-1
✓ Prediction landed
TIP 01✗ Miss

Correct Score: 2-1

Colombia have the attacking quality to score twice, Díaz, Rodríguez and Suárez are all capable of contributing, but Congo DR showed against Portugal that they can find the net against elite opposition. Wissa headed in at the Stade de Houston and presents a similar threat to Colombia's advancing full-backs. A 2-1 scoreline reflects the likely pattern: Colombia in front, Congo DR pulling one back before Colombia see it out.

TIP 02✓ Hit

Over 2.5 Goals: Under

The Congo DR v Portugal match finished 1-1 with both sides combining for two goals. Colombia beat Uzbekistan 3-1, but Uzbekistan were a debutant side without the defensive structure Desabre's Leopards bring. Congo DR's 5-3-2 is built to frustrate, their xG against of 0.65 against Portugal was the more telling figure. Under 2.5 goals at 8/13 is a reasonable play given Congo DR's proven ability to stifle.

TIP 03✗ Miss

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both sides scored in their opening fixtures: Colombia netted three against Uzbekistan, Congo DR grabbed a goal against Portugal from just 25% possession. Wissa has the pace and movement to punish Colombia's attacking full-backs, and Colombia's defensive lapses against Uzbekistan, which allowed the equaliser, suggest they can be breached. BTTS at 29/20 offers fair value here.

TIP 04✗ Miss

Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Díaz

Díaz scored and assisted against Uzbekistan, registered six touches in the opposition box and won eight duels, more than any other Colombia player. Bayern Munich's winger ended the 2024-25 season with 25 goals in 50 appearances and is playing with real confidence. Congo DR's wing-backs will be busy tracking him, but he is Colombia's biggest threat and a natural candidate to score again at 6/4.

TIP 05✓ Hit

Double Chance: Home or Draw

Colombia are 1/2 to win this outright, and the double chance to cover a draw sits at 1/9. Congo DR's point against Portugal shows they can keep a clean sheet and hit on the break, making outright Colombia win slightly shorter than the true probability warrants. Home or Draw at 1/9 provides a safety net if Desabre's defensive shape earns another famous point.

Build the Colombia v Congo DR bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Home Win
✓ Hit
Match Result
1/2

Colombia's superior squad depth and group-stage record, six wins from the last seven, make them the logical leg to anchor the builder. Combining this with an over/under leg and a goalscorer avoids correlated picks while building a coherent match story: Colombia win, with goals at both ends.

Yes
✗ Miss
Both Teams to Score
29/20

This complements the Colombia win leg rather than undermining it, BTTS Yes simply requires Congo DR to find one goal before Colombia seal the match. Wissa's form and the space behind Colombia's full-backs make that very plausible, as the Portugal game already demonstrated. Pairing BTTS Yes with a home win narrows the range of results without eliminating the most likely ones.

Luis Díaz
✗ Miss
Anytime Goalscorer
3/2

Adding Díaz as the third leg ties the builder to the single most likely individual source of a goal. He scored against Uzbekistan, ended last season with 25 club goals, and carries Colombia's most direct route to goal from wide. He is from a different market to the other two legs, result and BTTS, keeping the builder valid with most operators.

Combined Price
131/16
Stake£10.00
Returns£91.88
Profit+£81.88