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Notts County v Chesterfield prediction, lineups and tips: League Two play-off semi-final second leg

Notts County host Chesterfield at Meadow Lane on Friday night holding a 1-0 advantage from the first leg, with a place at Wembley on 25 May the prize. Jayden Luker's strike put the Magpies in control, but Paul Cook's Spireites won at this ground in each of the last two League Two seasons.

Published
Fri 15 May, 11:13
Updated
Tue 23 Jun, 12:02

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Notts County go into the second leg of their League Two play-off semi-final against Chesterfield in the most comfortable position a home side could ask for: a clean sheet away from the tie and a full house at Meadow Lane to finish it off. Jayden Luker's first-half strike at the Spireites gave Martin Paterson's side a 1-0 lead to bring back to Nottingham, and County will reach Wembley on 25 May if they simply avoid defeat on Friday night.

BET FOOTBALL
Notts CountyNotts County
0–0
Full time
ChesterfieldChesterfield
Fri 15 May, 20:00•Meadow Lane

Paterson was measured after the first leg, urging his squad not to "get carried away" and warning that Chesterfield had shown enough in the second half to demand respect. That caution is not misplaced. The Spireites finished just one point behind County in the table after 46 games, did the league double over them this season, and have won on their last two visits to Meadow Lane in League Two, 2-1 in March 2025 and 3-2 earlier this year. County, for their part, have never won both legs of an EFL play-off semi-final, with this their seventh such tie.

Chesterfield manager Paul Cook goes into the game with fresh injury concerns after attacking midfielder Armando Dobra limped off in the first leg with what Cook described as a shoulder problem. Cook was direct about the prognosis after the game: "It doesn't look like it's a good injury. He'll be a big miss for us, he's a great player." The Spireites boss has also acknowledged that despite a one-goal deficit, his side are still very much alive. "The minute the referee blows the whistle we're getting beat 1-0," Cook told the Derbyshire Times. "There's 90 minutes to go, there's 17,000 people in the stadium and at some point it will become a cauldron."

There is extra edge to this fixture beyond league position. County beat Chesterfield on penalties in the National League promotion final at Wembley three years ago, a result Cook has not forgotten. The Spireites went up themselves the following season and both clubs have now collided at play-off stage again, in the same division, in the same round, against the same opponent. Cook did not shy away from the history: "You get to Wembley and as we tasted against Notts County, it's a horrible place to lose."

Last 6 · most recent left
Notts CountyNotts County
WDWLLW2 D1 L2
ChesterfieldChesterfield
LWWDWW3 D1 L1
League Two · season 2025 · League TwoLive snapshot
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2Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons46+4186
3Cambridge UnitedCambridge United46+3382
4Salford CitySalford City46+1081
5Notts CountyNotts County46+2280
6ChesterfieldChesterfield46+1579
7GrimsbyGrimsby46+2478
8BarnetBarnet46+1776

Predicted line-ups for Notts County v Chesterfield

Notts County: Loach; Chicksen, Cameron, Rawlinson, Brindley; Hayden, Richardson, Robertson; Luker, Dennis, Jatta

Chesterfield: Loach; Rawlinson, Odutayo, Kerr, Sherring; Crookes, Clark; Mandron, Bonis, Cooper; Weston

Where to watch Notts County v Chesterfield: TV and online

Notts County v Chesterfield kicks off at 20:00 BST on Friday 15 May 2026 at Meadow Lane. The match is available live on Sky Sports Football and streamed via the Sky Sports app.

Stats for Notts County v Chesterfield

  • Notts County conceded just 1.0 goals per home game this season across 25 home fixtures, keeping 9 clean sheets at Meadow Lane.
  • Chesterfield won at Meadow Lane in each of the last two League Two seasons, 2-1 in March 2025 and 3-2 in March 2026.
  • County have never won both legs of an EFL play-off semi-final in six previous attempts.
  • Chesterfield went unbeaten in their final eight regular-season fixtures and in all five of their final away games, including against each of the top seven sides.
Headline prediction · our pick
✗ MissConfidence · medium

match result: notts county to win

County's defensive record at Meadow Lane is the decisive factor here. They concede 1.0 goals per home game, Chesterfield are without Dobra, and Bonis, their main threat, already missed a penalty in the first leg. The Spireites will press and make it uncomfortable, but County have enough quality to hold them at arm's length and reach Wembley.

Best Price11/10bet365 · score 1-0
✗ Prediction missed
TIP 01✗ Miss

Correct Score: 1-0

County won the first leg 1-0 and their average home goals against this season is just 1.0 per game. Chesterfield are without Dobra and needed to improve significantly on their first-leg attacking output. A tight, low-scoring County win is the most likely single outcome, matching the pattern of both legs in this tie.

TIP 02✓ Hit

Over 2.5 Goals: Under

Across their 25 home games this season, Notts County's matches stayed under 2.5 goals on 40 of 49 total occasions. Chesterfield's games this season produced under 2.5 goals in 42 of 48 matches. The first leg ended 1-0. These two sides simply do not produce high-scoring games against each other right now.

TIP 03✓ Hit

Both Teams to Score: No

Notts County kept 9 clean sheets at home and their opponents failed to score in 4 of their last 10 matches. Chesterfield have lost their chief creative outlet in Dobra and Bonis is under pressure after the missed penalty. County have the defensive structure, a consistent 3-4-2-1 used in 16 of their games, to shut this out.

TIP 04✗ Miss

Anytime Goalscorer: Jayden Luker

Luker scored the only goal of the tie in the first leg and has been County's most direct attacking threat. With Paterson likely to set up the same way, Luker will again work the wide channels against a Chesterfield side that will need to push forward, leaving space in behind. At around 5/2, there is real value in the man who already has this fixture's only goal.

TIP 05

Draw No Bet: Home

County need only avoid defeat and their home defensive record this season, 9 clean sheets, 1.0 goals conceded per game, makes a Chesterfield winner a real outlier, especially without Dobra. Draw No Bet removes the risk of a draw sending the tie to extra time while still backing County to see this through.

Build the Notts County v Chesterfield bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Home Win
✗ Miss
Match Result
11/10

County lead 1-0 on aggregate and only need to avoid defeat. A home win is the most likely single result given their Meadow Lane defensive record of 1.0 goals conceded per game. This anchors the builder by setting the result framework the other two legs depend on.

No
✓ Hit
Both Teams to Score
4/5

If County win, a clean sheet is the most probable route given Dobra's absence and Chesterfield's first-leg failure to create clear chances. A County win combined with BTTS No cuts out the scenario where the tie stays alive going into added time. It complements the home win leg without being directly correlated.

Jayden Luker
✗ Miss
Anytime Goalscorer
5/2

Luker is the logical choice to supply the decisive moment if this builder lands. He scored the only goal of the tie so far, and in a game where County will be patient and hit on the break, his direct running from deep is the Magpies' most consistent attacking weapon. Adding him to a Home Win and BTTS No builder targets the most specific version of a County clean-sheet win.

Combined Price
159/13
Stake£10.00
Returns£132.30
Profit+£122.30