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Matchday 3
10th · Home
20:00Wed, 21 Oct 2026
7th · Away
Venue Allianz ArenaReferee Davide MassaWatch (UK) TNT Sports 1

Bayern München v Arsenal: Champions League preview, predicted line-ups & team news

Bayern München host Arsenal at the Allianz Arena in League Stage matchday 3, with Bayern missing key attackers and Arsenal chasing a third straight win.

Published
Tue 20 Oct, 22:30

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Round hook

and the table already gives it weight. Arsenal sit seventh on 6 points from two wins, with a goal difference of +4 and no goals conceded. Bayern are 10th on 4 points after a 5-0 home win over Bodo/Glimt and a 3-3 draw at Viking. Under the standings snapshot, the top eight qualify directly for the last 16, so Bayern could fall two points further behind that line with a defeat. Arsenal can build on a strong start. Bayern need to stop dropping points away from home.

BET FOOTBALL
Bayern MünchenBayern München
VS
ArsenalArsenal
Wed 21 Oct, 20:00•Allianz Arena

Path to the round

Bayern's two results on the season's numbers show a side that scores freely and concedes on the road. They beat Bodo/Glimt 5-0 at home, then conceded three at Viking in a 3-3 draw. The form data shows 4.0 goals per game, 25 shots and 3.06 expected goals for per game, against 1.5 conceded. Their last league outing was a 6-1 win over RB Leipzig, according to a Yahoo Sports preview.

Arsenal have won both games, 1-0 away at Napoli and 3-0 at home to Lille. They have not conceded, with an expected goals against average of 0.26 per game. However, all four of their goals have come between the 61st and 75th minutes, which suggests a side that wins games late rather than early.

Rotation context

Rotation is a lesser question than availability here. Bayern are without two of their main creative options, so changes in attack are forced rather than chosen. Arsenal are also short of a centre-back and a full-back. The Premier League side played in the league at the weekend, according to the Yahoo preview, which reported a 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest. Bayern had a similar turnaround after the Leipzig game. Neither side has a clear league-position reason to rest players, and both are in the top 10 of a 36-team table.

Last 6 · most recent left
Bayern MünchenBayern München
D3-3 (Viking - Bayern München)13/10/2026W5-0 (Bayern München - Bodo/Glimt)10/09/2026W1 D1 L0
ArsenalArsenal
W3-0 (Arsenal - Lille)13/10/2026W0-1 (Napoli - Arsenal)09/09/2026W2 D0 L0
Champions League · season 2026 · UEFA Champions LeagueLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
5LiverpoolLiverpool2+46
6Sporting CPSporting CP2+46
7ArsenalArsenal2+46
8Real MadridReal Madrid2+26
9Real BetisReal Betis2+26
10Bayern MünchenBayern München2+54
11Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk2+24
Champions League
Last 5 meetings · most recent first
  1. 26 Nov 25Arsenal3–1Bayern MünchenArsenal
  2. 17 Apr 24Bayern Munich1–0ArsenalBayern Munich
  3. 9 Apr 24Arsenal2–2Bayern MunichDraw
  4. 18 Jul 19Arsenal2–1Bayern MunichArsenal
  5. 19 Jul 17Bayern Munich1–1ArsenalDraw
Home wins
4
Draws
3
Away wins
3
Goals · H / A
9 / 5

Predicted line-ups

Bayern München (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Stanišić, Upamecano, Tah, Davies; Kimmich, Laimer; Gnabry, Karl, according to the season data. The creative burden without two key attackers falls on Karl and Díaz.

Arsenal (4-2-3-1): Raya; White, Mosquera, Gabriel Magalhães, Calafiori; Rice, Zubimendi; Saka, Ødegaard, Eze; Gyökeres. With a centre-back missing, Mosquera is the likeliest partner for Gabriel in central defence.

Where to watch

Kick-off at the Allianz Arena is at 20:00 BST on Wednesday 21 October 2026. The match is shown on TNT Sports where selected, and a Yahoo Sports preview lists it on TNT Sports 1. If level after 90 minutes, the match ends as a draw and both sides take a point.

Bayern v Arsenal in numbers

  • Last meeting: Arsenal 3-1 Bayern at the Emirates Stadium in the Champions League on 26 November 2025.
  • Across 10 meetings in the supplied history, Bayern have four wins, Arsenal three and there have been three draws, averaging 3.6 goals per game.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 meetings (80%), and 6 of 10 (60%) produced more than 2.5 goals.
  • Bayern's 5-0 against Bodo/Glimt is the biggest win in the competition this season for either side, while Arsenal are yet to concede in two games.
TIP 01

Correct Score: 2-1

A 2-1 home win fits the head-to-head profile, where both teams scored in 80% of meetings. Bayern average 4.0 goals per game and Arsenal have scored in both of their matches. The price of 15/2 reflects how many scorelines are in play, and a 1-0 either way would beat this.

Best Price
15/2
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 02

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Bayern's two games both went over 2.5 goals, and six of the last 10 meetings with Arsenal did too. The price of 8/15 is short. Arsenal's two matches have produced just one such game, so a tight match is the main danger.

Best Price
9/17
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 03

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Bayern have conceded in one of two games, and Arsenal have not conceded at all. Yet BTTS landed in eight of the 10 meetings between these teams. At 1/2, the price assumes Arsenal find a goal in the 61st to 75th minute window where all four have come.

Best Price
1/2
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 04

Anytime Goalscorer: H. Kane

Kane leads the line for a Bayern side averaging 25 shots and 10 on target per game. With key creators out, more of the shooting could fall to him. At around 10/11, the risk is that supply is lighter than usual.

Best Price
9/10
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 05

Double Chance: Home or Draw

The editor's choice covers the risk of Arsenal's defence holding firm, at 2/7. On corners, Bayern average 10.5 per game against 6.5 for Arsenal, which supports home pressure, and the data points to the home side having the larger corner count. Arsenal's 58% average possession means they will have the ball too.

Best Price
5/17
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.

Build the Bayern München v Arsenal bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 LegsCombined Price Below
Home Win
Match Result
21/20

Bayern's home form and expected goals for are the foundation of the builder. The other two legs follow from a home win with goals.

Over
Over 2.5 Goals
9/17

A Bayern win built on their attack would very likely need three goals in total. This keeps the builder consistent with the result leg without relying on Arsenal scoring.

H. Kane
Anytime Goalscorer
9/10

Kane is the likeliest scorer in a Bayern win with goals, and with key creators out his share of chances could rise. It pairs with the other two legs while avoiding a direct overlap.

Combined Price
99/20
Stake£10.00
Returns£59.59
Profit+£49.59
Build at bet365
Builder goes to bet365 · 18+ · GambleAware
Odds correct at time of publish.