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Bournemouth v Lincoln: EFL Cup prediction, lineups and tips

Bournemouth host League One's Lincoln City in the EFL Cup round of 32 at the Vitality Stadium, with the Cherries expected to field a much-changed side against in-form opponents.

Jon Fisher
Published
Mon 7 Sept, 06:56
Updated
Mon 7 Sept, 23:03

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Round of 32 sets up a rotation puzzle at the Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth's involvement in the EFL Cup this season has been low-key so far, and the round of 32 tie against Lincoln City offers a first real look at how much the Cherries value the competition. A Premier League club at home to a side two divisions below them is the shape of tie the competition is built on, and progress here would set up a home draw against tougher opposition in the last 16. For Lincoln, simply reaching this stage against top-flight opposition is a reward in itself, and their recent form suggests they will not simply make up the numbers.

BET FOOTBALL
BournemouthBournemouth
4–0
Full time
LincolnLincoln
Tue 8 Sept, 19:45•Vitality Stadium

Path to the round of 32 for Bournemouth v Lincoln

Bournemouth have used the EFL Cup to blood fringe players and give minutes to squad members short of Premier League game time this term, with first-team regulars kept largely out of harm's way in the competition so far. The approach has kept expectations modest, but the Cherries' overall squad strength means anything other than progress here would be viewed as a poor result.

Lincoln's form heading into the tie has been eye-catching. They have won both of their most recent outings, beating Blackpool 4-1 away from home before that with a 2-1 win at Derby, scoring six goals and conceding only two across those two matches. That run has them full of confidence travelling to the south coast.

Rotation the story of the night at the Vitality Stadium

Expect wholesale changes from Bournemouth. Squad players and academy graduates are likely to be given their chance ahead of Premier League regulars, with the manager keen to manage the physical load on his first-choice group during a congested early-season fixture list. Lincoln, by contrast, are expected to name a strong XI given the scale of the occasion and the possibility of a lucrative run in the competition.

Last 1 meetings · most recent first
  1. 8 Sept 26Bournemouth4–0LincolnBournemouth
Home wins
1
Draws
0
Away wins
0
Goals · H / A
4 / 0

Line-ups

BournemouthBournemouth4-2-3-1
  • 20GM. Di Gregorio
  • 5DJ. Hill
  • 18DB. Diakité
  • 14DAntónio Silva
  • 6DJ. Soler
  • 4ML. Cook
  • 10MR. Christie
  • 7MD. Brooks
  • 19MJ. Kluivert
  • 11MB. Doak
  • 30FÁ. Rodríguez
Manager · M. Rose
LincolnLincoln4-4-2
  • 46GJ. Gauci
  • 16DD. Jefferies
  • 33DD. Oyegoke
  • 6DR. Towler
  • 20DC. Elder
  • 27MC. Ogbene
  • 8MT. Bayliss
  • 26MY. Konak
  • 23MJ. Honohan
  • 11FM. Ladefoged
  • 7FR. Hackett
Manager · Chris Cohen

Where to watch Bournemouth v Lincoln: TV and online streams

Bournemouth v Lincoln kicks off at 19:45 BST on Tuesday 8 September. EFL Cup coverage this season is shared between Sky Sports and ITV, with selected ties shown live on Sky Sports where chosen for broadcast. If the scores are level after 90 minutes, the tie goes straight to a penalty shootout, with no extra-time played in this round of the competition.

Stats for Bournemouth v Lincoln

  • Lincoln have won their last two matches by an aggregate score of 6-2, including a 4-1 win away at Blackpool.
  • Lincoln have scored in both of their last two outings and average three goals per game across that spell.
  • Lincoln's average of 14 shots per game in their last two matches, at 6.5 on target, points to a side creating chances regardless of opponent.
  • Bournemouth's cup selections this season have prioritised squad rotation, a pattern likely to continue for this tie.
Headline prediction · our pick
✓ HitConfidence · medium

match result: bournemouth to win

Bournemouth's quality advantage should tell even with a heavily rotated side, but Lincoln's recent scoring form, six goals in two games, makes a routine home win unlikely. Expect Lincoln to test a patched-together Bournemouth defence and get on the scoresheet themselves. Bournemouth's greater individual quality in the final third should still be enough to see them through.

Best Price1/2bet365 · score 3-1
✓ Prediction landed
TIP 01✗ Miss

Correct Score: 3-1

Bournemouth's changed side is still expected to have enough class to score three, in line with the kind of scoreline a stronger squad typically produces against lower-league opposition at home. Lincoln's habit of scoring in each of their last two games, averaging three goals a match themselves, supports them getting on the board too. A 3-1 finish captures both the home side's edge and Lincoln's attacking threat.

TIP 02✓ Hit

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Lincoln have gone over 2.5 goals in both of their last two matches, averaging three goals for and one against per game. Bournemouth's rotated line-up is unlikely to keep a rearguard as tight as their first-choice defence would, adding to the likelihood of goals at both ends. Over 2.5 goals looks the shrewder side of this market.

TIP 03✗ Miss

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Lincoln have scored in both of their last two fixtures and have failed to score in neither, underlining a side capable of finding the net against any opponent. Bournemouth's second-string attack still carries enough firepower to score too. Both teams to score at odds of roughly 9/10 looks a fair reflection of how this is likely to play out.

TIP 04✗ Miss

Anytime Goalscorer: D. Jebbison

Jebbison is the kind of squad forward likely to lead the line in a heavily rotated Bournemouth attack and will be eager to make his case with a rare start. He offers a focal point up top that a changed Lincoln backline may struggle to contain in the air and in behind. A goal for the striker would also fit the pattern of a home win built on their attacking edge.

TIP 05✓ Hit

Double Chance: Home or Draw

Bournemouth's squad depth makes defeat unlikely even with a heavily changed side, and Double Chance covers off the possibility of a shock Lincoln equaliser forcing a scare late on. Lincoln have shown they can score against decent opposition, winning 4-1 at Blackpool and 2-1 at Derby in their last two outings, so a draw cannot be entirely dismissed. This is the safety-first pick of the six for those wanting Bournemouth to avoid defeat rather than chase the bigger single-result price.

Build the Bournemouth v Lincoln bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Home Win
✓ Hit
Match Result
1/2

The anchor leg of the builder, backing Bournemouth's greater squad depth to tell even with a changed team. This pairs naturally with a goals market given the expectation of an open game rather than a backs-to-the-wall defensive display from either side.

Over
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 Goals
13/20

Lincoln's habit of going over 2.5 goals in recent matches, combined with a weakened Bournemouth defence, supports goals at both ends rather than a tight low-scoring win. This complements the home win leg without being directly correlated to a specific scoreline.

D. Jebbison
✗ Miss
Anytime Goalscorer
2/1

A rotated Bournemouth attack still needs a source of goals, and Jebbison is the likely focal point if selected up front. Adding him to a home win and an overs leg builds out the picture of how the win is delivered rather than repeating the same bet twice.

Combined Price
45/7
Stake£10.00
Returns£74.25
Profit+£64.25