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Matchday 4
16th · Home
20:00Tue, 3 Nov 2026
14th · Away
Venue Metropolitano StadiumReferee Francois LetexierWatch (UK) TNT Sports 2

Atletico Madrid v Bayern München: Champions League preview, predicted line-ups & tips

Atletico Madrid host Bayern München at the Metropolitano in matchday four of the Champions League league stage, with both sides short of a few key men and still hunting a top-eight finish.

Published
Mon 2 Nov, 22:23
Updated
Tue 3 Nov, 16:01

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What is at stake in Madrid?

Neither of these two can say the league stage is going to plan.

Atletico Madrid sit 16th on four points after three games, while Bayern München are 14th on five, so a win for either side would lift them into the conversation for a top-eight finish and a straight route into the last 16.

The cut-off currently belongs to Barcelona in eighth on six points, which means a single result tonight could swing a lot.

The alternative is the play-offs, a place both clubs currently occupy and neither will fancy as a way of spending February.

It is a meeting of two heavyweights who are both, at this stage, a little short of where they would want to be.

BET FOOTBALL
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
VS
Bayern MünchenBayern München
Tue 3 Nov, 20:00•Metropolitano Stadium

How did they get here?

Atletico Madrid have had a mixed start: a 2-1 defeat at Liverpool in September, then a 2-0 home win over Manchester United, then a 1-1 draw at VfB Stuttgart on 20 October.

That adds up to four goals scored and three conceded in three games, and their home record is the one clean sheet and the one win so far.

Bayern München have scored plenty. They thrashed Bodo/Glimt 5-0 at home, drew 3-3 at Viking, then drew 2-2 at home to Arsenal on 21 October.

That is 10 goals in three games, an average of 3.3 a match, but also five conceded, and they have yet to lose.

Harry Kane has four of those goals, two of them penalties, which makes him the obvious name on the Bayern team sheet.

Will there be rotation?

Rotation is hardly the story here, because both sides are being forced into changes whether they like it or not.

With only three league-stage games played and both clubs outside the top eight, there is no sense of anyone resting players for a bigger night.

Expect two strong sides, each picked from whatever the treatment room allows.

Atletico lose a pair of defensive midfielders, one to injury and one to suspension, while Bayern are missing a chunk of their creative firepower.

The visitors do have 19 shots a game in their recent form, so the hosts' reshuffled middle looks like the area to watch.

Last 6 · most recent left
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
D1-1 (VfB Stuttgart - Atletico Madrid)20/10/2026W2-0 (Atletico Madrid - Manchester United)13/10/2026L2-1 (Liverpool - Atletico Madrid)09/09/2026W1 D1 L1
Bayern MünchenBayern München
D2-2 (Bayern München - Arsenal)21/10/2026D3-3 (Viking - Bayern München)13/10/2026W5-0 (Bayern München - Bodo/Glimt)10/09/2026W1 D2 L0
Champions League · season 2026 · League PhaseLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
12Sporting CPSporting CP3+36
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern MünchenBayern München3+55
15AS RomaAS Roma3+34
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven304

Predicted line-ups

Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Oblak; Marcos Llorente, Le Normand, Hancko, Grimaldo; Giuliano Simeone, Barrios, Koke, Lookman; Álvarez, Sørloth.

Bayern München (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Stanišić, Upamecano, Tah, Davies; Kimmich, Pavlović; Olise, Karl, Bischof; Kane.

Neither side is likely to deviate much from the usual shape, so the only real question marks are the midfield pairings left by those absentees.

Where to watch

Kick-off is at 8pm on Tuesday 3 November, which is UK time now the clocks have gone back.

The UK broadcaster for this game is not confirmed yet, and this page will be updated closer to kick-off.

It is a league-stage game, so there is no extra time. If the match is level after 90 minutes, it finishes as a draw.

Cup stats

  • Last meeting: a 1-1 draw at the Metropolitano in the Champions League in December 2020.
  • Bayern won three of the last five meetings, with Atletico winning one and one drawn.
  • Bayern's biggest league-stage win this season is 5-0 at home, while Atletico's is 2-0 at home.
  • Kane has four Champions League goals this season, two of them penalties.
TIP 01

Correct Score: 2-2

Bayern have scored in all three games and Atletico have netted in every game as well. With so many absentees on both sides, a goal-filled stalemate looks well within reach. The risk is that a single goal decides it.

Best Price
10/1
Place bet
Odds checked 16:28 · Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.
TIP 02

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Bayern have gone over 2.5 goals in three of their last three, and the bet365 market also leans towards goals. Atletico's own numbers are more modest, with none of their three games going over, so this leans on the visitors. A tight 1-0 would be the downside.

Best Price
1/2
Place bet
Odds checked 16:28 · Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.
TIP 03

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Bayern have conceded in each of their three games and Atletico have scored in all of theirs. Atletico's midfield is short of two holding players, which should give Bayern chances. The risk is Atletico's tendency to keep it tight at home.

Best Price
7/16
Place bet
Odds checked 16:28 · Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.
TIP 04

Anytime Goalscorer: M. Olise

Olise is a creative threat from the right and should get chances if Bayern stretch the game. Atletico are not short of defenders, but they will be missing midfield cover.

Best Price
12/5
Place bet
Odds checked 16:28 · Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.
TIP 05

Double Chance: Away or Draw

Bayern are unbeaten in three and Atletico have lost one of three. The visitors are short of a few players but still have enough in reserve. Atletico's home form is the main risk.

Best Price
7/16
Place bet
Odds checked 16:28 · Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.

Build the Atletico Madrid v Bayern München bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 LegsOdds checked 16:28
Away or Draw
Double Chance
7/16

Bayern are unbeaten this season and remain the more potent side, so this gives some cover if Atletico edge it. It pairs well with a goals leg.

Over
Over 2.5 Goals
1/2

Bayern average 3.3 goals a game and win 7.67 corners a game, which points to sustained pressure and chances. That fits with a game that gets stretched.

M. Olise
Anytime Goalscorer
12/5

If the goals do come, Olise is a likely source, given the chances he can create and take from wide.

Build this on bet365 for the combined price.

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Builder goes to bet365 · 18+ · GambleAware
Odds correct at the time shown and subject to change.