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AS Roma v Lazio prediction, lineups & tips: Derby della Capitale, 17 May 2026

Roma need a win to consolidate fifth and keep Europa League football alive. Lazio arrive battered by a Coppa Italia final defeat, with Sarri raging at the scheduling and his own future unresolved. Giallorossi to edge a tense derby.

Published
Fri 15 May, 16:17

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Maurizio Sarri threatened not to show up. He raged at the Lega Serie A, called for resignations and told DAZN Italia: "It is an insult to the city of Rome, to two big clubs, and to the fans, so someone has to pay for that." The kick-off row, sparked by a scheduling clash with the Italian Open tennis at the Foro Italico, has been resolved by Rome's prefecture rescheduling the derby to an 11:30 BST Sunday slot, but the fury surrounding Lazio has not gone away. Four days after losing the Coppa Italia final 2-0 to Inter Milan, Sarri's side limp into the Derby della Capitale having won just once in their previous five games across all competitions. Roma, meanwhile, have won three consecutive Serie A matches and sit fifth on 67 points, level with AC Milan in fourth and with a Champions League place still mathematically within reach.

BET FOOTBALL
AS RomaAS Roma
2–0
Full time
LazioLazio
Sun 17 May, 11:30•Stadio Olimpico

Gian Piero Gasperini has transformed Roma's season since taking charge. The former Atalanta boss presided over a 4-0 demolition of Fiorentina at the start of May and backed that up with a 3-2 win away at Parma, Roma's third consecutive league win, to send them into this derby on the crest of a wave. At the Stadio Olimpico, the picture is even more convincing: Roma have lost just once in their last ten home matches in Serie A this season and have scored in 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Their home record of 12 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats gives them 2.17 points per game on their own patch this term. They have kept ten clean sheets at home all season, conceding just 10 goals, an average of 0.6 per match. The task is simple: win, and the pressure on fourth-placed AC Milan, who carry the same 67 points, intensifies going into the final round.

Gasperini spoke at his pre-derby press conference about the size of the occasion: "The derby is a special match. Beyond the league table and the way the rest of the season unfolds, there is a local rivalry on the pitch that makes everything more beautiful. Lazio are a good team with a great coach who has done well everywhere he's been. It's a top-level match."

Lazio's season has unravelled at a pace that few saw coming. They sit ninth in Serie A on 51 points, with any realistic chance of European football having long since evaporated. Sarri's side have managed one win in their previous five games across all competitions within 90 minutes, and in the reverse fixture on 21 September 2025 they were beaten 1-0 by Roma. The Coppa Italia final defeat to Inter, 2-0, with an Adam Marusic own goal and a Lautaro Martinez tap-in inflicted within the opening exchanges, leaves the squad physically and psychologically depleted. To cap it all, Sarri himself remains uncertain about his own future, telling reporters this week he would not commit to staying beyond the current campaign. The fans, meanwhile, held a months-long boycott of home games aimed at president Claudio Lotito, only returning for the Coppa Italia final.

Maurizio Sarri, speaking after the Coppa Italia final defeat to Inter, did not hold back on the scheduling row ahead of this fixture. "At the start of the season, we played the derby in 37-degree heat, now they are making us play in May at midday," he told DAZN Italia. "I hope they won't make us play at that time, and someone should resign just for proposing it." Serie A eventually confirmed the 12:30 local (11:30 BST) kick-off after the Rome prefecture intervened on public order grounds. Sarri also cast doubt on his own future, remaining non-committal when asked directly whether he would stay for next season.

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AS RomaAS Roma
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Serie A · season 2025 · Serie ALive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
2NapoliNapoli38+2276
3AS RomaAS Roma38+2873
4ComoComo38+3671
5AC MilanAC Milan38+1870
6JuventusJuventus38+2769
7AtalantaAtalanta38+1559
8BolognaBologna38+356
9LazioLazio38+154
10UdineseUdinese38-350
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference League

Predicted line-ups for AS Roma v Lazio

AS Roma (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Mancini, Hermoso, Ndicka; Celik, Koné, Cristante, França; Soulé, Dybala; Malen

Lazio (4-3-3): Motta; Marusic, Romagnoli, Gila, Tavares; Rovella, Basic, Dele-Bashiru; Isaksen, Noslin, Zaccagni

Where to watch AS Roma v Lazio: TV and online streams

AS Roma v Lazio kicks off at 11:30 BST on Sunday, 17 May 2026. In the UK, the match is live on TNT Sports 1 and available to stream via discovery+. The match is also available on DAZN.

Stats for AS Roma v Lazio

  • Roma are unbeaten in their last five Serie A matches and have won the past three consecutively, scoring nine and conceding two in that run.
  • Lazio have won just one of their last five games across all competitions within 90 minutes, and lost the reverse fixture 1-0 at the Stadio Olimpico on 21 September 2025.
  • Roma have kept ten clean sheets at home this season, conceding just 10 goals in 18 home games, an average of 0.6 per match.
  • In the last 40 recorded meetings between the sides, Roma have won 19 to Lazio's 13, with eight draws. The last six derby encounters have produced under 2.5 goals five times.
Headline prediction · our pick
✓ HitConfidence · medium

match result: roma to win

Roma arrive in better form at every level, home record, squad fitness and confidence, and face a Lazio side still reeling from a cup final loss four days earlier. Gasperini's three-man defence has been difficult to breach at the Olimpico all season and, with Sarri's future unresolved and the pressure off Lazio entirely, the hosts should run out comfortable winners.

Best Price3/4bet365 · score 2-0
✓ Prediction landed