Skip to content
Bet Football
Home
Full time1–1Pen: 4–3
Away
Referee D. SiebertWatch (UK) TNT Sports

PSG v Arsenal prediction, lineups & tips: Champions League final 2026

Paris Saint-Germain bid to become only the second side to retain the Champions League in the modern era as they face Premier League champions Arsenal in Budapest. Our preview, predicted line-ups, team news and final score prediction.

Published
Fri 29 May, 20:32

18+. Please gamble responsibly. Some links here are affiliate links: we may earn a commission if you open an account, at no cost to you and with no effect on our tips. How we are funded · BeGambleAware.org

Twenty years after their only previous appearance in a European Cup final, Arsenal arrive at the Puskás Aréna in Budapest with a Premier League title already secured and the chance to complete the most memorable double in the club's history. Standing in their way is a PSG side that won this competition last May and are now chasing something only Real Madrid have managed in the Champions League era: back-to-back titles.

The subplot between these two managers gives the occasion an extra layer. Luis Enrique and Mikel Arteta, both Spanish, both shaped by the same footballing culture, go head to head for the biggest prize in club football. At his Budapest press conference on Thursday, Enrique was generous about his counterpart. "I am not surprised by Arsenal," he said. "They deserved to win the Premier League, and if I'm not mistaken, this is already Arteta's seventh year at the club. You can clearly see the team he has built." Arteta, for his part, was equally respectful while making clear the stakes. "We are here because we have earned the right to be here," he told reporters. "Tomorrow on that field we are going to have to earn the right to win the trophy."

PSG's route to this final was anything but smooth. They finished 11th in the league phase, were forced into the play-offs, and had to beat two English sides, Chelsea and Liverpool, before a breathless 6-5 aggregate semi-final against Bayern Munich put them back in the showpiece. Arsenal, by contrast, are the only side to have gone through the entire Champions League campaign without losing, eight wins from eight in the league phase, then one-goal margins against Bayer Leverkusen, Sporting Lisbon and Atletico Madrid in the knockouts. The contrast in paths could hardly be sharper.

There is also last season's semi-final to address. PSG beat Arsenal 3-1 on aggregate then, with Ousmane Dembélé scoring inside the first minute of the first leg at the Emirates. Arteta has not forgotten. "We certainly use examples and things" from that night, he acknowledged at his pre-match briefing.

BET FOOTBALL
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
1–1
Full time
ArsenalArsenal
Sat 30 May, 17:00

Enrique pushed back on the framing that these are two very different sides. "I wouldn't say we have two different visions, we have similar ideas but have taken different paths," he said in Budapest on Thursday. The numbers, though, tell their own story. PSG have averaged 2.8 goals per game in the Champions League this season, the most productive attack in the competition. Arsenal have conceded just 0.4 goals per game across their 14 Champions League appearances, the meanest defence remaining. Something, inevitably, has to give.

Last 6 · most recent left
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
DWWWWW4 D1 L0
ArsenalArsenal
WDDWWW3 D2 L0

Predicted line-ups for PSG v Arsenal

Luis Enrique is expected to name a near full-strength XI, with Dembélé's fitness clearance the key piece of news. Hakimi is unlikely to start given his lack of match sharpness, meaning Achraf's place at right-back could fall to an alternative option. Enrique has used a 4-3-3 in all 16 of PSG's Champions League fixtures this season.

Arteta's XI largely selects itself. With Timber confirmed fit, the back four picks itself. Arteta has alternated between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1 during the campaign but has used the former in nine of 14 Champions League outings.

PSG: Safonov; Zaire-Emery, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Neves, Vitinha, Ruiz; Doue, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia

Arsenal: Raya; White replacement, Saliba, Gabriel, Timber; Odegaard, Partey, Rice; Saka, Havertz, Trossard

Where to watch PSG v Arsenal: TV and online streams

PSG v Arsenal kicks off at 17:00 BST on Saturday 30 May at the Puskás Aréna in Budapest. In the UK, the match is live on TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate and HBO Max, with coverage beginning at 15:00 BST. If level after 90 minutes, the game goes to two 15-minute periods of extra time; if still tied after that, the winner is decided by a penalty shoot-out.

Stats for PSG v Arsenal

  • Arsenal are the only unbeaten side in this season's Champions League, winning 11 and drawing 3 of their 14 games, keeping 9 clean sheets.
  • PSG average 2.8 goals per game in the Champions League this season, the highest-scoring side left in the competition. Arsenal average 0.4 conceded per game, the lowest.
  • PSG beat Arsenal 3-1 on aggregate in last season's semi-finals. Arsenal's only previous Champions League final appearance came in 2006, when they lost to Barcelona.
  • In their last 10 Champions League fixtures, Arsenal have conceded just 6 goals (0.6 per game) while PSG have scored 25 (2.5 per game). Seven of PSG's last 10 Champions League games have featured both teams scoring.
Headline prediction · our pick
✗ MissConfidence · medium

match result: arsenal to win

Arsenal's defensive record this season is exceptional, nine clean sheets in 14 Champions League games, 0.4 goals conceded per match, and they arrive as fully-fit Premier League champions with momentum and confidence. PSG's path here was messy: they scraped through the play-offs, needed an aggregate comeback against Bayern, and have key defenders in Hakimi and Mendes short of full fitness. Enrique's attack is the most potent in the competition, and Kvaratskhelia's ten goals and six assists mean Arsenal cannot afford a passive night, but Arteta's side have proven they can absorb pressure, their xG against over the last 10 games is just 0.98 per match. This could go either way, and extra time is a real possibility, but Arsenal's defensive structure and fresh confidence give them the edge in a tight final.

Best Price7/4bet365 · score 1-2
✗ Prediction missed
TIP 01✗ Miss

Correct Score: 1-2

Arsenal have won seven of their last ten Champions League games, most by a single goal, margins have been the story of their run. PSG's attack means a clean sheet is unlikely, but Arsenal's defensive shape limits the home side to one. A 2-1 away win mirrors the pattern of tight, late-goal victories that have defined Arteta's Champions League campaign. The price reflects the uncertainty of a final without reflecting the case for Arsenal's win.

TIP 02✓ Hit

Over 2.5 Goals: Under

In their 14 Champions League fixtures this season, Arsenal conceded more than one goal precisely zero times, their goals-against over-2.5 rate sits at 0% across the campaign. PSG have seen over 2.5 goals in six of their last ten Champions League games, but those fixtures involved far less disciplined defences. When PSG faced Liverpool, a side with comparable defensive organisation, both legs finished 2-0. Under 2.5 goals is a reasonable call in a final where both managers will be conservative in the early stages.

TIP 03✓ Hit

Both Teams to Score: Yes

PSG have failed to score in just one of their 16 Champions League games this season and average 2.8 goals per match overall. Arsenal's attack has produced at least one goal in 13 of their 14 Champions League appearances. Even in the tightest of finals, the firepower on both sides makes a blank from either side the exception rather than the rule, both teams to score has come in for five of Arsenal's last ten games and seven of PSG's.

TIP 04

Anytime Goalscorer: Kvaratskhelia

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has 10 Champions League goals and 6 assists this season, 16 direct goal contributions in 15 appearances. He leads PSG's attacking line from the left and has produced in the biggest games, including the wins over Liverpool and the semi-final against Bayern. Arsenal's right flank will be tested throughout, and Kvaratskhelia's 30 shots on target this season make him the likeliest PSG player to trouble Raya.

TIP 05✓ Hit

Double Chance: Away or Draw

Arsenal have not lost once in 14 Champions League games this season, the only unbeaten side in the competition. Even accepting PSG's quality and home-side designation, a bet that eliminates an Arsenal defeat carries real logic. Their xG against across the last ten games is 0.98 per fixture; they are structurally built not to lose. At around 1.40, the Double Chance of Arsenal win or draw is the most conservative expression of the case for Arteta's side.

Build the Paris Saint Germain v Arsenal bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 LegsCombined Price Below
Away Win
✗ Miss
Match Result
7/4

Arsenal's unbeaten Champions League campaign and exceptional defensive numbers make them genuine winners here, not just covers. Combining with an over/under line and a goalscorer avoids directly correlated legs, an Arsenal win does not require Kvaratskhelia to score, and a low-scoring game is not incompatible with an away victory by a single goal.

Yes
✓ Hit
Both Teams to Score
17/20

PSG's 2.8 goals-per-game average and single blank in 16 Champions League games this season means Arsenal's clean-sheet odds look stretched. Pairing BTTS Yes with an Arsenal win is not correlated, Arsenal can win 2-1, as the correct-score pick suggests. It adds value to the builder by pricing in PSG's guaranteed attacking threat without undermining the away-win leg.

Kvaratskhelia
Anytime Goalscorer
9/4

Ten goals in 15 Champions League appearances this season makes Kvaratskhelia the standout PSG threat to add to the builder. He is not directly correlated with the Arsenal win leg, PSG can score through Kvaratskhelia and Arsenal can still win 2-1. This third leg lifts the combined odds meaningfully while being grounded in the data: Kvaratskhelia's shot volume and goal contribution rate make him the most likely PSG scorer on the night.

Combined Price
233/15
Stake£10.00
Returns£165.34
Profit+£155.34
Champions League · season 2025 · UEFA Champions LeagueLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
1ArsenalArsenal8+1924
2Bayern MünchenBayern München8+1421
3LiverpoolLiverpool8+1218
4TottenhamTottenham8+1017
5BarcelonaBarcelona8+816
6ChelseaChelsea8+716
7Sporting CPSporting CP8+616
8Manchester CityManchester City8+616
9Real MadridReal Madrid8+915
10InterInter8+815
11Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain8+1014
12NewcastleNewcastle8+1014
Champions League