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Argentina v Switzerland prediction, lineups & tips: World Cup 2026 quarter-final

Argentina defend their world title against a Switzerland side that have reached their first World Cup quarter-final since 1954. Messi leads the Golden Boot race with eight goals, but Murat Yakin insists the holders are vulnerable.

Published
Sat 11 Jul, 04:04

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Argentina's title defence has been anything but comfortable at the FIFA World Cup 2026. Lionel Scaloni's side scraped through the round of 32 by beating Cape Verde 3-2 in extra time, then trailed Egypt 2-0 before staging a dramatic comeback that ended 3-2 courtesy of Enzo Fernandez's 93rd-minute header. Switzerland, meanwhile, have quietly made their own history, reaching just the fourth World Cup quarter-final in the country's history, and their first since 1954, after penalty-shootout wins over Algeria and Colombia in the knockout rounds. The two sides meet in Kansas City on Sunday morning for a place in the last four.

BET FOOTBALL
ArgentinaArgentina
3–1
Full time
SwitzerlandSwitzerland
Sun 12 Jul, 02:00

Argentina enter as defending champions and clear favourites, unbeaten in 11 World Cup matches. Yet the cracks have been showing. In their last two knockout games, they have twice been pegged back and forced into frantic late recoveries, raising questions about defensive solidity and the lack of goals from their centre-forwards. Scaloni acknowledged at his pre-match press conference at Arrowhead Stadium on Friday that the tournament has been unpredictable, but his message to the watching world was straightforward. "I would like this national team to be remembered as a team that never gave up," he said.

Switzerland coach Murat Yakin was less measured. "We're playing against the world champion. There's nothing better than having this opportunity. But it's also been clear, over the last two matches, that Argentina is vulnerable," Yakin said. "We can challenge the world champions." It is not the kind of remark coaches make when they are resigned to defeat. Argentina, with Lionel Messi averaging 8 goals in 5 appearances and generating an xG of 2.19 per game, remain formidable going forward, but Yakin's words carry weight.

Switzerland came through the toughest test of their tournament against Colombia, drawing 0-0 through 120 minutes before holding their nerve in the shootout. Their form in the last five games reads W-W-W-D-D, with three clean sheets in that run and just 0.6 goals conceded per game. They have been compact and organised, using a 4-2-3-1 base that Yakin deploys with tactical flexibility. The Nati have scored nine goals in the tournament and conceded three, the same number Argentina have leaked across five games. At 9/2, there is genuine value in those who believe the Swiss can spring a surprise.

Last 6 · most recent left
ArgentinaArgentina
WWWWWW5 D0 L0
SwitzerlandSwitzerland
DWWWDW3 D2 L0
Last 1 meetings · most recent first
  1. 1 Jul 14Argentina1–0SwitzerlandArgentina
Home wins
1
Draws
0
Away wins
0
Goals · H / A
1 / 0

Switzerland will be without Manzambi, Aebischer and Jaquez, a combined blow that deprives Yakin of depth and one of his most in-form attackers. The personnel available still give the Swiss a solid enough foundation, but losing Manzambi's goal threat from the right is a notable handicap against a side as dangerous as Argentina on the counter. Argentina's Romero fitness news is the key positive for Scaloni: the Tottenham defender is their most authoritative centre-back and his absence would have been a genuine worry.

Predicted line-ups for Argentina v Switzerland appear below.

Line-ups

ArgentinaArgentina4-1-3-2
  • 23GEmiliano Martínez
  • 26DNahuel Molina
  • 13DCristian Romero
  • 6DLisandro Martínez
  • 3DNicolás Tagliafico
  • 5MLeandro Paredes
  • 7MRodrigo De Paul
  • 20MAlexis Mac Allister
  • 24MEnzo Fernández
  • 10FLionel Messi
  • 9FJulián Alvarez
Manager · Lionel Scaloni
SwitzerlandSwitzerland4-2-3-1
  • 1GGregor Kobel
  • 6DDenis Zakaria
  • 4DNico Elvedi
  • 5DManuel Akanji
  • 13DRicardo Rodríguez
  • 8MRemo Freuler
  • 10MGranit Xhaka
  • 22MFabian Rieder
  • 15MDjibril Sow
  • 11MDan Ndoye
  • 7FBreel Embolo
Manager · Murat Yakin

Where to watch Argentina v Switzerland: TV and online streams

Argentina v Switzerland kicks off at 02:00 BST on Sunday, 12 July. The match is live on ITV1 in the UK, with a stream available on ITVX. Fox Sports has the rights in the United States.

Stats for Argentina v Switzerland

  • Argentina have won all five of their World Cup 2026 games, scoring 14 goals and conceding 5, an average of 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
  • Switzerland are in their fourth World Cup quarter-final in history; the previous three came in 1934, 1938, and 1954. They have never reached the semi-finals.
  • The only previous World Cup meeting between these sides ended Argentina 1-0 Switzerland, decided by Angel Di Maria's goal in extra time in the round of 16 in Brazil, July 2014.
  • Both teams to score has landed in 3 of Argentina's last 5 games (60%) and 3 of Switzerland's last 5 games (60%); however, Switzerland have also kept 2 clean sheets in that same run, conceding just 0.6 goals per game.
Headline prediction · our pick
✗ MissConfidence · high

match result: argentina to win

Argentina have the class, the firepower and the big-game pedigree to win this. Messi has been unstoppable at this World Cup and Switzerland, for all their organisation, have not faced an attacking unit of this quality. The Swiss will make this difficult, Yakin is a smart tactician and their defensive structure is sound, but with Manzambi, Aebischer and Jaquez all out, their ability to hurt Argentina going the other way is limited. Argentina will eventually find their way through, and Messi's xG of 2.19 per game over the past five fixtures suggests the goals will come.

Best Price7/10bet365 · score 2-0
✗ Prediction missed
TIP 01✗ Miss

Correct Score: 2-0

Argentina have kept two clean sheets in their last five World Cup games and Switzerland have struggled for goals against organised opposition, they drew 0-0 with Colombia through 120 minutes in the round of 16. Argentina's defensive xG conceded average sits at just 0.58 per game over the tournament. A 2-0 win is the most likely clean-sheet scoreline given Argentina average 2.8 goals per game and Switzerland concede only when teams press them hard.

TIP 02✓ Hit

Over 2.5 Goals: Under

Switzerland have gone under 2.5 goals in 4 of their 5 matches at this World Cup, and their 0-0 draw with Colombia in the round of 16 was the most recent example of how they can suffocate games. Their average of 0.6 goals conceded per game and Argentina's own tendency to control rather than overwhelm suggests this could stay tight. Under 2.5 at 3/5 is modest value but statistically well-supported.

TIP 03✗ Miss

Both Teams to Score: No

Switzerland have failed to score in one of their last five games (the Colombia draw) and are now without Manzambi, their top scorer in the tournament, for this quarter-final. Argentina have kept two clean sheets in five games and their xG against is just 0.58. With the Swiss stripped of attacking depth and Argentina defensively solid at their best, the case for BTTS No at 8/11 is straightforward.

TIP 04✗ Miss

Anytime Goalscorer: L. Messi

Messi leads the World Cup 2026 Golden Boot with 8 goals from 5 appearances. He has 17 shots on target in the tournament, taken 26 shots in total, and has registered 16 key passes. Even in matches where Argentina have struggled, Messi has consistently been involved in the decisive moments, scoring in the comeback win over Egypt after missing a penalty. He is the single most likely goalscorer in this fixture.

TIP 05✓ Hit

Double Chance: Home or Draw

Argentina are unbeaten in 11 World Cup matches and have not lost a game in this tournament. Switzerland's record against top-tier opposition is limited and their three key attackers are unavailable through injury. The Double Chance market removes the risk of a penalty-shootout exit following a draw, and at 1/5 it is the safest market play if caution is preferred over the straight Argentina win.

Build the Argentina v Switzerland bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Home Win
✗ Miss
Match Result
7/10

Argentina are 7/10 to win this in 90 minutes, and their record of five wins from five in this tournament supports the selection. This leg anchors the builder, Argentina have found a way through in every game even when they've been in trouble, and without Manzambi, Aebischer and Jaquez, Switzerland's counter-attacking threat is blunted.

No
✗ Miss
Both Teams to Score
8/11

BTTS No complements the Argentina win leg without creating a correlated void, a clean sheet for Argentina tightens the overall return while remaining statistically grounded. Switzerland have kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 5 and concede just 0.6 goals per game, but without Manzambi they lack the tools to hurt a well-set Argentina defence. Argentina's xG against of 0.58 per game supports the shut-out.

L. Messi
✗ Miss
Anytime Goalscorer
4/5

Messi scoring sits across a different market to the two legs above and provides the uplift in odds the builder needs. Eight goals from five appearances at this tournament is an extraordinary return, and his 26 shots with 17 on target confirm the volume of attempts. Adding Messi as anytime scorer to an Argentina win / BTTS No builder is a sensible three-leg combination with non-correlated elements and a realistic combined price.

Combined Price
73/17
Stake£10.00
Returns£52.94
Profit+£42.94