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Argentina v Iceland prediction, lineups & tips: Messi returns for World Cup dress rehearsal in Alabama

Argentina take on Iceland at Jordan-Hare Stadium in their final friendly before defending the FIFA World Cup 2026 title. Messi is confirmed to play. Here are our tips, predicted lineups and where to watch.

Published
Tue 9 Jun, 13:53

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Argentina head into the final dress rehearsal before their FIFA World Cup 2026 title defence in confident mood, having won six consecutive games and with Lionel Messi confirmed to feature for the first time since picking up a hamstring complaint in May. The world champions face Iceland at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama, on Wednesday, seven days before they open Group J against Algeria on June 16.

BET FOOTBALL
ArgentinaArgentina
3–0
Full time
IcelandIceland
Wed 10 Jun, 02:00•Jordan-Hare Stadium

Lionel Scaloni's side topped the South American qualifying group by nine points and have not lost a friendly since 2019. Their two warm-up results this cycle tell their own story: a 6-0 rout of Puerto Rico and a 5-0 win over Zambia, followed by a 2-0 victory over Honduras on June 6 with Messi an unused substitute. Argentina have scored nine goals and conceded just one across this pre-tournament window.

The injury news is less serene. Defender Leonardo Balerdi was ruled out of the entire World Cup last week after confirming a soleus problem in his right leg. Scaloni addressed the Balerdi situation directly at his post-Honduras press conference, saying he has set this Iceland fixture as the deadline to decide on a replacement. Julian Alvarez is managing an ankle discomfort, while Leandro Paredes is working back from a muscle tear. Scaloni confirmed both are progressing but will not be risked tonight.

Iceland arrive having won just once in their last nine matches, a 2-0 win over Azerbaijan back in November 2025. Since then, they have drawn with Haiti and Canada, lost 4-0 to Mexico, fallen 2-0 to Ukraine, and were beaten 1-0 by Japan on May 31 in Tokyo through a late Koki Ogawa goal. They did not qualify for this summer's World Cup, finishing third in their European qualifying group, and this is their final fixture before a new UEFA Nations League campaign begins in September.

Gylfi Sigurdsson, Albert Gudmundsson and young striker Orri Oskarsson, who scored nine times in 20 La Liga appearances for Real Sociedad this season, are the headline names in Arnar Gunnlaugsson's travelling squad. Iceland drew 2-2 with France at home during World Cup qualifying and held Argentina to a 1-1 draw at the 2018 World Cup, the only previous meeting between these sides, but the current gulf in quality and form makes a repeat of either result unlikely.

Last 2 meetings · most recent first
  1. 10 Jun 26Argentina3–0IcelandArgentina
  2. 16 Jun 18Argentina1–1IcelandDraw
Home wins
1
Draws
1
Away wins
0
Goals · H / A
4 / 1

Scaloni confirmed at his Monday press conference that Messi will play, though the exact number of minutes is to be determined. "Messi will play, I just don't know how many minutes," he said. "We will see how many to avoid any type of risks, but in principle, yes, he will get minutes." Scaloni also confirmed heavy rotation from the Honduras XI, with the priority on managing workloads and keeping everyone fit for the Algeria opener.

Predicted lineups for Argentina v Iceland

Scaloni has signalled significant changes from the Honduras side. Messi is likely to come off the bench or start and be substituted early. Romero and Lisandro Martinez are expected to resume at centre-back, with Tagliafico potentially making way for Facundo Medina at left-back after the veteran finished the Honduras game fatigued.

Argentina: E Martinez; Molina, Romero, L Martinez, Medina; De Paul, Mac Allister, Fernandez; Almada, Lautaro Martinez, Messi

Iceland: Valdimarsson; Tomasson, Magnusson, Thordarson, Gretarsson; Ellertsson, Hlynsson, Baldursson, Thordarson; Gudmundsson, Oskarsson

Where to watch Argentina v Iceland: TV and online streams

Argentina v Iceland kicks off at 02:00 BST on Wednesday, 10 June 2026. In the UK, the match is available to stream live on ITVX. In the United States, coverage is on ESPN and ESPN Deportes. Argentine fans can watch on TyC Sports.

Stats for Argentina v Iceland

  • Argentina have won six consecutive internationals and are unbeaten in friendlies stretching back to 2019.
  • Iceland have won just one of their last nine matches, conceding eight goals in their last four friendlies.
  • Argentina scored nine goals and conceded one across their pre-tournament friendlies this cycle (Puerto Rico, Zambia, Honduras).
  • The only previous meeting ended 1-1, a 2018 World Cup group stage draw, with Messi missing a penalty in that game.
  • Iceland have failed to score in three of their last five matches.
Headline prediction · our pick
✓ HitConfidence · high

match result: argentina to win

Argentina are a different proposition to any side Iceland have faced in this cycle. Even with rotation and a managed Messi, Scaloni has enough quality across his squad to control this game from the first whistle. Iceland have conceded eight goals in their last four friendlies and have not beaten a side of Argentina's calibre in years. Scaloni's side should win comfortably and keep a clean sheet, with Lautaro Martinez the likeliest scorer.

Best Price1/5bet365 · score 3-0
✓ Prediction landed
TIP 01✓ Hit

Correct Score: 3-0

Argentina have posted wins of 5-0, 6-0 and 2-0 in their most recent friendlies, and Iceland have conceded at least twice in matches against stronger opposition throughout this cycle. A 3-0 scoreline reflects the gulf in class while accounting for Scaloni's natural caution around World Cup fitness. Iceland have failed to score in three of their last five outings.

TIP 02✓ Hit

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Argentina scored seven goals across their two most recent warm-up wins, and even in tighter recent games they have sustained attacking output from multiple positions. Iceland have conceded eight in four friendlies. With Messi and Lautaro Martinez both likely to feature, the attacking intent is there. The main risk is Scaloni prioritising squad management over goals late in the game.

TIP 03✓ Hit

Both Teams to Score: No

Iceland have failed to score in three of their last five matches and face an Argentina defensive unit that conceded just once in their three-game pre-tournament window. Argentina's back line, anchored by Romero and Lisandro Martinez, is among the best in international football. Iceland's attacking threat, even with Gudmundsson and Oskarsson present, is unlikely to find a way through.

TIP 04✗ Miss

Anytime Goalscorer: Lautaro Martinez

Lautaro Martinez scored in Argentina's win over Honduras and is the 2024 Copa America golden boot winner. He led Inter Milan's attack all season and is the likeliest starter up front even if Messi is managed carefully on minutes. Iceland have conceded eight goals in their last four friendlies, and Lautaro's movement inside the box regularly punishes teams that drop deep.

TIP 05✓ Hit

Double Chance: Home or Draw

Argentina have not lost a friendly since 2019, and their last loss as the nominal home side on neutral ground dates back to late 2023. Iceland are on a five-game winless run and have won only one of their last nine matches overall. The double chance provides a safety net against any unlikely upset, though on current form Argentina winning outright is overwhelmingly the expected outcome.

Build the Argentina v Iceland bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Home Win
✓ Hit
Match Result
1/5

The foundation of the builder. Argentina have won six in a row and Messi is confirmed to feature. Iceland are on a five-game winless run. This leg makes the builder viable at a sensible payout while anchoring the other two selections to a realistic match flow.

No
✓ Hit
Both Teams to Score
11/20

This complements the home win leg by tightening the winning margin requirement, we are backing Argentina to win cleanly rather than in a backs-against-the-wall contest. Iceland have failed to score in three of their last five, and Argentina's defence has conceded once in three pre-tournament games. A BTTS No outcome reinforces the Argentina clean sheet narrative without needing a specific scoreline.

Lautaro Martinez
✗ Miss
Anytime Goalscorer
5/6

Lautaro was on the scoresheet against Honduras and is the most likely striker to start a full 90 minutes given the careful management of Messi's minutes. He provides the goalscorer leg without relying on Messi, meaning the builder does not collapse if Argentina's captain is kept to a cameo. His record against weaker defensive sides in recent internationals makes this the logical individual pick.

Combined Price
12/5
Stake£10.00
Returns£34.04
Profit+£24.04