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Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen: Preview, predicted line-ups & team news

Lech Poznan host Bayer Leverkusen on Europa League league-stage matchday two, with five hosts' players ruled out and the visitors priced at 4/7 to win.

Published
Wed 14 Oct, 06:05
Updated
Thu 15 Oct, 19:39

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This preview was written before kick-off and has not been changed. The result, tables and line-ups on this page are as they stand now.

Europa League league stage: Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen

Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen is a league-stage matchday two tie in the Europa League at Stadion Poznan. It is a single match rather than a two-legged tie, so there is no aggregate to protect. Points are what count. The supplied standings snapshot shows the early leaders on three points after one round, and the top of the table is already separated by goal difference: Juventus lead on +5, with Crystal Palace on +4. Lech lost 4-0 away at Crystal Palace on matchday one, according to the form data. Leverkusen won 2-0 at home to Celje. A home result for Lech would repair that goal difference quickly. A Leverkusen win would put them on six points from two games.

BET FOOTBALL
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
0–4
Full time
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
Thu 15 Oct, 17:45•Stadion Poznan

How the two sides got here

Lech Poznan's season data shows five competitive fixtures: three wins, one draw and one defeat. They beat KI Klaksvik 1-0 at home and 5-0 away in the qualifying stage. They then beat FC Thun 7-0 at home and drew 2-2 away. The 7-0 is their biggest home win this season. Those games gave them 15 goals scored (3.0 per game) and six conceded. All six goals against came away from home, so Stadion Poznan has not yet seen them concede.

Bayer Leverkusen have one competitive fixture in the supplied data, the 2-0 home win over Celje on 16 September. They had 17 shots, eight on target, and 56% possession. Their expected goals figures were 1.93 for and 0.90 against, so the scoreline fairly reflected the game. They have no away fixture recorded this season, which makes this their first trip.

Rotation and selection

The supplied form data shows Lech's last five games were spread across qualifying rounds and one league-stage fixture, so there is no clear pattern of rotation. Absences are likely to shape the selection more than any choice. Five players are listed as unavailable, and the 4-2-3-1 Lech have used in all five games will need adjusting in midfield and attack. Leverkusen have also used a 4-2-3-1 in their one outing. With only one game played, the data gives no basis for predicting wholesale changes. The visitors' price of 4/7 on the match-winner market suggests the bookmaker expects a strong side.

Last 6 · all competitions we cover · most recent left
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
LCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech PoznanEuropa League · 17/09/2026DFC Thun 2-2 Lech PoznanEuropa League · 27/08/2026WLech Poznan 7-0 FC ThunEuropa League · 20/08/2026WKI Klaksvik 0-5 Lech PoznanEuropa League · 14/08/2026WLech Poznan 1-0 KI KlaksvikEuropa League · 06/08/2026LLech Poznan 0-3 Aarhus (1-4 aet, 3-4 pens)Champions League · 29/07/2026W3 D1 L2
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
WFSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · 10/10/2026WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga · 20/09/2026WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeEuropa League · 16/09/2026DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · 12/09/2026WBayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union BerlinBundesliga · 05/09/2026LSV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · 29/08/2026W4 D1 L1
Europa League · 2026/27 · UEFA Europa LeagueLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus4+310
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen4+79
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş4+37
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb4+17
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia4+17
11SunderlandSunderland407
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen4-17
13LyonLyon4-17
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar4+36
15AnderlechtAnderlecht4+36
16OFIOFI4+16
17RennesRennes4+16
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia4-16
19TorreenseTorreense4-26
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad4+55
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace4+35
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha404
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim404
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz4-34
25CeljeCelje4-44
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg4-54
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo4-23
28AC MilanAC Milan4-33
29JagielloniaJagiellonia4-33
30PlzenPlzen4-43
31MarseilleMarseille4-43
32CelticCeltic4-53
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva4-71
34LillestromLillestrom4-81
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan4-101
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia4-100
Europa League
Last 1 meetings · most recent first
  1. 15 Oct 26Lech Poznan0–4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
Lech Poznan wins
0
Draws
0
Bayer Leverkusen wins
1
Goals · Lech Poznan / Bayer Leverkusen
0 / 4

Line-ups

Lech PoznanLech Poznan4-2-3-1
  • 1GM. Lis
  • 2DJoel Pereira
  • 27DW. Mońka
  • 72DM. Skrzypczak
  • 15DM. Gurgul
  • 5MG. Berggren
  • 43MA. Kozubal
  • 10MP. Wålemark
  • 77ML. Palma
  • 14ML. Bengtsson
  • 9FM. Ishak
Manager · N. Frederiksen
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen4-4-2
  • 1GM. Flekken
  • 17DLucas Vázquez
  • 5DL. Badé
  • 12DE. Tapsoba
  • 3DMiguel Gutiérrez
  • 10MM. Tillman
  • 24MAleix García
  • 6ME. Fernández
  • 23MN. Tella
  • 11FM. Terrier
  • 30FI. Maza
Manager · Carles Martínez

Where to watch

Kick-off is at 17:45 BST on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stadion Poznan. The UK broadcaster for this fixture is not confirmed, and this page will be updated closer to kick-off. This is a league-stage match, so there are no legs. If level after 90 minutes, the match ends as a draw, because extra time and penalties do not apply in the Europa League league phase.

Stats and records

  • Lech Poznan's biggest win this season is 7-0 at home against FC Thun, and they have not conceded in two home games (season stats).
  • Lech's last five games produced 4 matches with over 2.5 goals and only 1 with both teams scoring (recent-form aggregate).
  • Leverkusen's one game this season finished 2-0 against Celje, with 17 shots and 1.93 expected goals (recent-form aggregate).
  • No head-to-head data is available for this fixture, so there is no recorded previous meeting to cite.
Our headline tip✓ Hit

Match Result: Bayer Leverkusen to win

The strongest data point is Leverkusen's underlying numbers from the Celje win: 17 shots, 8 on target and 1.93 expected goals for against 0.90 against, per the recent-form aggregate. Lech's home record is strong, with 8 goals scored and none conceded in two games. But those came in qualifying rounds against weaker opposition, and the same data shows they conceded four at Crystal Palace in their only league-stage game. With five players unavailable, the numbers point to Leverkusen taking the points, with Lech likely to score at least once at home. The risk is that the sample for Leverkusen is a single home game, and an away debut brings uncertainty. The bookmaker's 4/7 on the visitors leaves little value at that price, so the pick is a lean rather than a strong call.

Our predicted scoreLech Poznan 1–2 Bayer LeverkusenFinal score 0–4✗ Score missed
✓ Headline tip landed
TIP 01 · Correct score✗ Miss

Correct score 1-2

Lech average 4.0 goals per home game this season, though against qualifying opposition, which supports them scoring. Leverkusen's 2.0 goals per game and 1.93 expected goals point to two. The risk is that this is a narrow window of the possible outcomes, and a 0-2 or 1-3 would be as likely.

TIP 02 · Over 2.5 goals✓ Hit

Over 2.5 goals

Four of Lech's last five games had over 2.5 goals, and they average 3.0 goals scored per game. Leverkusen's Celje game ended 2-0 and did not reach that line. The 2/5 price is short, but the data leans towards goals.

TIP 03 · Both teams to score✗ Miss

Both teams to score

Lech have scored in four of five games and Leverkusen conceded in none of their one. Lech's attacking record at home (8 goals in 2) supports a goal. The 4/9 price reflects that, and the risk is a Leverkusen clean sheet, as in the Celje game.

TIP 04 · Anytime goalscorer✓ Hit

P. Schick to score

Schick is the most obvious central striker in Leverkusen's predicted 4-2-3-1, and the visitors average 17 shots per game in the recent-form data. The risk is rotation up front, and the supplied scorer data does not include shot counts for him.

TIP 05 · Double chance✓ Hit

Bayer Leverkusen or the draw

Leverkusen's 2-0 win at home to Celje and their clean sheet suggest a solid base. Lech's four-goal defeat at Crystal Palace is the only away league-stage evidence. The pick covers a draw, which is priced at 7/2 for Lech's home resilience.

Build the Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✓ Hit
Bayer Leverkusen to win
✓ Hit
Match result
-

Leverkusen's expected goals gap in their one game anchors the first leg. It pairs with a goals leg, because an away win in which Lech also score would take the match beyond 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 goals
-

Lech's 3.0 goals per game and four of five games over 2.5 support this leg. It sits alongside the result because a 2-1 or 3-1 away win would satisfy both. Lech's average of 5.4 corners per game and Leverkusen's 6.0 also suggest a game with plenty of attacking play.

P. Schick to score
✓ Hit
Anytime goalscorer
-

A striker goal fits an away win and an over 2.5 outcome without being directly dependent on either. Leverkusen's 8 shots on target against Celje show the volume of chances this leg relies on.