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RB Leipzig v Manchester City: Champions League preview, predicted line-ups & tips

Leipzig sit 28th and City 12th in the league phase. Our preview covers team news, predicted XIs, the Haaland threat and a score prediction for Matchday 4.

Published
Tue 3 Nov, 23:50
Updated
Wed 4 Nov, 21:55

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What is at stake in Leipzig?

It is only Matchday 4, but the league-phase table already has a way of making a night feel heavier than it should.

RB Leipzig sit 28th with three points from three games, which is outside the play-off places and not a spot any home side wants to be in this early.

Manchester City are 12th on six points, inside the play-off positions but a long way from the comfort of the top eight.

For City, a win at the Red Bull Arena would be a first step towards avoiding the extra round in February.

For Leipzig, it is a chance to show that the Champions League campaign has not already slipped away.

BET FOOTBALL
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
2–3
Full time
Manchester CityManchester City
Wed 4 Nov, 20:00•Red Bull Arena

How did they get here?

Leipzig have had a bumpy ride. They opened with a 4-1 defeat at Como, then beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 at home, and last time out were beaten 4-1 at Real Madrid.

That adds up to three goals scored and eight conceded, all of those eight on the road, so the home record is at least tidy: one win and a clean sheet.

City have been just as hard to pin down. They won 2-0 at Porto in their opening game, then lost 4-2 at home to Paris Saint Germain.

They bounced back with a 5-1 win over AEK Athens at the Etihad, with Erling Haaland's four goals so far making him the club's main threat in the competition.

City have scored nine in three and conceded five, which tells you most of what you need to know about the sort of game this tends to be.

Will there be rotation?

City play a lot of football, and there is always a chance of the manager freshening things up when the schedule bites.

However, with the side 12th and a playoff place the worst-case outcome, a strong XI is the likelier call.

Leipzig have little room for experiments either. Three points would lift them off the foot of the pack, and with four players missing, the hosts' options are already limited.

Expect both sides to name close to their best available teams, with perhaps one or two tweaks.

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Champions League

Line-ups

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig4-3-3
  • 26GM. Vandevoordt
  • 17DR. Baku
  • 4DW. Orbán
  • 23DC. Lukeba
  • 22DD. Raum
  • 21MN. El Aynaoui
  • 14MC. Baumgartner
  • 6ME. Banzuzi
  • 10FB. Gruda
  • 40FRômulo
  • 7FA. Nusa
Manager · M. Demichelis
Manchester CityManchester City4-2-3-1
  • 1GG. Donnarumma
  • 27DMatheus Nunes
  • 45DA. Khusanov
  • 6DM. Guéhi
  • 33DN. O'Reilly
  • 5ME. Anderson
  • 17ME. Fernández
  • 47MP. Foden
  • 10MR. Cherki
  • 7MI. Ndiaye
  • 9FE. Haaland
Manager · E. Maresca

Kick-off time and where to watch

Kick-off at the Red Bull Arena is at 8pm UK time (20:00 GMT) on Wednesday 4 November.

The UK broadcaster for this fixture has not been confirmed, and this page will be updated closer to kick-off.

If the game is level after 90 minutes, this is a league-phase match, so there is no extra time or penalty shoot-out. It is a single game rather than a two-legged tie.

Cup stats and head-to-head

  • The sides have met six times in the Champions League, with City winning four, Leipzig one and one draw.
  • Those six meetings have averaged five goals a game, and five of the six had both teams scoring and more than 2.5 goals.
  • The most recent meeting was a 3-2 City win at the Etihad Stadium in November 2023.
  • City's biggest win in the series was 7-0 at home in the March 2023 last-16 second leg.
Our headline tip✓ Hit

Match Result: Manchester City to win

You have to feel City have too much for a Leipzig side that has shipped eight goals in three games, and the form points that way. City have averaged three goals a game and took 21 shots a match in their recent games, while Leipzig have averaged 2.67 conceded. However, the hosts do have a habit of scoring in this fixture, and City's defence has conceded five in three, so it would be no shock to see Leipzig get one back. City to win, with goals at both ends.

Our predicted scoreRB Leipzig 1–3 Manchester City
✓ Prediction landed
TIP 01 · Correct score✗ Miss

Correct score 1-3

City have scored three or more in two of their three games, and Leipzig have conceded at least four in two of theirs. Leipzig have scored in all three of their matches, so a consolation looks likely. It is a narrow target, as correct scores tend to be.

TIP 02 · Over 2.5 goals✓ Hit

Over 2.5 goals

Five of the six meetings between these sides went over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in two of their last three matches. The only worry is a tight home game, which Leipzig's 1-0 win over PSV shows is possible.

TIP 03 · Both teams to score✓ Hit

Both teams to score

Leipzig have scored in each of their three games and City have conceded in two of theirs. Five of the six head-to-heads saw both sides score. Leipzig's clean sheet at home is the main risk.

TIP 04 · Anytime goalscorer✗ Miss

P. Foden to score

Foden is expected to start in City's attacking midfield. Leipzig have conceded eight in three, so chances should come his way, and he is a sound alternative to the obvious names.

TIP 05 · Draw no bet✓ Hit

Manchester City (draw no bet)

If you want a safety net on City, this removes the draw. City's away form this season (one win, no goals conceded) is better than Leipzig's home record. The risk is a Leipzig win, which their home form makes possible but not likely.

Build the RB Leipzig v Manchester City bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✓ Hit
Manchester City to win
✓ Hit
Match result
-

City's attack has too much for the hosts, and this is the base of the builder. It pairs well with goals, since City win most when the game is open.

Over 2.5 goals
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 goals
-

If City win, they probably do so by scoring at least two or three. City's recent shot and corner numbers (21 shots and 7.67 corners a game) back this up.

Both teams to score
✓ Hit
Both teams to score
-

Leipzig have scored in every game this season, so a goal for them is plausible. It sits alongside City's win without cancelling it out, and fits the head-to-head record.