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19th · Home
Full time1–1
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Sergiño Dest 48'
Gleiker Mendoza 45+1'
Armando Obispo 48'
Assists
Isaque 45+1'
Venue Philips StadionWatch (UK) Amazon Prime Video

PSV Eindhoven v Shakhtar Donetsk prediction: Champions League preview, lineups & tips

PSV open their league phase at home to Shakhtar Donetsk, with the hosts short odds after last season's meeting produced five goals.

Published
Wed 9 Sept, 20:22
Updated
Thu 10 Sept, 13:54

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A league-phase opener with plenty riding on it

PSV Eindhoven get their Champions League campaign underway at home to Shakhtar Donetsk, with a top-eight finish in the league phase - and automatic passage to the last 16 - the prize worth chasing.

Miss out on that and it's the play-off round instead, a route nobody particularly wants when there's a straightforward alternative.

For Shakhtar, results away from home have long been a source of pride given the unusual circumstances the club has operated under in recent years, and an opening away trip to the Philips Stadion is as tough a starting assignment as this phase offers.

BET FOOTBALL
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1–1
Full time
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
Thu 10 Sept, 17:45•Philips Stadion

How the two sides arrive here

PSV's history with Shakhtar is short but eventful. The pair last met at Philips Stadion in November 2024, when PSV came from behind at half-time to win 3-2 in that season's league phase.

That remains the only meeting between the two clubs on record, which makes Thursday a rematch nearly two years on rather than a rivalry with much history behind it.

Shakhtar arrive knowing exactly what a trip to Philips Stadion can produce, having been on the wrong end of a five-goal thriller there last time out.

Rotation risk on both benches

Opening league-phase fixtures rarely see wholesale changes given how much is riding on a fast start, and PSV's home advantage plus the quality gap suggested by the market makes it likely they go close to full strength here.

Where PSV's options are genuinely thinned is in attack, with several forward options unavailable through injury, which could nudge the side toward a slightly different look up top than they'd ideally want.

Shakhtar have no fitness worries flagged for this one, so expect closer to a first-choice XI from the visitors as they try to avoid an opening-night defeat.

Last 6 · most recent left
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
No recent formW0 D0 L0
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
No recent formW0 D0 L0
Champions League · season 2026 · UEFA Champions LeagueLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
15ArsenalArsenal1+13
16AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC1+13
17AS RomaAS Roma101
18Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk101
19PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven101
20FenerbahçeFenerbahçe101
21VillarrealVillarreal1-10
Champions League
Last 1 meetings · most recent first
  1. 27 Nov 24PSV Eindhoven3–2Shakhtar DonetskPSV Eindhoven
Home wins
1
Draws
0
Away wins
0
Goals · H / A
3 / 2

Line-ups

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven4-3-3
  • 32GM. Kovář
  • 8DS. Dest
  • 2DL. Geertruida
  • 4DA. Obispo
  • 18DF. Kostić
  • 20MG. Til
  • 24MK. Sano
  • 10MP. Wanner
  • 5FI. Perišić
  • 9FR. Pepi
  • 7FR. van Bommel
Manager · P. Bosz
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk4-1-4-1
  • 31GD. Riznyk
  • 17DVinícius Tobias
  • 5DV. Bondar
  • 22DM. Matvienko
  • 13DPedrinho
  • 27MO. Ocheretko
  • 30MAlisson Santana
  • 6MMarlon Gomes
  • 14MIsaque
  • 77MG. Mendoza
  • 9FKauã Elias
Manager · A. Turan

Where to watch

Kick-off at Philips Stadion is at 17:45 BST on Thursday, 10 September 2026.

The UK broadcaster for this fixture had not been confirmed at the time of writing, though coverage is also expected to be available via Amazon Prime Video where selected, and this page will be updated closer to kick-off.

This is a league-phase fixture rather than a genuine knockout leg, so there is no extra-time or penalty shootout arrangement here - if it finishes level after 90 minutes, both sides simply take a point.

Key stats

  • The two sides' only previous Champions League meeting came in November 2024 at this same venue, with PSV winning 3-2 having trailed at half-time.
  • That match produced both teams scoring and five goals in total, exactly the sort of pattern the bet365 market is pricing in again with BTTS available at 9/17.
  • PSV go into Thursday as short as 8/17 to win outright with bet365, with the draw priced at 4/1 and a Shakhtar win at 11/2.
  • The bet365 goals market has Over 2.5 Goals at 2/5, suggesting the layers expect goals at both ends once more.
Headline prediction · our pick
✗ MissConfidence · medium

match result: psv eindhoven to win

PSV start heavy favourites at 8/17 with bet365, and even with a thinned-out forward line following several injury absences, the gap in quality plus home advantage points strongly toward a home win. Shakhtar have shown before, in their only previous meeting with PSV, that they can score against this side, which is why a straightforward shutout feels less likely than a win with goals shared. The head-to-head record, admittedly a sample of one, produced five goals and strikes at both ends, and there's little in the team news to suggest either side will set up defensively on an opening league-phase night.

Best Price8/17bet365 · score 3-1
✗ Prediction missed
TIP 01✗ Miss

Correct Score: 3-1

The only previous meeting between these two produced a 3-2 PSV win, and with Shakhtar showing they can find the net away from home, a repeat pattern of PSV winning with goals at both ends looks the shape of this one. It's a longer price than the outright market for obvious reasons, but it fits both sides' attacking traits.

TIP 02✗ Miss

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Bet365 make Over 2.5 Goals a short 2/5 shot, and the only data point available between these sides backs that up given the five goals shared in their last meeting at this venue. PSV's attacking options are stretched by injuries, but Shakhtar's own defensive record on the road doesn't suggest a low-scoring watch.

TIP 03✓ Hit

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams found the net when these sides last met, and the market agrees at 9/17. Shakhtar's forward options travelling with a clean bill of health only strengthens the case that they'll trouble PSV at least once.

TIP 04✗ Miss

Anytime Goalscorer: R. Pepi

With several senior forward options missing, Pepi looks likely to lead the line for PSV and could see a heavier share of chances than usual as a result. He's the most recognised out-and-out striker left in the squad given the absentee list.

TIP 05

Draw No Bet: Home

For those wary of backing the outright win given the thinned PSV attack, taking the draw out of the equation offers some cover while still following the form of the market. It's the safety-first version of the headline pick.

Build the PSV Eindhoven v Shakhtar Donetsk bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Home Win
✗ Miss
Match Result
8/17

The foundation leg. Home advantage and the weight of the market both point toward a PSV win, and it pairs naturally with a goals-based leg given how open the sides' one previous meeting was.

Over
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 Goals
2/5

Adds goals on top of the result without duplicating it, and fits a game where both sides' attacking options, PSV's depleted or not, look more likely to trade chances than shut up shop. Expect PSV to also see the lion's share of corners given their expected territorial edge.

Yes
✓ Hit
Both Teams to Score
9/17

A different angle on the same goals theme, this leg is about Shakhtar getting on the scoresheet rather than just the overall total, which the last meeting between these two suggests is a live possibility even in defeat.

Combined Price
43/20
Stake£10.00
Returns£31.49
Profit+£21.49