Notts County v Oxford United prediction, lineups and tips

Oxford's away form has produced wins at Leicester and Stevenage this season, while Notts County have failed to score in two of their last seven. A narrow away win in the mould of those results fits the shape of both sides' recent numbers, albeit correct score remains the hardest market to call precisely.

Oxford United's last six matches have produced an average of 3.34 combined goals per game, with five of those six going over 2.5. Notts County's own matches have been tighter, averaging 2.29 goals combined, but the visitors' attacking output should be enough to push this fixture over the line.

Notts County have failed to score in two of their last seven games and have struggled for control with just 45.1 per cent average possession across that run. Oxford United, by contrast, have kept two clean sheets in six and have not failed to score once, suggesting the shutout could come from the away side rather than the hosts.

Oxford's attacking numbers have been built on a front line averaging 2.17 goals per game across their last six fixtures. With Harris among Oxford's recognised attacking options, the visitors' scoring spread this season makes a goal from their forward line a reasonable price-driven pick.

Stripping out the draw removes Notts County's best route to a positive result given they have drawn four of their last seven League One matches. Oxford's underlying form, with three wins in their last six against just one defeat, suggests the visitors are the stronger side even before accounting for the possibility of a stalemate.