VenueHard Rock StadiumRefereeClement Turpin, FranceWatch (UK)BBC / ITV
Norway v England prediction, lineups & tips: World Cup 2026 quarter-final
England face Norway in the FIFA World Cup 2026 quarter-final at Miami's Hard Rock Stadium on Saturday 11 July, with Erling Haaland determined to end the Three Lions' tournament hopes.
Norway have never beaten England in a FIFA World Cup game. That is the historical footnote Erling Haaland and his teammates are desperate to rewrite when the two sides meet at Miami's Hard Rock Stadium on Saturday night in the 2026 FIFA World Cup quarter-final. Norway are appearing in a World Cup last eight for the first time in the country's history, a fact that has not been lost on the man leading their attack. "Playing Brazil was kind of crazy for us Norwegians," Haaland told reporters ahead of the match. "To win against Brazil and to go and play England in the quarter-finals in the World Cup in the USA is quite special."
Norway
1–2
Full time
England
Sat 11 Jul, 22:00•Hard Rock Stadium
Haaland has been the story of Norway's campaign, scoring seven goals in four appearances to sit among the tournament's leading scorers. He was born in Leeds, counts several England players as Manchester City club-mates, and knows this fixture intimately. "I think all of you should put every single pressure on the English lads," he told the media with a grin on Thursday, adding that England are "one of the clear favourites" to lift the trophy. It was a masterclass in deflection, but the numbers behind Norway's run are real enough. They beat Brazil 2-1 in the last 16 and have averaged 2.4 goals per game across their last five fixtures in all competitions.
England arrive in Miami having survived a serious scare. Thomas Tuchel's side beat co-hosts Mexico 3-2 in the last 16, but it came at a price: Jarell Quansah was sent off in the second half for a reckless challenge, and captain Jordan Henderson suffered a serious wrist injury during the post-match celebrations and will play no further part in the tournament. Tuchel said the victory was "the full package of an experience" but has been clear that he wants his players to step up. "In general, when you reach a quarter-final of a World Cup you need to be brave," the England head coach told journalists on Friday.
Norway have settled on a 4-3-3 for three of their four fixtures at the tournament, with Odegaard pulling the strings in midfield and Antonio Nusa and Alexander Sorloth flanking Haaland in attack. Stale Solbakken's side pressed aggressively to unsettle Brazil in the last 16. England have lined up in a 4-2-3-1 in three of their four matches. Without Quansah, Tuchel is likely to shift John Stones into the back four with Konsa alongside him, and shuffle his midfield accordingly. Jude Bellingham is the creative anchor in behind Harry Kane.
Norway v England kicks off at 22:00 BST on Saturday 11 July at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The match is live in the UK on ITV One and ITVX, with BBC Radio 5 Live also carrying commentary.
Stats for Norway v England
Norway have won none of their six FIFA World Cup meetings with England, losing five and drawing one.
Haaland has scored 7 goals in 4 appearances at the 2026 World Cup, 12 shots on target from 15 total.
England have conceded just 5 goals in 5 matches at this tournament, keeping 2 clean sheets, with an xG against of 0.84 per game across their last five.
Norway have failed to keep a single clean sheet at the 2026 World Cup, conceding in all 5 games, and average 1.8 goals against per game across their last five fixtures.
Headline prediction · our pick
✗ MissConfidence · medium
match result: england to win
England's defensive numbers at this tournament are superior to anything Norway have faced in the knockout rounds. Tuchel's side have conceded at an average of 0.84 expected goals per game across the last five, and their attacking output of 2.2 goals per match carries a consistent threat through Kane and Bellingham. Norway have scored freely, at 2.4 per game in their last five, but have not faced a side with England's defensive organisation. The absence of Quansah and potential issues with Guehi and Reece James introduce real uncertainty at the back, and Haaland will fancy his chances, which is why the clean sheet tip looks risky here. England edge this, but with both sides finding the net.
Best Price13/15bet365 · score 1-2
✗ Prediction missed
TIP 01✗ Miss
Correct Score: 1-2
England have scored at least twice in three of their five games at the 2026 World Cup, averaging 2.2 goals per game. Norway have conceded in every single match and let in 1.8 per game across their last five. A one-goal margin reflects England's quality and Norway's ability to find the net at the other end, they have failed to score in none of their five matches. A 1-2 scoreline aligns with the form of both sides.
TIP 02✓ Hit
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Norway have scored in all five of their matches at this tournament and have not kept a single clean sheet. England's defensive vulnerabilities, Quansah suspended, Guehi and Reece James carrying knocks, will give Haaland opportunities. In three of England's five matches here both teams have scored. At 8/11 the BTTS market looks fairly priced, but the form points clearly towards goals at both ends.
TIP 03✗ Miss
Over 2.5 Goals: Over
Norway have been involved in a game with at least three goals in five of their five matches at this tournament. England have hit over 2.5 goals in two of their five but the combined attack versus defence numbers here are telling: Norway average 2.4 goals for and 1.8 against, England average 2.2 goals for. The total expected output across both sides points to this game finishing with three or more goals.
TIP 04✗ Miss
Anytime Goalscorer: Erling Haaland
Haaland has scored 7 goals in 4 appearances at the 2026 World Cup, converting 12 of his 15 shots on target. He has scored in every match he has started and his physical profile makes him a constant threat against a backline that is disrupted by Quansah's suspension. England will set up to limit the service to him, but on this form, Haaland scores goals regardless of the opposition. At around Evens, this is backed by the numbers.
TIP 05✓ Hit
Draw No Bet: Away
England are unbeaten across all four matches at the 2026 World Cup and have not lost a game under Tuchel in competitive knockout football. Their defensive xG against of 0.84 per game this tournament is the strongest of any side remaining in the competition. Draw No Bet on England at 1/3 gives protection against a tight, contested match going to extra time, removing the draw from the equation while still backing the Three Lions to progress.
Build the Norway v England bet
BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Away Win
✗ Miss
Match Result
13/15
England's tournament record, four matches unbeaten, three wins, superior defensive structure, anchors this bet builder. An away win is the foundation: without it, the other legs are moot. Tuchel's side have the squad depth and tactical flexibility to absorb Norway's press and find a way through.
Yes
✓ Hit
Both Teams to Score
4/7
This leg accounts for the Norway threat. Haaland alone makes a clean sheet difficult given England's defensive disruption through injury and suspension. BTTS has landed in three of England's five games. Adding this leg to an England win reflects the most likely winning scenario: a narrow but open game that England shade.
Erling Haaland
✗ Miss
Anytime Goalscorer
9/10
The BTTS leg needs someone to score for Norway, and Haaland is that someone. At 7 goals in 4 appearances, his record at this tournament is extraordinary. This leg is directly compatible with the BTTS leg (it explains which Norwegian scores) without creating a correlated conflict with the England win leg, since England can win while Haaland nets.
Norway
England