Millwall v Newcastle United prediction: EFL Cup third round preview, lineups & odds
A. Neil's Millwall host a much-changed Newcastle at The Den in the EFL Cup third round, with E. Howe's side favourites despite a defence in transition.
Third round hook
Millwall's reward for beating Cambridge United in an earlier round of this season's EFL Cup is a home tie against Premier League opposition, with Newcastle United arriving at The Den for a third round fixture that carries little league weight but a great deal of squad-management significance for both sides. A win takes Millwall into the last 16 of a competition in which they reached the quarter-finals as recently as 1994-95 but have not progressed past the third round since, having gone out on penalties to Crystal Palace at this stage last season. For Newcastle, still adjusting to life under a new head coach, it is an early chance to build momentum in a season already complicated by the departures of several first-team regulars.
Millwall
NewcastlePath to the third round
Millwall's route to this stage included a 1-0 win away at Cambridge United, a result that sits alongside two Championship losses and a heavy 4-0 win over Bolton Wanderers as evidence of an inconsistent start under A. Neil. The Lions sit seventh in the Championship on nine points from five games, having scored 10 and conceded eight, a goal difference that reflects games at both extremes rather than settled form. Newcastle's own cup run has been more comfortable on paper. Their most recent cup outing, a 3-2 win at home to West Bromwich Albion, came from a team showing considerably more attacking intent than defensive discipline, registering 16 shots and 57% possession but also shipping two goals of their own.
Rotation context
A. Neil made changes from the side that beat Bolton for the visit of a Premier League club, with Danny Batth, Jake Cooper and Elkan Baggott among those pushed into contention at the back, while Jenson Metcalfe, Luke Cundle and Alfie Massey look set for midfield roles and Lyndon Dykes is expected to lead the line. Newcastle's rotation is shaped as much by absence as by choice this early in the Jaissle era, with the head coach still without several senior defenders and forced to lean on a younger core in a competition his club has not always prioritised under previous management.
Line-ups
Millwall4-2-3-1- 34GF. Marschall
- 2DJ. Osei-Tutu
- 6DC. Taylor
- 5DJ. Cooper
- 12DE. Baggott
- 16MD. Kelly
- 14MJenson Metcalfe
- 11MR. Esse
- 10MC. Neghli
- 13ML. Dykes
- 29FZ. Lovelace
Newcastle4-2-3-1- 21GL. Horníček
- 37DA. Dedić
- 5DF. Schär
- 4DS. Botman
- 3DL. Hall
- 6MNico González
- 41MJ. Ramsey
- 23MJ. Murphy
- 28MJ. Willock
- 11MH. Barnes
- 9FY. Wissa
Where to watch
Kick-off is at 20:00 BST on Tuesday 8 September, with the tie shown on Sky Sports, where selected, and confirmed listings pointing to Sky Sports Main Event carrying live coverage. If the scores are level after 90 minutes, EFL Cup rules dictate the tie goes straight to a penalty shoot-out, with no extra-time period played at this stage of the competition.
Cup stats
- Millwall have not progressed beyond the third round of the EFL Cup since reaching the quarter-finals in 1994-95, form data shows.
- Millwall lost on penalties to Crystal Palace at the third round stage of last season's competition.
- Newcastle's most recent cup outing produced a 3-2 win from 16 shots and 57% possession, the recent-form data shows, with seven of those shots on target.
- Millwall's most recent cup win, 1-0 away at Cambridge United, came from an average of 7.5 shots and an xG of 2.04 across their last two outings in all competitions.
