Juventus v Lazio: preview, predicted line-ups & team news

Lazio arrive in Turin as the only side in the top three still unbeaten without a draw count to worry about. They have won five and drawn one of their six Serie A games, and they sit third on 16 points.

That makes Sunday night a test for a Juventus side who have kept winning without ever looking settled. They are seventh on 11 points, five behind their visitors, and they have lost their midfield pairing to knee injuries ahead of kick-off at the Allianz Stadium.

Lazio have also won three away games out of three. Juventus have not lost at home. Something has to give, though the numbers suggest it will not be the scoreline that does.

Juventus have won three, drawn two and lost one of their six league games. Their last outing was a 1-1 draw at Cagliari on 11 October, which followed a 2-0 home win over Atalanta on 20 September.

The home record is the selling point. Juventus have taken two wins and a draw from three games in Turin, scoring five and conceding one. Away from home they have conceded four in three, including a 3-2 defeat at Sassuolo on 13 September.

There is a pattern in how they score. Six of their nine league goals have come between the 76th and 90th minutes, which is 66.67 per cent of the total. They average 18.33 shots a game over their last six and 58.7 per cent possession, with an expected goals figure of 1.62 for and 0.49 against.

Lazio have scored 11 and conceded four in six games, and they have won their last two, 2-0 at Venezia on 19 September and 3-1 at home to Monza on 11 October. The only dropped points came in a 2-2 home draw with AC Milan on 12 September.

They do it with less of the ball. Lazio average 49.5 per cent possession and 13.5 shots a game, well below Juventus on both counts. Their expected goals against figure of 1.34 is nearly three times Juventus's 0.49, which hints that some of the defensive results have been fortunate.

Even so, they have scored in all six games and have yet to lose away from home. A win in Turin would take them to 19 points and level with leaders Inter, who have played one game more.

Lazio's last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, with 11 goals scored and four conceded. Juventus's read three wins, two draws and one defeat, with nine scored and five conceded. On the surface, that is a clear edge to the visitors. The underlying numbers narrow it. Juventus have created more, with 6.5 shots on target per game against 4.33 for Lazio, and they concede fewer chances. Lazio have been efficient, but efficiency is harder to bank than volume. If Juventus tighten up in the last 15 minutes, as their goals suggest they can, this is closer than the table implies.

Lazio are third on 16 points from six games, with a goal difference of plus seven. They are one point behind Roma (17 from seven) and three behind Inter (19 from seven), and they have a game in hand on both. They are also three points clear of fourth-placed Frosinone, who have 13 from seven.

Juventus are seventh on 11 points from six, with a goal difference of plus four. They are two points behind Frosinone and Cagliari (13 points each, Cagliari with six played), so a win puts them in the top-four conversation immediately. Defeat would leave them eight points behind Lazio with a stiff run of games still to come, and that gap would be hard to close.

The last 10 meetings are finely balanced: four wins each and two draws. They have averaged 2.2 goals per game. Both teams have scored in five of the 10 (50 per cent) and four have gone over 2.5 goals (40 per cent).

The most recent meeting was a 2-2 draw at the Allianz Stadium on 8 February 2026. Before that, Lazio won 1-0 at the Olimpico on 26 October 2025, and the sides drew 1-1 in Rome on 10 May 2025. Juventus won 1-0 in Turin in October 2024.

The pattern points to tight games. Four of the last five league meetings had two goals or fewer, and the 2-2 in February was the exception. With both sides on the lower end for goals this season, the under 2.5 line and a low scoring draw look better value than a home win. The 1-1 correct score is the lean.

The biggest gap is in the quality of chances against. Juventus concede an expected 0.49 goals per game over their last six, while Lazio concede 1.34. Juventus also win far more corners, 8.67 per game against 4.83, and they allow just 2.5 against. That suggests sustained pressure on Lazio's box.

Lazio's counter is their finishing. They have scored 11 goals from 4.33 shots on target a game, and they have never failed to score. Juventus have also scored in every game. If the hosts keep finding late goals, as six of their nine have come after the 75th minute, Lazio's habit of conceding in the second hour (all four of their goals against came between the 46th and 75th minutes) could be the weak point.

Juventus v Lazio kicks off at 19:45 BST on Sunday 18 October at the Allianz Stadium. A UK broadcaster has not been confirmed for this fixture yet, and this page will be updated closer to kick-off once the rights holder is verified.

The value sits in goals, or the lack of them. Juventus have gone under 2.5 in all six league games and Lazio in five of six, and the last five league meetings between the sides have been tight. The bet builder leans on Juventus's late-goal habit and a home record of two wins and a draw, with the under 2.5 line holding it together.