Getafe v Osasuna prediction, lineups & betting tips | La Liga matchday 38

José Bordalás has spent most of his managerial career making opposition sides deeply uncomfortable. On Saturday evening at the Coliseum, he needs his own players to feel the same urgency. Getafe go into La Liga's final round in seventh place, one point above Rayo Vallecano and two clear of Valencia, knowing that a win combined with a Celta Vigo defeat at home to Sevilla could still lift them into sixth and a Europa League berth. Lose or draw, and they finish no higher than seventh, Conference League playoff football at best, and none of it guaranteed. It is exactly the kind of must-win pressure Bordalás has thrived on across his career, and Osasuna, who arrive broken by four consecutive defeats, are the opponents he would have chosen.

Getafe's season has been a study in inconsistency. They sit seventh on 48 points from 37 games, respectable for a side that finished 13th last season, but their form across the final stretch has been ragged. One win in their last five La Liga matches, including a 0-1 home defeat to Rayo Vallecano and a 0-2 loss to Barcelona at the Coliseum, left Bordalás watching his side's European ambitions wobble badly. The 3-1 home win over Mallorca on 13 May offered brief relief, only for a 0-1 reverse at Elche last weekend to confirm that nothing is settled.

At home, Getafe have accumulated 24 points from 18 matches, the fourth-worst home record in La Liga, scoring 0.9 goals per game and conceding at the same rate. Their xG-for over the last ten games sits at just 1.01 per match, which tells you everything about how cautiously they have played. But Bordalás-ball is built for exactly this scenario: low block, set pieces, maximum discomfort. In 20 of their 36 league matches this season, Getafe lined up in a 5-3-2, and they have kept 11 clean sheets across the campaign.

Osasuna's visit comes at the worst possible time for Alessio Lisci's side. Four straight defeats, to Barcelona (1-2), Levante (2-3), Atletico Madrid (1-2) and Espanyol (1-2), have plunged them from ninth into what is shaping up to be a miserable end to the season. They sit 15th on 46 points with relegation not a concern, but any ambition of finishing in the top half has long since evaporated.

The numbers away from home are damning. Osasuna have won just two of 18 away league matches in 2025-26, conceding 1.4 goals per game on the road and averaging just 0.7 goals scored. They failed to score in 11 away fixtures this season. Their last ten games across all venues produced 17 goals conceded, 1.7 per match, while they mustered just 1.2 in return. Budimir remains their one consistent threat, with 17 La Liga goals to his name, but he has been fed scraps on his travels.

Osasuna head coach Alessio Lisci held his pre-match press conference on Thursday 21 May ahead of the trip to Madrid. The session was streamed on Radio Osasuna but a full transcript was not yet available in English at the time of publication.

Getafe's last ten reads W-W-L-W-D-L-L-W-L-L from oldest to most recent, four wins, one draw, five defeats. That is not the form of a side that should be in a European race, and it is also not as bad as the end of that sequence suggests. Three clean sheets in those ten games is a meaningful number for a defensive side; the problem has been scoring, with only 8 goals in 10 matches at 0.8 per game. Osasuna have been significantly worse: two wins, two draws, six defeats in their last ten, conceding at a rate that makes them look entirely rudderless on the road. The form edge is marginal but sits with Getafe, who at least have motivation driving them.

Getafe sit seventh on 48 points with 37 played, one point clear of Rayo Vallecano in eighth and two ahead of Valencia in ninth. A win takes them to 51, enough to guarantee at least Conference League playoff football and potentially sixth place if Celta Vigo (51 points, one game remaining) lose at home to Sevilla. The head-to-head advantage over Celta is in Getafe's favour if they finish level on points, meaning victory here makes the rest of the final-day scorelines matter very much.

Osasuna are 15th on 46 points, mathematically safe but with nothing tangible to play for. Their away points tally of just 10 from 18 matches (0.56 per game) is among the worst road records in the division. A draw here changes nothing for them; a win would be a statement rather than a material difference. For Getafe, every point is a different conversation.

Across 39 all-time meetings, Getafe have the clear edge: 16 wins to Osasuna's 10, with 13 draws. The aggregate score across those 39 games is 47 goals for Getafe and 34 for Osasuna, averaging around 2.08 per match. Both teams have scored in 48% of their H2H encounters. The most recent meeting was a 1-1 draw at El Sadar in December 2025, and the last time these sides met at the Coliseum, Getafe ran out 2-1 winners.

The H2H pattern reinforces what the season stats already tell us: this is not a fixture that produces goals freely. Only one of the last five meetings has gone over 2.5 goals. Getafe's home record in this fixture is strong, they have won seven times at the Coliseum in their all-time H2H, and Osasuna's current away form makes a repeat of December's draw the most optimistic reading from a visiting perspective. If the market is pricing BTTS at even money, the 48% historical rate argues against it.

The gap between these sides in front of goal is not subtle. Osasuna average 5.5 shots on target per game across their last ten; Getafe manage just 2.6. That is a striking difference in attacking intent, and it explains why Osasuna's xG-for (1.33 per game) is comfortably ahead of Getafe's (1.01). The story of this game, though, is whether Osasuna's attacking volume converts into goals against a Bordalás defensive structure that, at its best, gives up very little.

Getafe's low possession (38.5% average across their last ten) is deliberate. They concede corners at 5.1 per game, invite pressure, and look to win the ball and counter. Osasuna average 4.7 corners for and 5.2 against, which means corner volume from the visitors is likely. The sharp divergence is in clean sheets: Getafe have kept three in ten, Osasuna just one. That differential, combined with Osasuna's chronic away scoring problem, points to a Getafe win where the goals stay low.

Bordalás will almost certainly stick with his familiar 5-3-2, the shape he has used in 20 of 36 league outings. Djené is suspended after his red card and Satriano is absent through yellow card accumulation, so the defensive unit will need reshuffling. Juanmi and Borja Mayoral are also unavailable through injury. Arambarri, back from suspension, returns to midfield. Osasuna will be without Iker Munoz (suspended) and face a late call on Raul Moro's hamstring. Lisci has used a 4-2-3-1 in 21 of his 36 league games this season.

Getafe: Soria; Duarte, Boselli, Abqar, Davinchi, Iglesias; Arambarri, Caceres, Milla; Vazquez, Martin

Osasuna: Herrera; Rosier, Catena, Boyomo, Galan; Moncayola, Torro; Ruben Garcia, Oroz, Barja; Budimir

Getafe v Osasuna kicks off at 21:00 BST on Saturday 23 May 2026, as part of La Liga's synchronised final-round kick-offs. In the UK, the match is available via Premier Sports, check Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2 or the Premier Sports Player streaming platform. La Liga's final day is also covered by the Premier Sports Player app and website for subscribers.

The strongest angle in this fixture is the Getafe home win. The visitors are broken in form, without their first-choice midfielder, potentially missing Moro, and carrying a catastrophic away record. Getafe have everything to play for and Bordalás teams do not waste those moments. The low-scoring pattern of this H2H and both sides' defensive-first tendencies make under 2.5 goals the natural companion pick, and Budimir, despite playing well below his best on the road, remains the most likely Osasuna scorer if they do get a foothold.