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Germany v Ivory Coast prediction, lineups & tips: World Cup 2026 Group E

Germany host Ivory Coast at BMO Field in Toronto on Saturday in a Group E top-of-the-table clash that could decide who advances first from the group. Both sides won their openers, but the gulf between a 7-1 demolition and a late 1-0 win tells its own story.

Published
Sat 20 Jun, 00:14

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Germany arrive at BMO Field in Toronto on Saturday as the most potent attacking side at the FIFA World Cup 2026, having racked up seven goals in a single game and conceded just one. Standing in their way in matchday two of Group E are Ivory Coast, a side that ground out a 1-0 win over Ecuador on a 90th-minute Amad Diallo goal and who know that a second win here would all but confirm their place in the round of 32. Win this and Germany are through. Win it and Ivory Coast are right in the mix. The stakes do not get much higher in the group stage.

BET FOOTBALL
GermanyGermany
2–1
Full time
Ivory CoastIvory Coast
Sat 20 Jun, 21:00•BMO Field

Julian Nagelsmann's side were simply devastating in their opener. After Felix Nmecha's sixth-minute goal was cancelled out by a historic Curaçao equaliser, Germany shifted through the gears, Kai Havertz scored twice, with Nico Schlotterbeck, Jamal Musiala, Nathaniel Brown and Deniz Undav also getting on the scoresheet in a final 7-1 scoreline. The xG data tells a similarly commanding story: Germany generated 4.22 expected goals from 26 shots, averaging 65 per cent possession and 12 shots on target. They are, on the evidence of one game at this tournament, a side in form.

The concern, if there is one, is at the back. Curaçao, the smallest nation by population ever to play at a World Cup, still managed to expose Germany early, and Jonathan Tah and Nico Schlotterbeck will face a considerably sterner examination from Ivory Coast's quick front runners. As Germany captain Joshua Kimmich put it at Tuesday's press conference, speaking of Yan Diomande: "His dribbling is exceptional, a bit like Kingsley Coman at Bayern back in the day. He's got incredible pace."

Ivory Coast's campaign is their first at the World Cup since 2014, and Emerse Fae's squad, all 26 of whom are making their World Cup debut, showed just enough discipline against Ecuador to get the job done. They had an xG of 1.52 from 15 shots against Ecuador, managed just 48 per cent possession and mustered only four shots on target. The clean sheet was the key result; they conceded an xG of 1.01 and might have been punished on another night.

Fae will draw confidence from Ivory Coast's form ahead of the tournament. The Elephants won their fifth consecutive match across all competitions when they beat Ecuador, a run that includes a 2-1 friendly victory over France. Germany, however, represent an altogether different proposition, and the coach knows it. When asked about his ambitions before the tournament, Fae said: "I believe Ivory Coast has the potential to do something special. We will go into the tournament with the aim of winning every game, taking it one match at a time, and pushing as far as possible. Why not aim for the final?"

Last 6 · most recent left
GermanyGermany
WW1 D0 L0
Ivory CoastIvory Coast
WW1 D0 L0
Last 1 meetings · most recent first
  1. 20 Jun 26Germany2–1Ivory CoastGermany
Home wins
1
Draws
0
Away wins
0
Goals · H / A
2 / 1

Nagelsmann has not hidden his respect for the opposition. "Ivory Coast are a team you can beat, but one you shouldn't take lightly," he said ahead of the tournament. Germany's own momentum is significant: the goals have flowed in ten straight wins entering this match, and Florian Wirtz, Musiala and Havertz represent one of the most technically gifted attacking trios at the tournament. Musiala, who missed considerable game time after a broken leg at the Club World Cup last summer, has recovered well enough to run Curaçao ragged, and there is more to come.

Line-ups

GermanyGermany4-2-3-1
  • 1GManuel Neuer
  • 6DJoshua Kimmich
  • 4DJonathan Tah
  • 15DNico Schlotterbeck
  • 18DNathaniel Brown
  • 23MFelix Nmecha
  • 5MAleksandar Pavlović
  • 19MLeroy Sané
  • 10MJamal Musiala
  • 17MFlorian Wirtz
  • 7FKai Havertz
Manager · Julian Nagelsmann
Ivory CoastIvory Coast4-4-2
  • 1GYahia Fofana
  • 5DWilfried Singo
  • 7DOdilon Kossounou
  • 20DEmmanuel Agbadou
  • 3DGhislain Konan
  • 15MAmad Diallo
  • 8MFranck Kessié
  • 18MIbrahim Sangaré
  • 11MYan Diomande
  • 9FAnge-Yoan Bonny
  • 26FChrist Inao Oulaï
Manager · Emerse Fae

Where to watch Germany v Ivory Coast: TV and online stream

Germany v Ivory Coast kicks off at 21:00 BST on Saturday, 20 June at BMO Field, Toronto. The match is live on ITV1, STV and UTV NI in the UK, with coverage starting at 20:00 BST. UK viewers can also stream it for free on ITVX or the STV Player.

Stats for Germany v Ivory Coast

  • Germany scored 7 goals against Curaçao from an xG of 4.22, their highest xG total in a single game since records began at this tournament.
  • Ivory Coast generated just 1.52 xG from 15 shots against Ecuador, but kept a clean sheet, conceding an xG of 1.01.
  • The two sides have met only once at senior level: a 2-2 friendly in Stuttgart in November 2009, with Lukas Podolski scoring twice for Germany.
  • Ivory Coast have won just one of their previous four World Cup meetings with European opposition (D1 L2), while Germany have lost only once to an African nation at the tournament (W5 D2).
Headline prediction · our pick
✓ HitConfidence · high

match result: germany to win

Germany's attacking quality is the clearest edge in this fixture. Wirtz, Musiala and Havertz dismantled Curaçao, and while Ivory Coast's midfield physicality will make this tighter than the 7-1 scoreline might suggest, Fae's side lack the firepower to threaten Neuer consistently, their four shots on target against Ecuador is the starkest number in the data. Germany win, and probably score at least twice.

Best Price9/17bet365 · score 3-1
✓ Prediction landed
TIP 01✗ Miss

Correct Score: 3-1

Germany's xG of 4.22 from one match at this tournament points to a side capable of scoring three or more. Ivory Coast, for their part, showed against Ecuador that they can nick a goal on the counter, Amad Diallo's 90th-minute winner was a case in point, and Germany did concede against Curaçao. A 3-1 scoreline reflects Germany's dominance while giving Ivory Coast credit for their counter-attacking threat. At around 17/2, there is fair value in the correct score market.

TIP 02✓ Hit

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Germany's only game at this World Cup went well over 2.5 goals, and their xG data (4.22 generated, 0.41 conceded) points to an open, high-scoring encounter if they play as they did in the opener. Ivory Coast are not a side that sits back and parks the bus, Fae has spoken about wanting to play expansively and win every game. The Over 2.5 line at 4/7 reflects the balance between Germany's attacking firepower and Ivory Coast's willingness to press forward on the counter. Both teams scoring in an open Group E match makes this the most straightforward call on the card.

TIP 03✓ Hit

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Germany conceded against Curaçao, the smallest nation at this World Cup, so Ivory Coast, who possess genuine pace in Amad Diallo and Yan Diomande, and who beat France 2-1 in a pre-tournament friendly, must be considered a scoring threat. The Yes line at around 8/11 is fair given Germany's defensive vulnerability in transition and Ivory Coast's counter-attacking quality. The key risk is that Nagelsmann's midfield screen effectively kills Ivory Coast's transitions, as it will need to for Germany to keep a clean sheet.

TIP 04✗ Miss

Anytime Goalscorer: Kai Havertz

Havertz scored twice against Curaçao, his third and fourth World Cup goals, and leads the line in Germany's 4-2-3-1 with licence to arrive into the box from deep. He has directly contributed to goals consistently for club and country in recent months, and against a Ivory Coast defence that will be without the injured N'Dicka, the Arsenal midfielder represents the most bankable goalscorer option in this fixture. At around 6/4, the price reflects his central role in Germany's attack.

TIP 05✓ Hit

Double Chance: Home or Draw

Germany are unbeaten in ten successive internationals and sit at 8/13 to win outright. The Double Chance, Home or Draw, offers a safety net given Ivory Coast's counter-attacking threat while backing the most likely outcome. At 2/17, it is short, but for bettors seeking near-certainty rather than value, it frames Germany's dominance at a manageable price. The main risk is an Ivory Coast goal that shifts the momentum, though Germany have proven they can respond.

Build the Germany v Ivory Coast bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 Legs✗ Miss
Home Win
✓ Hit
Match Result
9/17

Germany anchor the bet builder. Ten consecutive wins, the highest xG in Group E from matchday one, and a settled XI that has not needed to be changed give Nagelsmann every reason to be confident. The Home Win leg holds up regardless of the scoreline, which makes it the safest foundation for the builder.

Over
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 Goals
4/7

Pairing Over 2.5 Goals with a Germany win is not directly correlated, Germany could win 2-0 and the Over would fail. The combination works because Germany's attack is capable of scoring three or more on its own, and a close or open contest driven by Ivory Coast's counter-attacks only adds to the expected goal count. This leg complements the result pick without relying on the same outcome.

Kai Havertz
✗ Miss
Anytime Goalscorer
3/2

Adding Havertz to score at any time rounds out the builder by targeting a specific outcome within the Germany win rather than duplicating the result or goals legs. He started and scored twice in the opener, plays as the focal point of Germany's attack, and faces a defence missing N'Dicka. The three legs, Germany win, over 2.5 goals, Havertz to score, are logically distinct and mutually reinforcing without being correlated.

Combined Price
5/1
Stake£10.00
Returns£60.05
Profit+£50.05
World Cup · season 2026 · Group ELive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
1GermanyGermany3+66
2Ivory CoastIvory Coast3+26
3EcuadorEcuador304
4CuraçaoCuraçao3-81