Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg: Preview, predicted line-ups and prediction
Unbeaten Dortmund sit second in the Bundesliga and host an Elversberg side who have scored once in four away games without conceding fewer than two.
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Dortmund look to stay in touch with Bayern
Borussia Dortmund have spent the past week trying to work out whether a point at Bayern München was a gain or a missed chance. They led the champions' home ground a scoreline of 2-2 on 31 October and stay level with them on 18 points, behind only on goal difference.
The hosts now welcome SV Elversberg, a newly established Bundesliga side who arrive in seventh place after a bruising few weeks. A 4-1 home win over FSV Mainz 05 on 30 October followed a 4-0 defeat at RB Leipzig. Dortmund will see a chance to put the Bayern draw behind them with a comfortable afternoon.
Dortmund's unbeaten run
Dortmund have won five, drawn three and lost none of their eight league games. Their season form reads WWWWDDWD, and the three draws have all come in the last five matches: 2-2 with Werder Bremen at home on 9 October, 0-0 at Union Berlin on 17 October and the Bayern game.
Defence is the foundation. They have conceded six goals all season, 0.75 a game, and kept five clean sheets. At Signal Iduna Park they have scored eight and conceded two in four matches, winning three and drawing one. The attack has been quieter, with 14 goals in eight, 1.75 per game, and 46 per cent of those have come in the last 15 minutes.
Elversberg arrive with a home-and-away split
Elversberg have 13 points from eight games, five behind Dortmund and three adrift of third-placed SC Freiburg. Their record is a tale of two venues. At home they have won three of four and scored 12 goals, an average of 3.0. Away they have won one, drawn one and lost two, scoring four and conceding eight.
They score early, with five of their 16 goals coming in the first 15 minutes, but they leak late. Seven of the 16 they have conceded came between the 76th and 90th minutes. They have also failed to score in three of their four away games.
Stats for Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg
- Dortmund are unbeaten in their first eight Bundesliga games of 2026/27 (W5 D3 L0), with a longest winning streak of four.
- Dortmund have kept three clean sheets in four home league games, conceding two goals at Signal Iduna Park.
- Elversberg have conceded 16 goals in eight games and kept one clean sheet, in an away match.
- Elversberg have failed to score in three of their four away league games.
- Dortmund are second on 18 points (goal difference +8), Elversberg seventh on 13 (goal difference 0).
Form guide ahead of Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg
Dortmund's last eight league games bring five wins, three draws and no defeats, with 14 goals scored and six conceded. Elversberg have won four, drawn one and lost three, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Dortmund are plainly in better shape, but the picture needs a caveat. Three draws in the last five games mean the points have dried up a little, and Dortmund's xG against of 1.59 a game sits well above the goals they have actually conceded per game, which suggests some luck in goal. Elversberg's shape is volatile: they have won 4-3 and 4-1 and been beaten 4-0 in the same stretch, so their results swing hard.
Borussia Dortmund
SV ElversbergBorussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga table
Dortmund are second on 18 points from eight games, level with Bayern München but 11 goals behind them on goal difference. They sit two points clear of third-placed Freiburg (16) and three clear of Leipzig in fourth (15). A win keeps them in the title conversation and protects a firm Champions League spot.
Elversberg are seventh on 13 points from eight games, level with sixth-placed Bayer Leverkusen but with a worse goal difference (0 against +2). Only two points separate them from ninth-placed Mainz's 10, so a loss would pull them towards a congested middle. A shock result would lift them to within two points of Freiburg.
Head-to-head record: Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg
No head-to-head figures were available for this fixture. Elversberg are a newcomer to the top flight, so there is no established Bundesliga history between the sides to draw on.
That leaves current form to carry the argument. Elversberg's matches are high-scoring: six of their last eight have gone over 2.5 goals and five have seen both teams score. Dortmund's games are tighter, with four of eight over 2.5 and three with both sides scoring. At Signal Iduna Park the hosts are the stronger side at keeping the ball out, and that tilts the goals market towards Dortmund scoring and Elversberg struggling to reply.
Where this fixture is won and lost
The biggest gap is at the back. Dortmund have conceded far fewer per game over their last eight, while Elversberg concede 2.0. Dortmund also have the ball, with an average of 54.5 per cent possession against 45.8 per cent for the visitors, and they average 15.13 shots to 10.38.
Set-pieces could matter too. Elversberg concede 7.75 corners a game, nearly double Dortmund's 4.0, so the hosts should spend long spells camped in the final third. Elversberg's best route is quick strikes, given that five of their 16 goals have arrived in the first 15 minutes, but they have scored in only one of four away games.
Key differentials · each side's last 8 Bundesliga games
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund | SV Elversberg | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals scored | 1.75 | 2 | ELV |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 2 | DOR |
| Avg shots on target | 5.25 | 4.38 | DOR |
| Avg possession % | 54.5 | 45.75 | DOR |
| Avg corners for | 5.25 | 4.13 | DOR |
| xG for / against | 1.43 / 1.59 | 1.16 / 1.85 | DOR |
| Clean sheets | 5 of 8 | 1 of 8 | DOR |
| Failed to score | 1 of 8 | 3 of 8 | DOR |
| Both teams scored | 3 of 8 | 5 of 8 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 4 of 8 | 6 of 8 | – |
Predicted line-ups for Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg
Dortmund are expected to line up in the 3-4-2-1 they used against Bayern, with no obvious reason for changes after a draw. Elversberg's last team sheet, against Mainz, points to a 4-2-3-1 shape.
Borussia Dortmund: Kobel; Gadou, Anton, Schlotterbeck; Beier, Veerman, Nmecha, Svensson; Bellingham, Chukwuemeka; Guirassy
SV Elversberg: Kristof, Rohr, Poręba, Pinckert, Petkov, Onyeka, Mokwa, Krattenmacher, Keidel, Sirch, Günther
Where to watch Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg: TV and online streams
Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg kicks off at 14:30 GMT on Saturday 7 November at Signal Iduna Park. No UK broadcaster had been announced for this match when this preview was written.
Our model's view
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Next likeliest
- 2-1 (8%) · 3-0 (8%)
Our goals model’s expected goals: Borussia Dortmund 2.42, SV Elversberg 0.91. The percentages are our ratings: the goals model blended with the betting market.
Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg betting tips
The strongest angle is the gap between Dortmund's home defence and Elversberg's away attack. Dortmund have conceded two goals in four home games, while Elversberg have scored four in four on the road and failed to score in three of those. That points to a home win with the visitors held scoreless, with enough goals to make the over a live option.
Match Result: Borussia Dortmund to win
This is the base of the bet builder. Dortmund's unbeaten record and Elversberg's 2.0 goals conceded per game set up the other two legs, which both depend on the hosts being in control.