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Matchday 2
35th · Home
17:45Thu, 15 Oct 2026
8th · Away
Venue Stadion PoznanReferee Milos MilanovicWatch (UK) TNT Sports

Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen: Preview, predicted line-ups & Europa League tip

Lech Poznan host Bayer Leverkusen in matchday two of the Europa League league stage, with the hosts missing five players and the visitors priced at 8/13.

Published
Wed 14 Oct, 06:05
Updated
Wed 14 Oct, 21:04

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Round hook

Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen is a matchday two fixture in the Europa League league stage, so the table is still thin. Eight teams hold three points from their opening game, and the top of the snapshot is led by Juventus on a goal difference of +5. Neither side here is in that group on the figures supplied. Lech lost 4-0 at Crystal Palace on the opening night, while Leverkusen beat Celje 2-0 at home. Early league-stage points carry weight because the top eight avoid the play-offs, so a first win for Lech would change their position quickly. A Leverkusen win would leave them with six points from two.

BET FOOTBALL
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
VS
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
Thu 15 Oct, 17:45•Stadion Poznan

Path to the round

Lech Poznan reached the league stage through qualifying. They beat KI Klaksvik 1-0 at home and 5-0 away, then drew with FC Thun 2-2 away after a 7-0 home win, according to the recent-form data. Those four results produced 15 goals in five matches overall (3.0 per game) and three clean sheets. The Palace defeat on 17 September is the one blemish, and it was their heaviest loss of the run.

Bayer Leverkusen have one competitive result in the supplied data: the 2-0 win over Celje on 16 September. The numbers behind it were strong. They averaged 17 shots, eight of them on target, with 56% possession and an expected goals figure of 1.93 against 0.90 conceded. One match is a small sample, but it suggests a side that controls games.

Rotation context

A Thursday kick-off ahead of weekend league fixtures often brings some rotation, and neither squad list shows an obvious reason to expect an unchanged side. Lech's selection is partly dictated by absences, with five players unavailable. Leverkusen's own absentee list is incomplete in the supplied feed, so the data does not say how much freedom the visitors have. Lech's home scoring rate of 4.0 per game in qualifying came against lower-ranked opposition. Leverkusen average 2.0 goals per game on their only outing, and they opened the season in the same 4-2-3-1 shape Lech have used in all five of their matches.

Last 6 · most recent left
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
L4-0 (Crystal Palace - Lech Poznan)17/09/2026W0 D0 L1
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
W2-0 (Bayer Leverkusen - Celje)16/09/2026W1 D0 L0
Europa League · season 2026 · UEFA Europa LeagueLive snapshot
#TeamPGDPts
7BenficaBenfica1+23
8Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen1+23
9OFIOFI1+23
10BournemouthBournemouth1+13
11LyonLyon1+13
12TorreenseTorreense1+13
13Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus1+13
14Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1+13
15SunderlandSunderland1+13
16Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia1+13
17Sturm GrazSturm Graz101
18RennesRennes101
19Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb101
20Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva101
21JagielloniaJagiellonia1-10
22Real SociedadReal Sociedad1-10
23AnderlechtAnderlecht1-10
24LillestromLillestrom1-10
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo1-10
26AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1-10
27Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1-10
28CelticCeltic1-20
291899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim1-20
30AC MilanAC Milan1-20
31CeljeCelje1-20
32MarseilleMarseille1-30
33Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia1-30
34PlzenPlzen1-30
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan1-40
36NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1-50
Europa League

Predicted line-ups

Lech Poznan (4-2-3-1): Lis; Gurgul, Skrzypczak, Bartczak, Joel Pereira; Kozubal, Bengtsson; Wålemark, Pablo Rodríguez, Jagiełło; Ishak.

Bayer Leverkusen (4-2-3-1): Flekken; Lucas Vázquez, Tapsoba, Badé, Miguel Gutiérrez; Andrich, Ben Seghir, Tella; Schick.

Both XIs are projections from the supplied squads. The shape is the one each side has used so far, but individual selections could change with rotation.

Where to watch

Kick-off at Stadion Poznan is 17:45 BST on Thursday 15 October 2026. The competition is shown on TNT Sports where selected, though the specific channel for this fixture has not been confirmed and the page will be updated closer to kick-off. This is a league-stage match, not a two-legged tie, so there is no second leg. If level after 90 minutes, the match ends as a draw, with no extra time or penalties in the league stage.

Stats

  • Lech Poznan have scored 15 and conceded 6 in five matches this season, with three clean sheets, according to the season stats.
  • Lech's biggest win this season is 7-0 at home against FC Thun. Their only defeat was 4-0 at Crystal Palace.
  • Leverkusen's only home win so far is 2-0, with an expected goals total of 1.93 against 0.90 in the recent-form aggregate.
  • No head-to-head data was supplied for this fixture, so the pick relies on current-season numbers.
TIP 01

Correct Score: 1-2

Lech's average of 2.3 goals per away game and 4.0 at home suggests they will score, while Leverkusen's 17 shots per game point to a likely edge. A 2-1 away win fits both profiles. The risk is that Leverkusen's shot volume turns into a wider margin, as it did for Palace against Lech.

Best Price
10/1
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 02

Over 2.5 Goals: Over

Four of Lech's five matches this season went over 2.5 goals, per the recent-form data, and Leverkusen's expected goals of 1.93 add to that. bet365 offers 4/9 on the over. Corner data points the same way, with Leverkusen averaging 6.0 corners for and Lech conceding 4.6 per game, which suggests sustained visiting pressure. The risk is a cagey game, as Leverkusen's only match finished 2-0.

Best Price
7/16
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 03

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Lech failed to score in only one of five matches, and they average 7.0 shots on target a game. Leverkusen kept a clean sheet last time out, with just 0.90 expected goals against. Lech's BTTS count is only one in five, because their wins were often by large margins, so the price of 8/15 reflects a fair chance rather than a certainty.

Best Price
8/17
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 04

Anytime Goalscorer: P. Schick

Schick is the most natural number nine in the Leverkusen squad, and the visitors are expected to create plenty of chances. Their 17 shots a game give any central striker volume. The risk is that Boniface's absence and rotation could shift the attacking role to someone else.

Best Price
6/5
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.
TIP 05

Double Chance: Away or Draw

Leverkusen are the stronger side on the available data, and Lech have conceded 6 goals in three away games. Away or Draw covers Lech scoring first and Leverkusen recovering, or a stalemate. The risk is a home win built on Lech's attack, which scored 7 in one match.

Best Price
1/5
Place bet
Odds correct at time of publish.

Build the Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen bet

BetFootball Builder · 3 LegsCombined Price Below
Away Win
Match Result
8/13

Leverkusen's expected goals margin anchors the builder. The other two legs depend on them creating chances.

Over
Over 2.5 Goals
7/16

Lech's attack and Leverkusen's shot volume suggest goals at both ends. This leg works alongside an away win because Leverkusen are likely to score twice or more.

P. Schick
Anytime Goalscorer
6/5

Schick has the most direct route to goal in Leverkusen's likely line-up. A goal from him would be consistent with the other two legs.

Combined Price
62/15
Stake£10.00
Returns£51.32
Profit+£41.32
Build at bet365
Builder goes to bet365 · 18+ · GambleAware
Odds correct at time of publish.