Barcelona v Getafe: Prediction, lineups and tips as hosts chase an eighth straight win

Barcelona have not so much hit form as obliterated it. Seven wins from seven, 31 goals scored and just seven conceded, and still the numbers keep climbing. A 7-2 demolition of Racing Santander and a 5-0 stroll past Valencia have put the rest of La Liga on notice, and now Getafe arrive at Camp Nou as the latest side asked to find an answer nobody else has managed this season.

The scale of Barcelona's start is hard to overstate. They sit top of La Liga on 21 points from seven games, five clear of Atletico Madrid and Real Betis in second and third, with a goal difference of plus 24. Their home record alone reads three wins from three, 14 goals for and four against, an average of close to five goals a game at Camp Nou.

Raphinha has been central to it, with 12 goals in seven appearances and a rating of 8.49, while Lamine Yamal has added seven goals and four assists of his own. Both are listed as doubts this week with muscle and knee issues respectively, which would be the first real dent in an otherwise perfect squad sheet. Even shorn of two forwards, this group has scored five or more in four of their last seven games.

Getafe's season could scarcely read more differently. Two wins, two draws and three defeats from seven games have left them on 10 points and nowhere near the form Barcelona are showing, with just four goals scored all season and three games where they failed to find the net at all. A 1-0 win over Malaga was followed by a goalless home draw with Celta Vigo and defeats to Real Betis and Osasuna either side of it, a stop-start campaign that has yielded an average of 0.57 goals a game.

Away form is the biggest concern. Getafe have averaged just 11.71 shots and 2.71 shots on target per game across their last seven, with an average possession share of 40.1%. A trip to a Barcelona side averaging 68.4% possession and 21.43 shots a game is about as hard a fixture as the calendar can produce.

Barcelona's form line reads WWWWW, seven wins out of seven overall with four wins and no losses on the road and three wins out of three at home. Getafe's read is far choppier, two wins, two draws and three defeats, with only one win in their last three outings. The gulf in underlying numbers, Barcelona's 4.07 expected goals a game against Getafe's 0.69, suggests the form table is not flattering either side. This is as lopsided a fixture as La Liga will produce this weekend.

Barcelona sit top of La Liga on 21 points from seven games, five points clear of both Atletico Madrid and Real Betis in second and third. Getafe are well adrift in the bottom half on 10 points from the same number of matches, closer to the relegation zone than the European places.

An eighth straight win across all competitions would stretch Barcelona's advantage at the top before the rest of the division has even kicked off this round. For Getafe, the priority is damage limitation, keeping the goal difference respectable and returning to Madrid with the campaign still shaped around survival rather than ambition.

Barcelona have won 6 of the last 10 meetings between these two sides, with 4 draws and Getafe yet to win any of them. The average is 1.6 goals per meeting, both teams have scored in only 2 of the last 10, and just 3 have gone over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, in April 2026, finished 2-0 to Barcelona at the Coliseum.

That low-scoring H2H pattern sits oddly against this season's form, and it is worth noting it was built largely on tighter, more cagey Getafe performances than the one likely on Saturday. Given Barcelona's current scoring rate and Getafe's struggles in front of goal, the historical over 2.5 rate of 30% looks set to be smashed rather than repeated. The correct score markets should lean towards a heavier home win than this fixture has typically produced.

The gap in possession tells its own story: Barcelona average 68.4% of the ball to Getafe's 40.1%, and that control translates directly into shots, 21.43 a game for the hosts against 11.71 for the visitors. Barcelona's expected goals average of 4.07 per game dwarfs Getafe's 0.69, while at the other end Getafe are shipping 1.32 expected goals a game despite facing mostly modest attacks. Put simply, Barcelona create far more and Getafe defend a lot worse than their results this season suggest, a combination that rarely ends well for the away side at Camp Nou.

Barcelona should name a strong XI despite the doubts over Raphinha and Yamal, with Fermín and Dani Olmo able to cover further forward if needed. Getafe are expected to set up in a low block to try to limit the damage.

Barcelona: Szczęsny; Koundé, Eric García, Cubarsí, Balde; Pedri, Rodri, Gavi; Olmo, Gabriel Jesus, Raphinha

Getafe: Soria; Nyom, Duarte, Abqar, Mojica; Arambarri, Femenía, Mayoral; Terrats, Ünal

Kick-off is at 17:30 BST on Saturday 10 October. The game is shown on Premier Sports where selected in the UK. This is not the Saturday night primetime slot reserved for Disney+'s exclusive match of the week, so viewers should look to Premier Sports's coverage for this one.

The value here is in the goals markets rather than the match result, given odds of 1/12 on a Barcelona win leave little room for a single bet. Barcelona have gone over 3.5 goals in four of their last seven games, and with Getafe failing to score in three of seven, the goals-based markets and a goalscorer bet on Raphinha or Lamine Yamal carry far more appeal than the outright price.