Ballon d’Or Betting Guide

Bet on the Ballon d’Or with our guide to the most prestigious individual award in football!

It’s almost the most wonderful time of the year again. No, not Christmas, it’s almost time for the Balon d’Or ceremonies and for fans that love to argue over who the best player in the world is this is our Christmas.

Below we will give you some Balon d’Or background, the lowdown of what to expect from this year’s ceremony and hopefully some good tips and predictions on who will take home the trophy this year.

What is the Ballon d’Or?

For those who may have never heard of the Ballon d’Or, it is an award given out every year by France Football (a magazine) to the best men’s football player every calendar year. The first award was given out in 1956 and until 1995 the award was only for European footballers. Since then, any professional player in the world can win it and it is considered the most prestigious individual award in the sport.

The importance of the award has grown every year and that growth can probably be attributed to social media. We live in the age of the sport hot take and no other subject is more talked about than the GOAT (greatest of all time) debate. We happen to live in an era when two of the greatest players, Ronaldo and Messi, have coinciding careers. This means social media is full of arguments on the daily about who is actually the greatest.

Of course, there is no better way to back up your argument than pointing to how many Ballon D’or awards a player has. As only Luka Modric has won the award outside of those two in the last 13 years, we can see why it gets so much attention.

So how many Ballon d’Or does Messi have and how many Ballon d’Or does Ronaldo have? Well, Ronaldo has 5 and Messi has a record-breaking 6. So, we can see why Ballon d’Or 2021 could be the one that finally separates the two.

What is the Ballon d’Or?

For those who may have never heard of the Ballon d’Or, it is an award given out every year by France Football (a magazine) to the best men’s football player every calendar year. The first award was given out in 1956 and until 1995 the award was only for European footballers. Since then, any professional player in the world can win it and it is considered the most prestigious individual award in the sport.

The importance of the award has grown every year and that growth can probably be attributed to social media. We live in the age of the sport hot take and no other subject is more talked about than the GOAT (greatest of all time) debate. We happen to live in an era when two of the greatest players, Ronaldo and Messi, have coinciding careers. This means social media is full of arguments on the daily about who is actually the greatest.

Of course, there is no better way to back up your argument than pointing to how many Ballon D’or awards a player has. As only Luka Modric has won the award outside of those two in the last 13 years, we can see why it gets so much attention.

So how many Ballon d’Or does Messi have and how many Ballon d’Or does Ronaldo have? Well, Ronaldo has 5 and Messi has a record-breaking 6. So, we can see why Ballon d’Or 2021 could be the one that finally separates the two.

Ballon d’Or Nominees

Find all the players that could be awarded the most prestigious award in football below:

Player Club
Cesar Azpilicueta Chelsea
Nicolo Barella Inter Milan
Karim Benzema Real Madrid
Leonardo Bonucci Juventus
Kevin De Bruyne Manchester City
Giorgio Chiellini Juventus
Cristiano Ronaldo Manchester United
Ruben Dias Manchester City
Gianluigi Donnarumma Paris Saint-Germain
Bruno Fernandes Manchester United
Phil Foden Manchester City
Erling Haaland Borussia Dortmund
Jorginho Chelsea
Harry Kane Tottenham
N’Golo Kante Chelsea
Simon Kjaer AC Milan
Robert Lewandowski Bayern Munich
Romelu Lukaku Chelsea
Riyad Mahrez Manchester City
Lautaro Martinez Inter Milan
Kylian Mbappe Paris Saint-Germain
Lionel Messi Paris Saint-Germain
Luka Modric Real Madrid
Gerard Moreno Villarreal
Mason Mount Chelsea
Neymar Paris Saint-Germain
Pedri Barcelona
Mohamed Salah Liverpool
Raheem Sterling Manchester City
Luis Suarez Atletico Madrid

Balloon d’or Predictions

The most important thing to take from this article if you take nothing else is: do NOT bet on anyone outside the top two in the betting. This is either the Messi Ballon d’Or or the Lewandowski Ballon d’Or and don’t let anything else you see or hear tell you any different.

The Ballon d’Or is a narrative-driven award. There is no way Luka Modric was a better player than Messi the year he won. Modric however had dragged Croatia to a World Cup final and voters had Messi and Ronaldo fatigue. Modric has also been a great player for years so it was almost like a lifetime achievement award.

My point is the narrative swings voters. No matter how much you try to block the noise out it is impossible to avoid it. This year there is an incredibly interesting narrative battle.

There was no 2020 Ballon d’Or as due to Corona, French Football thought it would be unfair to give an award. This much more likely has to do with the French league being the only one not to play out the rest of their season after the corona stoppage but that’s a discussion for another time.

Lewandowski would have been the clear Ballon d’Or 2020 winner so the narrative behind him is he deserves one for the unbelievable form he has been in for the past two seasons. The narrative behind Messi is he finally won his first international tournament this year having come out of retirement to help his country win the Copa America. Help is an understatement here as he had the most goals and assists in the tournament.

The betting reflects this as up until recently it looked like it was going to be another Messi Ballon d’Or. Now however it’s so close that both they’re Ballon d’Or odds are hovering around evens and some bookmakers have Messi favourite whereas others have Lewandowski taking home the award. In the lead up you will hear stories about how Salah or Jorginiho could win the Ballon d’Or. Ignore any hype around these two, Ballon d’Or 2021 is going to Messi or Lewandowski.

Ballon d’or Odds

Find a list of all the odds for the Ballon d’Or Nominees 2021:

Player Odds
Lionel Messi 8/11
Robert Lewandowski 1/1
Mohamed Salah 28/1
Karim Benzema 28/1
Jorginho 33/1
Cristianio Ronaldo 50/1
Kevin de Bruyne 50/1
Ngolo Kante 50/1
Kylian Mbappe 50/1
Bruno Fernandes 66/1
Erling Haaland 66/1
Pedri 66/1
Neymar 66/1
Gianluigi Donnarumma 66/1
Riyad Mahrez 100/1
Simon Kjaer 100/1
Gerard Moreno 100/1
Phil Foden 100/1
Harry Kane 100/1
Romelu Lukaku 100/1
Ruben Dias 100/1
Luis Suarez 100/1
Mason Mount 100/1
Nicolo Barella 125/1
Cesar Azpilicueta 125/1
Leonardo Bonucci 125/1
Giorgio Chiellini 200/1
Luka Modric 200/1
Lautaro Martinez 200/1
Raheem Sterling 200/1
Odds Courtesy of William Hill and were accurate at the time of publication

Best Ballon D’or 2021 Bookmakers

If you want to bet on the Ballon D’or 2021, then these three sites won’t steer you wrong:

William Hill

Not only does William Hill offer great odds for this year’s Ballon d’Or but they also have an excellent feature called #yourodds Ballon d’Or. Here you can request, from the William Hill team, some prices for Ballon d’Or futures. For example, currently, on the site, you can bet on Erling Haaland winning the award before the end of 2025.

Coral

Odds are changing all the time but at the time of writing Messi has again taken over the favourite role from Lewandowski. Coral still has both at 10/11 currently. It is going to be very hard to find a better price if you fancy Messi to win so if he is your man get to Coral ASAP!

Summary 

Hopefully, now you are well equipped to find your perfect bet for the Ballon d’Or. Remember the main advice is do not look at anyone outside of Lewandowski and Messi. If you are confident in one of these but feel what you are reading and hearing more about the other maybe bide your time before a bet. The award ceremony is on the 29th of November and the prices will fluctuate a lot before then so pick your moment carefully.

Ballon d’Or FAQ

  • How many Ballon d’Or does Messi have?

    6.
  • Who won the Ballon d’Or 2020?

    Due to corona, France football made the decision not to award anyone the 2020 Ballon d’Or.
  • How many Ballon d’Or does Ronaldo have?

    Ronaldo is one behind Messi with 5.
  • Who has the most Ballon d’Or?

    Messi’s 6 is the most any player has won.
  • When is Ballon d’Or 2021?

    The ceremonies take place on 29/11/2021.

    Previous Ballon d’Or Winners

    The below list contains all Previous Ballon d’or Winners –

    DISCLAIMER: brace yourself for the ultimate list of footballing greats!

    Year Player Nation Club
    2019 Lionel Messi Argentina Barcelona
    2018 Luka Modric Croatia Real Madrid
    2017 Cristianio Ronaldo Portugal Real Madrid
    2016 Cristianio Ronaldo Portugal Real Madrid
    2015 Lionel Messi Argentina Barcelona
    2014 Cristianio Ronaldo Portugal Real Madrid
    2013 Cristianio Ronaldo Portugal Real Madrid
    2012 Lionel Messi Argentina Barcelona
    2011 Lionel Messi Argentina Barcelona
    2010 Lionel Messi Argentina Barcelona
    2009 Lionel Messi Argentina Barcelona
    2008 Cristianio Ronaldo Portugal Manchester United
    2007 Kaká Brazil Milan
    2006 Fabio Cannavaro Italy Real Madrid
    2005 Ronaldinho Brazil Barcelona
    2004 Andriy Shevchenko Ukrain Milan
    2003 Pavel Nedvěd Czech Republic Juventus
    2002 Ronaldo Brazil Real Madrid
    2001 Michael Owen England Liverpool
    2000 Luís Figo Portugal Real Madrid
    1999 Rivaldo Brazil Barcelona
    1998 Zinedine Zidane France Juventus
    1997 Ronaldo Brazil Internazionale
    1996 Matthias Sammer Germany Borussia Dortmund
    1995 George Weah Liberia Milan
    1994 Hristo Stoichkov Bulgaria Barcelona
    1993 Roberto Baggio Italy Juventus
    1992 Marco van Basten Netherlands Milan
    1991 Jean-Pierre Papin France Marseille
    1990 Lothar Matthäus Germany Internazionale
    1989 Marco van Basten Netherlands Milan
    1988 Marco van Basten Netherlands Milan
    1987 Ruud Gullit Netherlands Milan
    1986 Igor Belanov Soviet Union Dynamo Kyiv
    1985 Michel Platini France Juventus
    1984 Michel Platini France Juventus
    1983 Michel Platini France Juventus
    1982 Paolo Rossi Italy Juventus
    1981 Karl-Heinz Rummenigge West Germany Bayern Munich
    1980 Karl-Heinz Rummenigge West Germany Bayern Munich
    1979 Kevin Keegan England Hamburg
    1978 Kevin Keegan England Hamburg
    1977 Allan Simonsen Denmark Borussia M”nchengladbach
    1976 Franz Beckenbauer West Germany Bayern Munich
    1975 Oleg Blokhin Soviet Union Dynamo Kyiv
    1974 Johan Cruyff Netherlands Barcelona
    1973 Johan Cruyff Netherlands Barcelona
    1972 Franz Beckenbauer West Germany Bayern Munich
    1971 Johan Cruyff Netherlands Ajax
    1970 Gerd Müller West Germany Bayern Munich
    1969 Gianni Rivera Italy Milan
    1968 George Best Northern Ireland Manchester United
    1967 Flórián Albert Hungary Ferencv rosi TC
    1966 Bobby Charlton England Manchester United
    1965 Eusébio Portugal Benfica
    1964 Denis Law Scotland Manchester United
    1963 Lev Yashin Soviet Union Dynamo Moscow
    1962 Josef Masopust Czechoslovakia Dukla Prague
    1961 Omar Sívori Italy Juventus
    1960 Luis Suárez Spain Barcelona
    1959 Alfredo Di Stéfano Spain Real Madrid
    1958 Raymond Kopa France Real Madrid
    1957 Alfredo Di Stéfano Spain Real Madrid
    1956 Stanley Matthews England Blackpool